Yes, Bitcoin Is A Bubble And Itâs About To Burst
The popularity of trading Bitcoin has now reached the point where none other than the New York Times sees fit to declare cryptocurrencies, or more specifically initial coin offerings, âThe Easiest Path To Riches On The Web.â Not to be left out, CNBC this week published a brief tutorial on trading crypto with your smartphone and MarketWatch featured a teenage bitcoin millionaire who now forecasts a $1 million price target.
These are exactly the sort of headlines and stories that characterize a speculative mania otherwise known as a âbubble.â For anyone who was around during the dotcom mania this should quickly bring back memories of all the folks who flocked to day-trading tech stocks. But to really understand the mania you need to look no further than the primary argument in buying crypto in the first place. Investors here claim the value comes from the limited supply. The trouble is there is an unlimited number of types of coins that can be created!
What makes the âinitial coin offeringâ craze that much crazier than the day-trading mania is that these are essentially nothing more than very thinly-veiled ponzi schemes. In fact, someone saw fit to to actually create a PonziCoin (at least theyâre up front about it).
Now some will make the argument that it canât be a bubble when so many are calling it a bubble. These folks should have learned this lesson during the housing bubble. The fact is itâs only a bubble once everyone acknowledges itâs a bubble. And by the time they do the game is up.
Weâre seeing the very same thing in Bitcoin today. Crypto traders know itâs a bubble. Like every bubble (or ponzi scheme) theyâre counting on a greater fool paying an even more insane price so they can realize a profit. But it looks like we may have already reached the point of maximum foolishness. Time will tell.
Header image via Bitcoin.org