Concealed Carry on Campus (Nov 10, 2015)
The following is my planned opening statement for a debate that will take place on Wednesday, Nov 11, Langford Lab, Room 101, Texas Tech University. The debate is over the concealed handgun policy on campus.
1. The fear of weapons
‘My child, accept from me the glorious arms of Hephaestus, so splendid, and such as no man has ever worn on his shoulders.’ The goddess spoke so, and set down the armour on the ground before Achilles, and all its elaboration clashed loudly. Trembling took hold of all the Myrmidones. None had the courage to look straight at it. They were afraid of it. Only Achilles looked, and as he looked the anger came harder upon him and his eyes glittered terribly under his lids, like sunflare. [The Iliad, 19: 10-15]
Weapons are terrible things. I don't mean necessarily that they are bad things; I mean this in the original sense: weapons are frightening. The instruments of combat elicit at least a grave trepidation in any normal person who takes hold of one, or even looks at it with full attention to its purpose. People who are not frightened by weapons are themselves frightening people -- the ilk of Achilles.
Frightening as they are, America embraces weapons; and America is a violent place, relative to the rest of the first world. A lot of Americans are going to do stupid, dangerous things tonight. Some are going to be drunk. Some are going to get in fights. Some are going fly off the handle and to hurt each other, or threaten to, very badly, and often for very trifling reasons. Earlier this month, a Houston man stabbed another man to death in a fight over who got the last piece of chicken [source]. No matter how far we are from Houston, we all feel the sense of pointless loss in this story. And when violence like this touches our lives, or even seems like it might, it is especially frightening. In that moment we wonder, desperately, does he have a gun? or a knife? I pray he doesn't have a gun. Sometimes he does, and sometimes it ends badly.
This violence in our midst is frightening, even when it does not touch our own lives.In that light, it makes sense to ask whether we want concealed handguns on campus. College campuses are a unique environment. We have a lot of young people, people under stress, and also eccentric old people like me, sometimes under stress too, and so forth. A few weeks ago I attended an open forum, where members of the campus community spoke about their thoughts and feelings regarding guns on campus. Most students who spoke were pro-gun, but the majority of faculty members spoke against guns on campus, or, to be more precise, wanted the police to have the only legal guns on campus.
I must say that the faculty members were not as well prepared as the students. In this sense I was very proud of our students -- who seem to have learned that that systematic observation trumps intuitive speculation in the post-Enlightenment mind. They seem to have also learned that a statistic has a numerator, a denominator, and clearly described sample population. On the other hand I was a bit disappointed in the faculty, who mostly talked about their fears and feelings, their supposed qualifications to have a firm opinion, and related anecdotes.
2. The facts
So here are the facts, which the students brought to light, and of which the faculty were unaware.
We are not the first school, or the first state, to allow legally concealed handguns on campus, and so we can learn about the dangers from others' experience. About 150 college campuses have allowed licensed concealed carry for an average of 5 years each. I must admit it comes as a pleasant surprise, even to me, that the number of CHL-related assaults on all these campuses combined to date has been zero. The number of CHL-related deaths has also been zero [source]. There have been three self inflicted gunshot injuries by CHL holders on campuses, resulting in a total of one hospitalization.
How do we wrap our heads round those statistics? If we string the experiences of all those campuses back to back on one average sized campus, we would have observed a total of 750 years -- the span since the time of Kublai Khan -- without a CHL-related assault, and with only three accidents, only one of which required a trip to the hospital.
On the other hand, we had four people hospitalized by a chemistry experiment this very year [source]. I don't think we are considering a ban on those. God knows how many people have been hospitalized playing football on the field of Jones AT&T Stadium; there's no push to ban that. In 2012, sadly, Megan Rough was killed in an automobile accident on campus [source], that was not her fault. We aren't debating a ban on automobiles on campus. These are actual injuries and deaths, not just fearful what-if's -- and we can expect the same activities to produce more injuries and deaths at a rate many times that of licensed concealed carry on campus.
We can get more data by adding off campus statistics -- which I think we should, because universities are not the only stressful, contentions places in the world, and I don't even accept the contention that they are particularly stressful and contentious. We will see later that the data doesn't support that contention, either.
The web site concealedcarrykillers.org/ lists 763 cases of criminal homicide by concealed handgun license (CHL) holders since May 2007. That is about 95 per year nationwide. So that is a lot of people if you look at it one way. But, on the other hand, over 300 people a year drown in bathtubs, and over 500 a year in swimming pools [Stossel: Give Me a Break, p.76-77]. So bathtubs are 3 times more dangerous, and swimming pools 5 times more dangerous than CHL holders. And even if you don't swim or bathe, you are more likely to die from a vehicular collision with a wild animal than by to be shot by a CHL holder. I don't mean there's, say, a moose driving a car; I mean, for example, you hit a moose with your car, and die. That kind of thing kills more people than legally carried handguns. So, we have bath tubs swimming pools, moose, elk, large deer, etc. You will face serious dangers in life at every turn in life. But not from me.
If we scale these nation-wide statistics (95 deaths per 320 million people per year) down to an average sized institution of higher learning with about 4200 students [source], and (let's assume) 300 faculty, it suggests one death per 750 years in an average sized college -- which is lower than the figure actually observed so far for actual institutions of learning (zero per 750 years). So the "special circumstances" of college life have been observed, so far, to be safer than average for concealed carry.
Not only do CHL holders tend not to commit crimes; their presence on campus probably prevents crime. This is not mainly through the heroic crime-stopping interventions by gun owners -- though that definitely does happen -- but instead through a deterrent effect. Criminals, especially rampage shooters, understandably choose to go to places that are free of legal guns to commit their crimes. Wouldn't you?
For example, there were seven theaters showing "Batman, Dark Knight" in or near Aurora, CO on the day of the well known mass shooting. The shooter did not go to the largest one, or to the one closest to his house; he went to the only one of the seven that prohibited legally carried handguns [source]. Wouldn't you? The fact is that even though guns are legal in most public spaces, over 90 of mass shootings occur in that small fraction of public space where they are not [source].
So the most important thing as far as crime prevention is not how CHL holders behave during active shooter situations, but how potential rampage shooters behave when they know someone might have a gun somewhere, which, in point of historical fact, is to not go there. Conversely, by not allowing legally concealed handguns on campus, we make it a magnet for just these types of predators.
3. The "gap" (between the fear and the facts)
It seems that the events that so many faculty members (and a few students) are so afraid of simply don't happen. At the same time, I don't take lightly that the faculty members and other anti-gun speakers at the forum were honestly afraid of legal concealed carry on campus. They were afraid of being shot during a spirited class discussion, or a dispute over a grade -- or of one student in their class shooting another. Their fears were genuinely felt and expressed, and they did not seem to be unreasonable people. Yet, those fears are grossly mis-calibrated with respect to easily obtainable facts. This means there is something subtlety to the issue, that goes beyond the bare facts of safety.
Here is the thing, and I think it is of importance far more general than this particular issue . When someone experiences pain, or fear, and they pin that pain and fear on something and say this is what's hurting me, then they begin to hate that thing in a way that is almost immune to reason. I do it; you do it; I have never met a person who I found was immune. I talked earlier about how guns are involved in a large number of frightening and painful incidents in the US every year, including over 10,000 homicides, and people have a very justified anxiety about those situations and the way guns are involved in them, and that gives them very bad feelings about guns.
To calibrate those fears with the actual dangers, you have to know something -- something important, that not everyone knows and that unfortunately isn't talked about much. I think what you have to know is that, when it comes to picking up a weapon, there are two very different sorts of people. There is one sort who picks up a weapon in service of their own ego -- and in their hands it is as a dark, dangerous toy, whose purpose is to hurt or intimidate other people, and to garner feelings of power from doing that. This kind of person is generally agitated, brash, and aggressive -- and when he picks up a weapon, he becomes even more agitated, brash, and aggressive. These are the kind of people we should be frightened of. And we often are.
Then there is another sort of person, who picks up a weapon in service to something outside of himself, or herself. For these people, picking up a weapon has the exact opposite effect. They become calm and severe. They become specially careful, and, in fact, carefully peaceful in all circumstances except those rare occasions where fighting is the right thing to do. For this kind of person, weapons are not a toy but an instrument of duty. Their presence adds solemnity to any occasion, and picking one up is very much like stepping into a church.
These are the kinds of people who make up the law abiding gun culture in America; this feeling of gravity and reverence, and of service in the use of arms, is passed down as a generational tradition. People who are not part of this culture never see this, and those who are sometimes never see anything else; but even if you aren't familiar first hand with this culture of reverence, now you know, and these are the kind of people CHL holders are.
America is indeed a violent place in general; but mostly, indeed almost exclusively, these acts of violence are perpetrated by a very small handful of what you might call bad apples -- what you would technically call sociopaths. These are the first kinds of people with respect to handling weapons. A 1972 study of criminality among males in the US by Marvin Wolfgang observed that 2/3 of the violent crime was committed by small group of repeat offenders comprising 7% of the observed population [Source: Wolfgang: Delinquency in a birth Cohort, not available for free, but here is an indirect source citing the statistic]. That means that, on average, if there were 15 boys in your senior English class, there is one guy who committed more violent crime than all the rest put together. You probably know who that guy is, too.
Sweden, on the other hand, is a relatively peaceful place. It isn't because of gun control: Guns and Ammo ranked Sweden among the top 10 countries in the world in gun rights [source]. Yet Sweden has only about 1/7 of the homicide rate that the US has [source]. Interestingly, what little violent crime there is in Sweden is comes from a similar -- though smaller -- bunch of bad apples. How small is that cohort of bad Swedish apples? Most of the criminal convictions for violent crime in Sweden came from just 1% of the population [source] -- as opposed to 7% in the US. So they have about 1/7 the number of sociopaths as we do here, and about 1/7 the murder rate. What a coincidence!
So what we have, at one end of the spectrum, is a very small number of people who are highly predatory and, apparently, lack the normal moral mechanisms that inhibit the impulses to do violent harm to others. These people who elicit very reasonable fear in many of us, both by direct encounters and by their very presence in society. We should hope they don't have guns -- but many of them do, almost all illegally. Then there is a larger supergroup, probably comprising not more than 20% of the population [inferred from this source], who commit the rest of the violent crimes; and between these two groups, we walk around with a lot of justifiable fear. Since we can't always tell by looking who is who, we are apt to pick up a sort of general fear of people and especially armed people. But most of these people have some un-apparent property that makes them practically never attack another person, especially when they are armed.
So our stereotype of people lashing out at random, or perhaps at random response to some trivial provocation -- which is what does meet the naked eye -- is entirely opposite of the underlying truth. It is closer to the truth to say that some people lash out again and again and again, and some practically never do, even under stressful circumstances. The historical fact is that the agencies that issue CHL's are very good at issuing them only to a subset of such peaceful people. One study observed that a CHL holder was 20 times less likely to commit a gun crime than a police officer [source]. So who do you want carrying guns around, really?
4. On the propriety of guns on campus
But God said unto me, Thou shalt not build an house for my name, because thou hast been a man of war, and hast shed blood. [1 Chronicles 28:3]
It is interesting that, while I don't have a weapon handy at all times, whenever I am cleaning a gun I always have another one close by, fully assembled and loaded. I mentioned this fact to a friend of mine and he told me he did the same thing. At the time, it just seemed to be an interesting coincidence; neither one of us really knew why. So I thought about it, and it wasn't hard to figure out the explanation: cleaning a gun is a visible re-minder of one reason you own it in the first place: there are people in this world who get their feelings of importance from violently preying on other people; and, while it is not likely, it is distinctly possible that one (or more) could burst in and target you at any given moment. Such as, right now.
This fact -- the that violence could come to you right now -- is an uncomfortable thing to be aware of. On the other hand, Col. Jeff Cooper has said that this uncomfortable awareness is the single most important factor in how you handle the situation if it does occur -- more important than skill at arms, or even whether you are armed at all. If you would wish to survive a violent encounter, then the chief thing, says Cooper, is that you are not astonished when it happens.
Fortunately, most of us will never be a victim of a violent crime. The Department of Justice estimates that 42% of Americans will be victims of a robbery or assault resulting in injury during their lifetime, and for around 75% of those who are victimized, it will only happen once [source]. This tells us that the police do a remarkable job of deterring, intercepting, and intervening against violence on our behalf -- such a good job that almost 60% of us will never face criminal violence even once, and around 90% of us no more than once.
In short, most of us, if we are not in the professions of arms ourselves (i.e., police or soldiers), will never face life-threatening hostility from another person over the course of our lives. So if we cross our fingers, close one eye, and hope for the best, then we can avoid an entire lifetime of the unpleasant awareness of that violence might visit, and probably be no worse off for it. In that case, we would be grossly unready if it does come; but, on the other hand, it probably won't, and the cost of being prepared for it is real, and it is both material and spiritual. What I mean is that being physically and mentally ready to fight consumes time, money, and sweat, and, on top of that, it hardens your heart in a certain way. This, I believe, is why David was told he was not allowed to build the temple.
So this thing we may sacrifice to prepare for, materially and spiritually, will probably never happen to most of us,. Moreover, it may happen despite our preparations or even because of them. So I do not blame anyone -- especially a woman, if I may be honest -- for going through life in what Cooper calls condition white: sheepishly unaware of, and grossly unprepared for, the violence that may come to visit us.
Understand, it is not that David was not a good enough man to build the temple. There is nothing wrong with being a man of war. There are certain things that only hard men can do, and these things sometimes have to be done. As Richard Gernier said, paraphrasing Orwell, people sleep peacefully in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence on their behalf.
But then there are also things that must be done, or at least ought to be done, that require a softer heart. These include, apparently, building the temple. They include certain sorts of art, certain sorts of ministry, and I think, certain forms of scholarship. I don’t think that, say, Einstein could have formulated the theory of special relativity while he was cleaning a gun, or, more generally, alert to even remote possibility that he might be attacked at any moment. To do that kind of work, you I think you have be in a sort of trance, withdrawn from the details of the physical world around you. So we have the stereotype of the absent-minded professor. Legend has it that Archimedes was killed by a Roman soldier while he was writing mathematical figures in a box of sand, and that his last words were, I beg of you, do not disturb my circles! Archimedes, apparently, was in condition white. Most people who do that sort of work are, at least when they are doing it.
So campus is a place where we do something special, something sacred, which we must attend to with our whole minds and a very great deal of sensitivity; and this kind and degree of sensitivity is at odds with a alert combat mindset. While the safety argument against guns on campus holds no weight for me (and, frankly, in the light of fact, is preposterous), this argument gives me pause. It is too abstract for many anti-gun thinkers to make explicitly, but they feel it in their bones; and the safety argument is, for many people I suspect, a practical sounding proxy for this more abstract one. People just feel there is something agitating about weapons, and that it is an agitation that, ideally, we can do without in this somewhat holy place. And they are right.
I am swayed by this, but I am not swayed so far that I would prohibit guns on campus, for two reasons. First, while the university would ideally be a sanctuary of of serenity, unmarred by the agitation of all things martial, the actual world differs from the ideal one in a way that sometimes necessitates a harder mindset. If the campus were guarded by angels, there would be no need for legal concealed guns and alert mental condition they require; but it is not. Bad people do exist; they do not respect our would-be sanctuary, and indeed they are more drawn to it as a hunting ground the softer we become. Second, even if I decide for reasons of scholarly decorum not to carry a gun to school, I do not have the authority to decide the same for you.
5. The value of freedom
You are entitled to your fears and feelings, and so am I, whether they are reasonable or not. We all have a few unreasonable ones. But when my fears become the basis of wanting to forcibly constrain your behavior, then the burden falls to me to prove they are reasonable, and that what your behavior really must be constrained. How strong is that burden? That depends. How much do you value freedom? The value of freedom -- or of what we might call individual sovereignty -- is exactly the distance between people should not do this and it ought to be banned.
We don't ban everything that is a bad idea, or even everything that is dangerous. Cooking with gas is dangerous. Riding a motorcycle is dangerous. Drinking beer is very dangerous -- linked to tens of thousands of deaths per year, including about 1/3 of all homicides and 1/3 of all traffic deaths. But we aren't even considering banning those things. This is because, as a society, we value freedom. So before we ban something, we want to be sure not just that it's risky, but that (1) people can't be trusted to make their own decisions about it, and (2) the consequences of people deciding for for themselves would be so dire that they are worth the cost of a certain infringement of liberty.
I think that most of us agree that freedom is valuable in principle, but what we disagree about, sometimes passionately, on is how valuable it is. And if we don't talk about that head on, then we are liable to talk past each because the value of freedom sets the terms of the debate: how severe must be the potential consequences of allowing people to do something, and how certain must must we be that those consequences will actually occur, before we take away their freedom to make the decision themselves.
So how much do you value freedom, really? I will make it simple by making it multiple choice: none at all, a little, or a lot? You don't really need to answer yet, because there is a litmus test.
By a show of hands, how many people believe this: if something does more material harm than good, then it should not be allowed. It is not an uncommon position, though it is far more common in Europe than in the America, or especially Texas. The people who believe that are the people who do not value freedom at all. They believe that even this much perceived material benefit justifies deploying the forces of law against their fellow citizens, or fellow subjects in places where this is really believed.
How many people believe this: If something does substantially more material harm than good, then it should be banned. These are the people who value freedom a little bit. For them, it takes this much to convince them to take someone's liberty away.
The third option is this: A person’s behavior should not be constrained, or his property seized, by force, except for compelling reason. If you affirm that statement then you place a high value on individual sovereignty. Traditionally, that is the American way, and especially the Texan way, though we are moving in another direction these days.
The million dollar question, more important than the particulars such as tonight's, is which of the three answers is correct: how much should we value freedom? That is a big question and I am not going to try to really tackle it heer. But the struggle between those who value individual sovereignty a lot, and those who value it a little, or none at all, started long ago and it has been eternal. I would say it started in Genesis, with the duality between Abraham and Nimrod, the tyrant of Babylon. It was instantiated in the battle at the "hot gates" of Thermopylae, between the Greeks and Persians, and in the battle of Marathon that ended that phase of the struggle. It was the theme of the American Revolution, the Texas Revolution, World War I, World War II, and the Cold War.
No one thought they were on the wrong side of any of those conflicts -- just as no one thinks they are on the wrong side today. But if you aren't familiar with those historical events I suggest you read up and then ask yourself, what was the deep difference in values between one people and another, in each case, that kept them from getting along? And then ask yourself and which side of those things you would have been on. If you'd found yourself a citizen of Nazi Germany, or the Soviet Union, or the Persian Empire, would you have been a dissident? Or would you have simply gone along, or at least played it safe, like almost everyone did? Like almost everyone is now.
So back to this issue: outside of the university, our students, faculty, and staff have a constitutional right to bear arms, which includes the licensed carry of concealed handguns. How seriously or how lightly do you take it -- or much reason do you need to to pry away that right the moment they step on campus? As for me, I would need a compelling reason. Even if concealed carry were as dangerous as swimming pools and bathtubs combined (which it isn't by a long stretch) -- even if it were as dangerous as automobiles (which are a bona fide menace), I would still not presume to infringe that right. And swimming pools and automobiles are not even mentioned in the constitution. In that light, I would need a far more compelling reason to infringe on the right to bear arms -- to require that someone waive certain constitutional rights in order to get an education, or to get a job. And I don't have one, or anything close to it.














