Greetings from the future.
Before I begin, do you want to make some predictions for the future? Maybe you want to know how the S&P is doing today? Or perhaps I can help you look up the Powerball numbers for next week? But maybe let’s not go busting any rules of time travel just yet - but that’s what this whole message is about, anyway.
Busting the rules of time travel.
I’m here to show you what NYC in 2108 looks like. Believe me, it isn’t good. Believe me. (Yes, we still remember that guy was President).
Imagine NYC today. Shouldn’t be that hard, given that you’re probably there right now. It’s crowded, noisy, smelly. The L train just broke down this morning.
Imagine NYC in 90 years. What do you see? Maglev subways moving stealthily through the suburbs and offloading their passengers in clean stations in Manhattan? Tall apartment buildings that have finally replaced the 100-year old walkups that are everywhere?
NYC in 2108 is just NYC in 2018, just 90 years worse.
We have an amazing inertia to change. Even the infrastructure in the NYC you know is close to 100 years old. So just imagine the problems with the City today, and compound them by 90 years (yes that’s a hint that you should’ve asked for the S&P performance and not the Powerball numbers).
Our subway system is now running in tunnels built almost 200 years ago, and is still as unreliable as ever. The same hundred-year-old historical brownstones are now 200 years old, yet there is still populist pressure from politicians to keep those buildings around.
The demand for neighborhoods near to Manhattan never abated, as people still want to be close to the center of everything. Areas like Williamsburg, Brooklyn Heights, and DUMBO bear the brunt of this crush, because they are near to Manhattan, and you could still conceivably walk into the City should the MTA fail us.
Everywhere, we see bottlenecks pile up near these arteries of transport, around our bridges, ferries, trains, etc, leading to a much lower Quality of Life around these areas because of all the unhappiness this crush causes.
One solution to the space crunch was pioneered some years back, where old walkups and brownstones were refurbished to co-living spaces, effectively doubling the number of people you could squeeze into one space. These ubiquitous brownstones are the very symbol of the inertia we collectively have as a City. Why can’t we just tear them down and put a skyscraper there? But you work with what you have.
This solution was founded upon the belief that you simply don’t need that much space when you are sleeping. Beds were placed in pods underground, freeing up the rest of the building for space that could be used in the working hours of the day.Â
Pods are 8x4 feet in dimension, all the space one needs while asleep, or so you’d think.
These pods posed their own set of issues, some of which were eventually worked out:
How were dating couples supposed to share a pod? Two pods were broken into one, and a Queen bed fit nicely in that space. Walls were also, naturally, sound- and vibration-proofed.
What about people who casually dated? Well, hate to break it to you, but a wave of STIs in the 70s discouraged most people from promiscuous behavior. That’s the 2070s, in case you were confused.
Sleeping underground also posed some health problems - the term “rise and shine” did not just refer to the movement of the Sun in the morning, but rather, our movements in symphony with the rising Sun. Sunlight helps regulate our bodies’ Circadian rhythms and kept our biological clocks ticking well, which is why artificial and blue light from screens is highly discouraged late at night.
As a solution, these pods incorporated screens to mimic windows and to let “sunlight” in sync with the Sun, and the associated Circadian problems evaporated like a pavement puddle on a sunny Saturday.
Of course, there were other social frictions from having so many people crammed in one space, but to most, that was a small price to pay, having been priced out of other areas, and still demanding to be in the thick of the action.
Some people also lost the impetus to leave the house and get out, as the co-living space also incorporated a co-working space, and the target segment of tenants (young creatives wanting to live in the city and not having much in terms of rent money) also actively endeavored to retain their favored “spots, even with the in-built workspace storage system that allowed them to “save” their worktop layout in an overhead space.
TL;dr (yes, we still use this):
What we chose was not by any means perfect. I’m reaching back into the past from the future, with both a warning and a prayer, that you can somehow make a change.Â
Our message: consider other alternatives while you still can. Political expedience mostly leads to bad decisions.
Ask for more transport arteries. Next Spring’s L train shutdown should give you the momentum, and the collective anger to ask for more.
What is history worth? Why is gentrification a bad word? Why shouldn’t we tear some of these buildings down in the the quest for progress?
Most importantly: Consider not thinking of NYC as the Center of the Universe. It really doesn’t have to be. The City has been over-romanticized and marketed for hundreds of years. Maybe it’s time to move on.
Perhaps all of these are interconnected. What if the transport system isn’t being expanded because of political maneuvering, which leads to an unwillingness to tear down and rebuild the short brownstones precisely because the transport system cannot deal with another influx of people as a result of the new skyscrapers. And what if the “low” numbers of population growth mean transport upgrades can be shelved by politicians in favor of more populist, and immediate, wins?
Just a thought. I sure hope the result of this is not that I start de-materializing after breaking all the rules of time travel, once I press this “Send” button.