crumple loves you

Hell yeah

Was trying to style the moth capes and realized that a lot of the chitin/plumed sets fit the colors almost perfectly- they're like bugs to me

(not sure what other breeds they work on besides skydancer f)

Chrysalis- 2815861

Swallowtail- 2815864

Larvae- 2815858

Wooly- 2815847

One singular little guy......

Behold!

Dare I say. A turd.

However!!

The sound I made when I saw this?

*These numbers are not 100% accurate as the numbers update consistently as I am collecting the data.

My prediction going into this was that, for the most part, older and more common breeds would have higher populations. "Older" ended up being fairly accurate; rarity did not seem to have much of an effect.

Highest Modern Breed Pop. All: 1 - Guardian (11.7% of the entire site's dragons - way more than I would've expected!) 2 - Skydancer (9.7% of total) 3 - Imperial (9.6% of total) NE (Non-exalted): 1 - Imperial (11% of all non-exalted dragons) 2 - Guardian, Skydancer (9.4% of NE; I don't feel like checking which is marginally higher, so they both get to go here) 3 - Fae (7.8% of NE)

Lowest Modern Breed Pop. All: 1 - Fathom (0.3% of total) 2 - Obelisk (1.6% of total) 3 - Bogsneak (2.1% of total) NE: 1 - Fathom (0.9% of NE) 2 - Snapper (1.8% of NE) 3 - Obelisk (2.4% of NE)

I really wasn't expecting Imperials to make top 3. Or Skydancers, for that matter. But the lowest population sizes make sense - for the All category, those are the three most recently added Modern breeds. Clearly, Skydancers were added close enough to launch that it didn't seem to affect their numbers at all. And oh, Snappers... you poor things.

Ancient breeds have much smaller proportions for the same reason as above: they're all "new" (relative to launch breeds).

Highest Ancient Breed Pop. All: 1 - Gaoler (2.2% of total) 2 - Veilspun (1.7% of total) 3 - Banescale (1.5% of total) NE: The order is the same; percentages of non-exalted dragons are 2.7%, 2.4%, and 2% respectively. Aberrations are tied with Banescales.

I didn't bother to do a "lowest population" list for Ancients. If I ordered them from greatest to least, it would be almost identical to the release order; Banescale and Aberration are swapped, as well as Aether and Undertide. Sandsurge & Veilspun breed changes costing gems does not seem to have affected population like I thought it would, although Sandsurge and Auraboa are very close.

Aside from population numbers, I also looked at exalt rate. Originally I was curious if a breed getting exalted more meant people liked them less and therefore didn't want to keep them around as often. Here's how that went.

Highest Modern Breed Exalt% 1 - Ridgeback (84.8% of all Ridgebacks on site are exalted) 2 - Snapper (84.62%) 3 - Tundra (84.06%)

Lowest Modern Breed Exalt% 1 - Fathom (44.29%) 2 - Obelisk (70.44%) 3 - Wildclaw (72.24%)

Sitewide Exalt%, for comparison Modern: 80.86% Ancient: 68.82% All: 79.72%

Once again, the newest breeds have the lowest percentage exalted, followed by both Rare breeds (Coatl is #4). Unlike their total population, Bogsneaks' exalt rate seems to have stabilized completely. The highest ones… well, I see people call all of those ones ugly a lot, so I guess high exalt rate is a decent metric of "who does no one like."

Ancient breed exalt rates are what you'd expect - they follow the release date thing pretty well. I won't post the rankings, but I will note that the Everlux exalt rate is only around 21%. As it turns out, recency also causes exalt rate to be significantly lower.

There is one more metric I was curious about. Given that...

population & exalt rate increase at currently unknown rates over time

ancient breeds' values for these are all significantly lower than most modern breeds

...I was wondering...

what are the (approximate) rates of population and exalt rate growth

how long would it take for an ancient breed to reach the same level as the moderns?

I can't apply these projections to Modern breeds, since their growth rates are probably different, but I wish I could. I would love to know, theoretically, when I could expect Fathoms to reach 2 million+ total population.

Anyway, all I did was compare the population (ALL only) to "days since release" for all Ancient breeds and then made a couple graphs.

The population growth is approximately linear with a growth rate of about 1020 dragons per day. To reach the average population of a current Modern breed (5 million+), it would take… 15.45 years (5,638 days). But modern breeds have such a large range of population sizes, I don't really feel like an average is great to compare to.

Exalt rate growth rate is more logarithmic. I can't get as accurate of a reading on this one, but it looks like it would take around 6.44 years (2,350 days) for an Ancient breed's exalt rate to reach the Modern average. Gaolers, you're almost there!