SmartBet AI Match Analysis: St. Louis vs. LA Galaxy
This document outlines The Gambler's Ruin Project, which utilizes SmartBet AI Technology to generate probabilistic predictions for MLS soccer matches, specifically detailing the upcoming match between Saint Louis City SC and Los Angeles Galaxy. The core of the AI is a hybrid model combining Poisson regression for goal predictions with various machine learning classifiers (Random Forest, XGBoost, MLP NN, LightGBM) to forecast match outcomes. The system incorporates features like Elo ratings, team form, injuries, and market odds, and employs techniques such as bootstrapping, Monte Carlo simulations, and stacked ensembles to refine predictions and assess uncertainty. The document also includes a disclaimer about responsible gambling and clarifies that it provides informational content, not betting services.
