some things never change no matter how old we get
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2025 on Tumblr: Trends That Defined the Year

if i look back, i am lost
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@flyingsubgrade
some things never change no matter how old we get
Nice

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Samarkand - Uzbekistan (by Ozodbek Erkinov)
This Istanbul house was built in four historical eras
First floor: columns from Eastern Roman (Byzantine) era.
Second floor: archs from "again" Eastern Roman era.
Third floor: stonewalls from Ottoman Empire era.
Fourth floor: mud bricks from the first years of the Republic of Turkey.

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watch PearlMania500's response, that guy gets supply chain. I work in supply chain and that is exactly what everyone should be thinking about
But no, most people don't even know how their food gets to the grocery store

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📊 The Mathematics of Understanding Society: Statistics in Social Sciences
1. Reliability: Quantifying Consistency
Reliability ensures that statistical results are consistent across time and methods. It is measured through techniques like:
Test-Retest Reliability: Same participants, repeated measures.
Inter-Rater Reliability: Agreement between multiple observers.
Internal Consistency: Correlation of test items, often measured using Cronbach’s Alpha.
Formula for internal consistency:
where N is the number of items, cbar is the average covariance between item pairs, and v is the total item variance.
2. Validity: Ensuring Relevance
Validity measures whether data reflects the intended concept. Types include:
Construct Validity: Evaluates how well a test aligns with theoretical concepts.
Criterion Validity: Measures correlation with related, independent outcomes.
Content Validity: Assesses if the test covers the full scope of the concept.
3. Sampling Theory: Representing Populations
In statistics, sampling bridges finite data and infinite populations. Randomized methods minimize bias, while stratified or cluster sampling improves efficiency. The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) guarantees that sampling distributions approximate normality for large sample sizes.
where SE is the standard error, sigma is the population standard deviation, and n is the sample size
4. Minimizing Bias
Bias skews results, reducing reliability and validity. Statistical techniques such as blind sampling, control groups, and adjustments for confounders mitigate these effects. Weighted averages or regression adjustments help correct sampling bias.
5. Significance Testing: Inference in Social Sciences
Statistical tests like t-tests and ANOVA assess relationships in data. P-values determine significance, while effect sizes (e.g., Cohen’s dbar) quantify practical importance.
Example: For comparing group means, the test statistic t is:
where Xbar is the sample mean, s^2 the variance, and n the sample size.
6. Predictive Modeling
Social scientists employ regression models for predictions, such as linear regression:
where β0 is the intercept, β1 the slope, and ϵ the error term.
7. Ethics and Transparency
Statistical transparency is non-negotiable. Misinterpretation or manipulation (e.g., p-hacking) compromises the integrity of findings. Open data and replication strengthen credibility.
"It's easy to lie with statistics. It's hard to tell the truth without statistics" Darrell Huff
References : (and further reading material)
source one
source two
source three
Things Math Professors Say
"The proof is trivial." (Oh, cool. Guess I’m just an idiot then.)
"Left as an exercise." (Translation: You’ll never solve this in a million years.)
"It’s obvious, really." (Sure, if you’re a demigod.)
"By inspection." (Stares harder at problem… still nothing.)
"For small values of epsilon." (How small? Subatomic? Microscopic? Vibes?)
"WLOG (Without Loss of Generality)." (Oh, we’re just assuming it doesn’t matter now? Alright.)
"Details omitted." (Because apparently, you don’t need to understand it.)
"By the usual argument." (Which you somehow don’t know because you weren’t born in 1702.)
"Assume the rest holds." (That’s some impressive optimism right there.)
"The usual abuse of notation." (Why does this feel like an emotional wound?)
"Almost surely correct." (But also possibly wrong? Cool, thanks for the clarity.)
"A non-rigorous approach." (I thought math was supposed to be precise?!)
"Assume it’s obvious." (Buddy, NOTHING about this is obvious.)
"The reader may verify." (No, the reader may CRY.)
"To the interested reader." (Guess I’m not interested enough, huh?)
"Well-behaved functions only." (We’re function-shaming now?)
"Obvious to the trained eye." (Guess I’ll never make it out of amateur league.)
"A trivial case analysis." (Trivial to WHO??)
"Integrate by parts, twice." (Bold of you to assume I got it the first time.)
"As you can clearly see." (Oh, I clearly see my FAILURE, alright.)
"It works in practice too." (Unlike me, who barely works at all.)
"Assume a spherical cow." (Are we doing math or abstract sculpture?)
"A standard result." (Not in my standards, pal.)
"We skip the tedious algebra." (No, no, please—I wanted to suffer MORE.)
"Assume non-zero solutions exist." (Okay, now we’re just assuming life works out.)
"The usual topology." (Bro, I don’t even know the unusual topology.)
"Finitely many cases left." (Just kidding, there’s 72.)
"By virtue of symmetry." (Virtue? I have none left.)
"Don’t worry about the constant." (The constant is probably my GPA dropping.)
"Assume continuity." (I’m assuming my brain is breaking.)
"Smooth functions only." (Guess I’ll leave, I’m clearly not smooth enough.)
"The simplest non-trivial case." (Simplest? NON-TRIVIAL? Pick a side!)
"Epsilon goes to zero." (Epsilon isn’t the only one losing it.)
"And the rest follows." (Where? Straight to my breakdown?)
How to Fake Confidence
1. Hold your head high, and look others in the eye
2. Smile
3. Stop apologizing
4. Relax and be quick to laugh at yourself (and with - but not at - others!)
5. Dress in a way that conveys self-worth
6. Use good manners (like saying ‘please’ and ‘thank you’) as this is actually a mark of self respect
7. Expect other people to believe in you, and to see and appreciate your good qualities.
Fake it till you make it 😉

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The Golden ratio's effect.