8Rebuilding seasons are weird. It’s been a long time since Detroit went into a full-fledged rebuild, where we’re trotting out young guys that no one has really heard of, and the star players of yesteryear are now swinging and throwing for a team that has playoff aspirations. It’s a tough thing to swallow.
It puts us in a position to sign random free agents to one-year deals, just to fill holes in our roster for the sole purpose of flipping them to another team in exchange for prospects when the trade deadline rears it’s face. It’s like that show “House Flipping”, but with baseball players. Coming to TLC this summer!
This offseason, the Tigers signed a slew of players to one-year deals, hoping they would surprise the baseball world and prove they were still worth a lick. Players like Mike Fiers, Francisco Liriano, and Leonys Martin are the most noteworthy, as all of these players have found success in their major league careers prior to finding their new team in Detroit. Now that Detroit is essentially out of the race (that they never planned on being in in the first place), the midseason “fire sale” is beginning to formulate. These players are almost without a doubt going to be seeing themselves in new uniforms by August, as they can give some playoff contending teams an upgrade somewhere on their roster. But where exactly might they land? What teams actually need these players to keep them afloat and playoff bound? Let’s take a closer look.
Mike Fiers:
2018 stats: 3.65 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 74 K, 6-5 in 17 starts
Tradeability: B
Overview: Fiers has been, more or less, the best starting for Detroit up to this point. Though Michael Fulmer is still considered our ace, Fulmer has struggled all season with a few great starts mixed in the bunch. Fiers has impressed, allowing only three runs over his last three starts, and looks like he’s finding his groove going into the All-Star break. If his last start before then also goes well, his trade stock is going to be pretty high.
Possible landing spots: Washington or Seattle. Both teams are in the thick of playoff races, but are lacking a strong rotation. Beyond Max Scherzer in Washington, there’s not much to talk about, with Tanner Roark having an ERA closing in on 5, Gio Gonzalez has spiraled out of control after a great April and May, and Stephen Strasburg continues to be injury prone as he’s been on the disabled list since early June. Their rotation is hemorrhaging for some help. Seattle has faired a bit better, but with James Paxton (8-3, 3.49 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 154 K) being their best pitcher and Felix Hernandez being a shell of his former self, they don’t have much filling in the gaps. Mike Leake has righted his own ship since his awful April and May, but it’s possible Seattle is going to seek some starting rotation depth.
While there are better starting pitching options to trade for, Fiers is a candidate that will not cost much, being able to net maybe a mid-level prospect and possibly a throw in that has no real upside. Jacob DeGrom and Noah Syndergaard of the New York Mets are two of the top name pitchers, some that Seattle could try to make a play for, but don’t expect Washington to get their hands on them: New York is one of their divisional rivals. They wouldn’t want Washington to hold one of their best starting pitchers that have a good load of team control under their belt.
Francisco Liriano:
2018 stats: 4.03 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 57 K, 3-5 in 13 starts:
Tradeability: C
Overview: Man, Liriano was good for Detroit in April. Of the five starts he made, he never allowed more than 3 runs a start, and three of those starts were quality starts. The other two he wasn’t able to finish the sixth inning to qualify. Everything after April has been a headache. While he has not really been lit up in any start this season (his worst being against Cleveland on May 15th, throwing 4.1 innings and giving up 5 runs), he isn’t doing himself any favors by walking almost as many batters as he gives up base hits (41 BB, 57 H), averaging a putrid 3+ walks per start. He hasn’t walked less than two batters in any start this season, and that amount of free passes is bound to lead to more runs scoring against him. On top of that, he has battled the disabled list this season as well, recording an ERA of 4.50 since returning in mid-to-late June, and having a WHIP close to 2. Those are not happy statistics to his name.
All of the reasons above are why I listed his tradeability at C. While it’s almost certain Detroit will unload him to another team (or at least try to), it’s uncertain who will want to take him as he isn’t much of an upgrade on anyone’s roster that’s making a playoff push. Not only that, but Detroit won’t be getting much in return for an aging starting pitcher that is not performing well, on top of only being a half season rental. His one great start this season was against Seattle, where he took a no-hitter deep into the game before allowing his one base hit. The other two good starts he had were both against Kansas City, one of the worst teams in the league. His tradestock is incredibly thin to say the least.
Possible landingspots: New York Yankees or Arizona. This is a large stretch here, as more than likely if these teams go to the trade market to find an upgrade for their rotation, Liriano will be near the bottom of the list. But it’s no secret these teams are also desiring some rotation help. In the Yankees case, everyone behind Luis Severino and CC Sabathia has been very rough. Sonny Gray quickly became a villain in New York with his sky-high ERA closing in on 6, and Masahiro Tanaka has been ineffective and is currently on the DL. But with New York’s powerhouse offense and great bullpen, they’ve been able to keep up with the rest of the American League. They are currently 2 games back of the American League East, and have a stanglehold on the Wild Card spot with a 9.5 game lead on the team in third for the Wild Card (Oakland). Arizona isn’t quite as bad with the starting rotation, but Patrick Corbin and Zack Greinke have been the only consistent rotation pitchers thus far. Clay Bucholz has been great as well, but there’s no telling if he can keep it up for the whole season, especially when he comes back from the DL. The positive to these teams is that if they wanted to make a small upgrade, it would come with a low price tag of a low-level prospect or two, and Detroit would have to eat most of what Liriano is owed for the rest of the season, which is roughly $6MM.
Leonys Martin:
2018 stats: .259/.327/.431, 9 HR, 29 RBI, 1.8 WAR
Tradeability: B
Overview: Martin has been a solid centerfielder this season, being 13th in the league in WAR and leading the league in outfield assists. His WAR would no doubt be a bit higher, as well as his counting stats, but he has spent two separate occasions on the DL this season. The other positive is he has stolen 9 bases season, giving him a good repertoire as an outfielder with decent power, speed, a strong arm, and above average defense. With him also being a half season rental, it won’t take much for a team to trade for him.
Possible landing spots: St. Louis or Colorado. Also another stretch, as most of the teams leading their divisions don’t really need any strong upgrades in their outfields. Though Leonys Martin is a center fielder by trade, teams could implement him in corners as well as center if they needed. This why I brought up Colorado, who has been using Charlie Blackmon in center field with a -2.2 defensive WAR. His offense has been great, but he is by far one of the worst center fielders in the league. Colorado is only 3.5 games out of the NL West and 4.5 games out of a Wild Card spot. He could prove to be a good upgrade in any spot of the outfield to help save some runs and possibly win a few more games. St. Louis is much of the same story, being 4 games out of the Wild Card and a less-hopeful 7.5 games out of the NL Central. The struggles of Dexter Fowler are well documented and the Cardinals are looking for a life-preserver to keep them from drowning.