#spain export potential

Spain's Medicines Exports to Existing Partners Could Approach USD 11.23 Billion, While Refined Copper Cathodes Open USD 2.65 Billion Across New Markets by 2031

The United States remains Spain's largest existing export market, accounting for 27.55% of total Spain export potential, with China following at 9.71%. The outlook shifts when new and underdeveloped export corridors are examined: China emerges as the leading destination for new export opportunities, accounting for 24.23% of the category, well ahead of the United States at 7.23%. Medicines, refined petroleum oils and medium petrol cars continue to anchor Spain's established export portfolio, highlighting the country's strengths in pharmaceuticals, fuel processing and automotive manufacturing, while refined copper cathodes and human vaccines are emerging as the product categories most likely to expand Spain's global trade footprint through 2031.

China Overtakes the Established US-Led Order to Lead Spain's New-Corridor Potential China stands out as Spain's largest new potential buyer, carrying export potential of USD 10.87 billion, more than triple the United States' USD 3.25 billion opportunity in the same new-corridor category. Canada follows at USD 2.69 billion, with Hong Kong and Mexico rounding out the top five at USD 2.44 billion and USD 2.26 billion. This mix points to a market where Spain's next wave of growth leans heavily on deeper industrial ties with China spanning refined metals, vaccines and aviation-linked demand while the United States, Canada, Hong Kong and Mexico offer smaller but still meaningful openings for diversification beyond Spain's traditional European base.

The United States remains Spain's single largest established buyer, with export potential of USD 112.69 billion, well ahead of China's USD 39.73 billion. Canada holds third position at USD 20.51 billion, while Japan and Mexico contribute USD 18.20 billion and USD 15.35 billion respectively. This importer spread reflects a trade base that leans on the United States as its principal growth engine while China, Canada, Japan and Mexico add ballast across pharmaceuticals, energy products, automotive goods and consumer categories keeping Spain from leaning too heavily on any one destination.

Copper Cathodes, Vaccines and Aviation Define Spain's Newest Export Corridors

Refined copper cathodes, human vaccines, large aircraft, and light petroleum oils and medium petrol cars directed at non-traditional destinations make up Spain's five biggest new-corridor opportunities through 2031. Where Spain's established strength sits in pharmaceuticals and refined fuels, these emerging categories trace a different story one built on the country's growing role in metals recycling, biologics manufacturing and aerospace supply chains reaching further into Asia and the Americas.

Refined copper cathodes represent Spain's single largest new-corridor opportunity at USD 2.65 billion, led overwhelmingly by China at USD 2.42 billion, with Vietnam, India, Mexico and South Korea trailing far behind; this pattern fits a refining base built to process concentrate and recovered metal into LME-grade cathodes rather than one dependent on domestic mine output alone. Human vaccines add USD 1.38 billion, led by China at USD 646.24 million, followed by Canada, Brazil, South Korea and Turkey a corridor consistent with Spain's established biologics manufacturing footprint extending to new public-health buyers. Large aircraft offer USD 1.22 billion in export potential, led by China at USD 466.20 million, followed by the United States, Turkey, India and Canada, reflecting Spain’s established role in European aerostructure and final-assembly supply chains.

Light petroleum oils directed at new destinations and medium petrol cars entering non-traditional markets round out the new-corridor top five. Light petroleum oils into new markets add USD 1.21 billion, led by Malaysia at USD 602.77 million, followed by Mexico, Philippines, Democratic Republic of the Congo and Ghana an extension of a fuels category where Spain already trades at far larger scale elsewhere. Medium petrol cars into new markets contribute USD 998.94 million, led by Mexico at USD 344.43 million, with Canada, Brazil, the Philippines and Vietnam supplying smaller pockets of demand. Taken together, these five opportunities suggest Spain's next stretch of export growth will come less from new industries than from routing existing refining, biologics and aerospace capacity toward buyers it has only lightly served so far.

Pharmaceuticals, Refined Fuels and Passenger Vehicles Anchor Spain's Established Trade

Medicines, refined petroleum oils, light petroleum oils, medium petrol cars and perfumes make up Spain's highest-value established export categories through 2031. Together they show a trade base still concentrated in pharmaceutical manufacturing, fuel refining and automotive production, with the United States, Singapore, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Switzerland standing out as recurring destination markets across these categories.

Medicines represent Spain's largest established export opportunity at USD 11.23 billion, led by the United States at USD 4.39 billion and Switzerland at USD 1.67 billion, with China, Japan and Canada completing the top five a spread that fits Spain's position as a European pharmaceutical manufacturing base serving both mature Western and growing Asian buyers. Refined petroleum oils rank second at USD 10.42 billion, led by the United States at USD 1.25 billion and Singapore at USD 922.20 million, followed by Australia, Mexico and China, consistent with Spain's Mediterranean refining capacity feeding both European and long-haul markets. Light petroleum oils add USD 8.56 billion, again led by the United States at USD 1.11 billion, followed by Singapore, UAE, South Korea and Nigeria.

Medium petrol cars and Perfumes complete the established top five. Medium petrol cars contribute USD 5.67 billion, led by the United States at USD 2.55 billion and Saudi Arabia at USD 969.46 million, followed by Turkey, Australia and Israel, reflecting Spain's position as one of Europe's largest passenger-vehicle production bases. Perfumes add USD 5.27 billion, led by the United States at USD 1.71 billion and the UAE at USD 458.81 million, followed by Singapore, China and Hong Kong evidence of Spain's fragrance and cosmetics manufacturing reaching well beyond its home continent. Collectively, these five categories point to an established export base carried by pharmaceutical scale, refining capacity and automotive manufacturing depth, with fragrance and personal-care goods adding a lighter, higher-margin layer on top.

Spain's export advantage is increasingly driven by the evolution of its manufacturing and refining capabilities rather than cost competitiveness alone. Strong foundations in pharmaceuticals, vehicle electrification and copper processing position the country to sustain established demand while capturing emerging trade corridors, strengthening its role as one of Southern Europe's most resilient industrial exporters.

6WExportGTM Analysis

What Spain Already Sells and Where Passenger vehicles form Spain's largest established trade sector at USD 38.88 billion, led by medium petrol cars at USD 11.28 billion and a 29.00% share of the sector, followed by small petrol cars at USD 6.86 billion and a 17.64% share. Pharmaceuticals rank second at USD 23.52 billion, with medicines contributing USD 10.35 billion and a 43.98% share, while lactam products add USD 1.83 billion and 7.78%. Oil and gas follow at USD 20.28 billion, led by refined petroleum oils at USD 11.31 billion and a 55.76% share, with light petroleum oils adding USD 3.03 billion and 14.93% together underscoring Spain's manufacturing weight across vehicle assembly, pharmaceutical production and fuel refining.

France is Spain's largest destination market at USD 58.67 billion, led by medium petrol cars at 5.11% of exports to the country and hybrid petrol cars at 2.41%. Germany ranks second at USD 40.50 billion, with small petrol cars contributing 4.77% and medicines 4.28%. Italy follows at USD 33.74 billion, supported by medium petrol cars at 3.49% and refined olive oil at 3.20%. This partner mix shows Spain's exports still running mainly along well-worn European corridors, with France, Germany and Italy absorbing a broad mix of vehicles, pharmaceuticals and, in Italy's case, a distinctly agricultural product.

A Battery Gigafactory and a Copper Recycling Plant: Two Projects Shaping Spain's Export Base

Volkswagen's PowerCo battery gigafactory in Sagunto is strengthening Spain's position in passenger-vehicle manufacturing and the transition toward electrified-vehicle exports, while Atlantic Copper's CirCular recycling plant in Huelva is expanding the country’s refined-copper capabilities and supporting its access to high-growth markets such as China.

PowerCo's Sagunto Gigafactory Deepens Spain's Automotive Export Base

Spain's passenger-vehicle export strength is entering a new phase through Volkswagen's PowerCo battery gigafactory in Sagunto, which will supply battery cells to the group's Spanish vehicle plants as hybrid and electric vehicle production accelerates. With an initial annual capacity of 40 GWh, expandable to 60 GWh, the project strengthens Spain's domestic battery supply chain and reduces reliance on imported cells. Spain's passenger-vehicle manufacturing base continues to provide a strong foundation for export growth, while investments such as the Sagunto battery gigafactory are accelerating the shift toward electrified mobility. With medium petrol cars already representing a key export category, the expansion of hybrid and electric vehicle capabilities is expected to create new opportunities across markets including China, the United States and Canada through 2031, supporting Spain’s transition toward higher-value automotive exports.

Spain's 2031 export growth will stay concentrated in vehicles and refined fuels, but the Sagunto gigafactory and a firm copper-recycling base give the country a credible on-ramp into higher-value electrified exports and metals reuse over the same period.

Manish Pant, Senior Data Scientist, Data Science & Market Intelligence, 6Wresearch

Atlantic Copper's Huelva Recycling Plant Reinforces the Refined-Copper Opportunity

Atlantic Copper's EUR 500 million CirCular recycling project in Huelva strengthens Spain's position in refined copper production by expanding its ability to process both primary concentrates and recycled electronic waste, supporting the country’s growing presence in high-value copper export markets. The additional feedstock improves the resilience and scalability of Spain's refining industry while reducing dependence on mined ore alone. The expansion of Spain’s refined copper processing capabilities reinforces the outlook for refined copper cathodes as one of the country’s largest emerging export corridors, supported by strong demand from China. By strengthening domestic production capacity rather than relying primarily on trading activity, Spain is better positioned to increase exports of high-purity cathodes into growing industrial markets. Together with the country's established pharmaceutical, refining and automotive industries, this investment highlights that Spain's future export growth will be driven by strengthening existing industrial capabilities rather than building entirely new sectors.

Spain's export growth through 2031 looks set to stay industrially grounded pharmaceuticals, refined fuels and vehicles carrying the established base, while copper recycling and early-stage battery manufacturing open room for new corridors across a wider set of global markets.

Manisha Gupta, Data Analyst, Data Science & Market Intelligence, 6Wresearch

The Takeaway

Spain should focus on transforming its established industrial strengths into higher-value export opportunities by accelerating electrified mobility, strengthening advanced manufacturing capabilities and expanding access to emerging global markets. The country’s next phase of export growth will come less from creating entirely new industries and more from upgrading existing advantages across automotive production, pharmaceuticals, refining and metals processing.

Key strategic priorities for Spain include:

Accelerate the transition toward electrified vehicle exports: With passenger vehicles representing Spain’s largest established export sector at USD 38.88 billion, Spain should leverage investments such as the Sagunto battery gigafactory to strengthen domestic battery supply chains and capture growing demand for hybrid and electric vehicles across markets including China, the United States and Canada.

Expand refined copper and critical material capabilities: Refined copper cathodes represent Spain’s largest new-corridor opportunity at USD 2.65 billion, driven primarily by China. Strengthening recycling capacity and copper processing capabilities will help Spain capture rising demand linked to electrification, renewable energy infrastructure and industrial supply chains.

Deepen penetration in emerging export corridors: China has emerged as Spain’s largest new potential market with USD 10.87 billion in export potential, followed by the United States, Canada, Hong Kong and Mexico. Spain should focus on converting these emerging opportunities across metals, vaccines, aerospace and automotive products into long-term trade relationships.

Build on pharmaceutical and refining leadership: Medicines, refined petroleum oils and passenger vehicles remain key pillars of Spain’s established export base. Maintaining competitiveness in these sectors while expanding into higher-value products such as vaccines, advanced automotive components and recycled materials will be essential for sustained export growth.

Overall, Spain’s export strategy through 2031 should prioritize upgrading existing industrial ecosystems, strengthening global supply-chain integration and using new investments in batteries, copper recycling and advanced manufacturing to diversify beyond traditional European markets.

About 6WExportGTM and 6Wresearch

6WExportGTM is 6Wresearch's proprietary trade-intelligence and go-to-market platform, built on UN Comtrade data and layered with in-house analytics and system-dynamics-based forecasting. Working at the level of individual HS codes and micro-segments, it surfaces precise export opportunities by country and product pairing, including markets where trade barely exists today. The platform comes out of 6Wresearch (branded 6W), a commercial strategy and growth-advisory firm founded in 2011 and based in New Delhi, with partners spanning Southeast Asia and the Middle East and Africa. The firm draws on more than 20,000 commercial engagements delivered for upwards of 2,000 organizations, including Fortune 500 companies, government bodies and multilateral institutions such as the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank. By combining proprietary data, advanced analytics and sector expertise, 6Wresearch helps organizations spot growth opportunities and act on them with confidence.

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About 6Wresearch: It is a commercial strategy and growth advisory firm founded in 2011 and headquartered in New Delhi, India, with partners across Southeast Asia and the Middle East & Africa. The firm has delivered more than 20,000 commercial engagements for over 2,000 organizations, including Fortune 500 companies, government agencies, and multilateral institutions such as the World Bank and Asian Development Bank. 6Wresearch combines proprietary intelligence, advanced analytics, and sector expertise to help organizations navigate market complexity and drive sustainable growth. These capabilities explain why organizations trust 6Wresearch for reliable commercial insights and confident decision-making.

Our Proprietary Platform: 6W Export GTM

6W Export GTM is 6Wresearch's proprietary trade intelligence and go-to-market platform, built on UN Comtrade data and enhanced with 6Wresearch's in-house analytical and simulation models, including system dynamics-based forecasting. Unlike broad, sector-level market sizing tools, 6W Export GTM operates at the individual product level — down to specific HS codes and micro-segments — to identify precise, actionable export opportunities by country and product pair, including markets where trade currently does not exist. This granular, simulation-driven approach allows 6W Export GTM to surface opportunities that sector-wide analysis typically misses, positioning it among a small number of platforms globally offering this depth of product-and-country-specific export intelligence.