#poll watch

The Trump regime tried to change mass deportation messaging. A new poll finds it didn’t move voters. “A new Politico poll finds half of Americans — including one quarter of Trump’s 2024 voters — said his mass deportations campaign is too aggressive.”

Fox Noise poll: Majority says Trump’s handling of Iran has made U.S. less safe “51 percent of respondents said the president’s relationship with Iran has increased risk for the U.S. Twenty-nine percent in the poll said Trump’s relationship with Iran has increased security for the U.S., while 19 percent said his relationship has resulted in “no difference.” One percent said they were unsure about…

On the evening of November 4th, 2025, the national headlines focused on Democrats sweeping the gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey and Proposition 50 (Gavin Newsom’s Election Rigging Response Act) passing in California, allowing the state to redistrict its congressional districts to favor the Democrats. But there was good news for the Democrats across America that evening. Democrats…

Governor Gavin Newsom’s bold plan to counter Republicans’ efforts to rig the maps for the 2026 midterms is finding favor with California voters, a new survey conducted by Emerson College suggests. 51% of respondents surveyed this month say they plan to vote in favor of Proposition 50, the Election Rigging Response Act, this November, despite opposition from former California Governor Arnold…

Eager for a revolving supply of numbers that aligns with the narratives they’re trying to peddle, right wing Republicans have in recent years made a big investment in generating garbage data — percentages that were obtained by deliberately violating the cardinal rule of asking neutral questions of representative samples in survey research. The practice has become so ubiquitous that our team at…

Desperate for a battleground win and unwilling to learn anything from their many defeats over the last few election cycles, the Washington State Republican Party gloated this week that it has new polling showing that Democratic U.S. Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is vulnerable to a challenge from three different potential Republican challengers: declared opponent John Braun (whose…

Twelve years ago, when our team wanted to begin commissioning public opinion research to support NPI’s ballot measure work and legislative advocacy, we had a critical question to answer: Which pollster should we work with? We had no shortage of options to choose from, but we wanted a firm that shared not only our progressive values, but our can-do ethos, our fierce commitment to the scientific…

Donald Trump has now been back in power for over one hundred days and voters across the United States have soured on his performance. The New York Times’ average of Trump’s job approval rating shows that it went from being positive on inauguration day to being solidly net negative today.   While his approval has gone down on several individual issues, a key theme is that many voters believe he…