#nfl handicapping

The Virus Strikes POTUS has caught the virus. That is pretty big. Stocks are down. So are the Titans and Killa Cam. PIT/TEN  game is rescheduled to later in October. NE/KC game is currently in limbo. If you are playing fantasy this can seriously impact your team. Hopefully your commissioner has given you a deep bench. I will try to include plays/pick-ups to help your squad this week. This is week 4: DEN/NYJ: Donkeys win. I lost with the under. IND/CHI: Big Dick Nick get the rock. Much to the chagrin of my team last week. I will lay 3 with the Colts, pick up M. Alie-Cox, and play ARob with confidence. NO/DET: I like the Saints minus 4.5. Defense in NO is hurt. LMurray is a sneaky play. Over 54 is also possible. AZ/CAR: Cards to win. Under seems playable. Bridgewater just seems like a back-up.  JAX/CIN: Lean to Cincy. Soft pass. CLE/DAL: Dallas has been great on first downs. Once Dallas takes the lead they won't look back. Pick up MIN/HOU: Texans -4.5 is my play. Minny couldn't practice. Their defense is so bad. HOU schedule has been so rough. SEA/MIA: Russ Can Cook! This game feels like a trap. Pick-up and start Fitzmagic if you are in need at QB. I am taking points with caution. LAC/TB: Under 43 is my play here. TB is hurt on offense. Play your damn Gronk. BAL/WAS: Ravens smash. Start all Ravens with confidence. I almost like laying DDs. NYG/LAR: Rams have looked super efficient. Giants have looked JV. Pace of game has me worried about DDs but has me leaning under 53. BUF/LV: Bills seem pretty strong. Diggs was the greatest addition to this team. Start Renfroe as the deep options for Vegas are thin. PHI/SF: Give me the Niners -7. Philly has been outscored by an average of 36 points in the second half this season. Huge list of adds from the Niners. JWilson is my favorite. ATL/GB: Birds +7. Ugh. Not Quinning!!! Quoosing!!! Pick up MVS and RTonyan if you need help at WR. Hopeyalikedit.

The Championship Weekend Welcome back to the blog. It's a great weekend for fantasy football. Starting BPerriman rn and not crazy about what I see so far. Long weekend still. Star Wars 9 this afternoon. Can't wait for that. Work tonight. Then two more off days. Picking up a basketball hoop tomorrow. Nice! This is Week 16. Bucs over Texans. Need Perriman in the second half to rack up yards. Bills to cover at NE. This should be more like -3.5. Niners over Rams. Tease this down to a better number. Birds over Jags. Jags pulled out a crazy win last week, so did the Falcons. Saints over Titans. Brees likes the TD race. Giants over Redskins. Jones back in. Snoozy. Steelers over Jets. Bell revenge. But I think the Steelers are the ones who want to hurt him more. Fish over Bungles. Bungles don't want to play football at all. Colts over Kitties. Grier gets the rock for the Kitties. I don't believe he's NFL ready. Ravens over Browns. Browns look defeated. I would have sat OBJ too. Broncos over Lions. Lions looked pretty bad vs the Bucs. Chargers over Raiders. Snoozy. Eagles over Cowboys. OVER is much needed.Seahawks over Cards. Taking points as the Cards should be able to keep up. Chefs over Bears. Taking points here too. Gimmie some good football to close out the season. Pack over Vikes. -200 for that. Vikes RB1 is out. Kirk Cousins does not have a good record in prime time. Lets just keep Diggs out of the endzone. Best movie: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. Best Book I read this year: Hell's Angels, by HST. Best show: I love the Mandalorian so far. Thanks for reading!!! Hopeyalikedit.

Mountain Biking The latest conquest for the #1 is going to be mountain biking. Downhill racing against a clock and trying not to crash into stuff. Right up his alley. I invested in some gloves at the bike store... Ugh... Super costly, but still I'm gonna be super supportive of his extracurricular activities.  This is week 14: Bears over Cowboys. And they hurt Dak. Just what I needed for the fantasy playoffs. Bills over Ravens. You can tease this to 12.5 if you are less confident. Windy. Pack over Skins. Skins will run. No doubt. Broncos over Texans. Sleepy sandwich spot for the Texans who are really the better team.  Niners over Saints. Hard to play NO at home for a second consecutive road game. Possible pass. Browns over Bungles. LW Cincy had the SB style Gatorade bath, for their first win. And surprise, surprise, Odell wants a trade. Kitties over Birds. Feels like a revenge spot here. Norv Turners kid will be calling the plays. Over seems likely. Vikes over Lions. Jeff Blow? Vikes are hurt. I look for them to lean on Mattison this week. Jets over fish. Every time I put money on or against the Jets, they burn me. Might stay away. Bucs over Colts. Colts finally signed a new kicker. I had that one figured out 12 weeks ago. Jags over Chargers. Both are done. Snoozer. Pats over Chefs. Under in the first half. Steelers over Cards. Might as well be a home game for the Steelers. They need it more, and the Cards have fallen apart of late. Raiders over Titans. Second to last game in the hole. Last one is already a lock (vs Jags). This one is not. Seahawks over Rams. Seahawks have gotten stronger as the season has gone along. Rams showed some life last week and have revenge in their favor here. Eagles over Giants. Return of Eli. 8 is too many points to lay but over 47 is playable barring foul weather. Hopeyalikedit.

Black Friday With the promise of a trip to Guitar Center, I got the #1 to go shopping early yesterday. It was super chill. We got some new clothes for school, and he picked out some presents for his new hobby. Going electric. So that means Amp, cord, headphones, and stand... all before new guitar. There is stuff on the cheap that has been confiscated by the police, so I put a couple of items on layaway in hopes they clear the waiting period. This is week 13: Bears over Lions. Driskoll unfortunately makes Big Mitchie look good. Bills over Cowboys. I had the under too. Saints over Birds. I had the over here ruining a perfectly good T-day ticket. Pack over G-men. Barring bad weather, I could see this being 42-21 Pack. Kitties over Skins. 10 is too much. Tease this down or better yet take the under. Ravens over Niners. Hard to bet against a team who scores on every possession.  Titans over Colts. Another great tease spot. Getting more than 7 would be key. Eagles over Fish. 80 degrees and humid in Miami. I see the fish regressing as they have in the last two weeks. Eagles might run up the score here. Bucs over Jags. Jags look like they might have quit. That means OVER. Jets over Bungles. 34 points in 3 straight? Gimmie more of the same. Steelers over Browns. Moved to 10 so the animals wont have an extra 4 hours of drinking before kick-off. Tomlin uses revenge to fire up a team like no other. Gimmie the under 40 points and over 4 sacks of the Bake-show. So Chefs over Raiders takes the late slot. It is the Raider superbowl, but it feels like another bad spot for the silver and black. Cards over Rams. Sad to see how done the Rams are with so many weeks left to play. Chargers over Donkeys. DLock gets the rock? Not sure that is good. Pats over Texans. Can the D contain this mobile QB? It will be fun to watch. Seahawks over Vikes. Seattle, now there's a team who likes the spotlight. Hopeyalikedit.

The Guitar For the kid's 8th birthday, he got a guitar. Now he is 13 and is actually playing it. He has been learning riffs, and now will follow you around the house playing them for you. He can play all of "Here Comes the Sun", and the beginning of like eight others... Metallica, Nirvana, Violent Femmes, Zeppelin... No Stairway? Denied! This is week 12: Texans over Colts. Bounce back here for the Texans who now lead the division. Browns over Fish. Taking points here. Browns can't blow anyone out. Bills over Broncos. The Bills at 7-3 are off to their best start in 20 years. Steelers over Bungles. Not much has been said about the 0-10 Bungles. There is no more Tua to tank for. I will take points anyway as this is a look ahead spot for the Steelers. (Next week: The Browns!) G-Men over Bears. I cannot back the Bears and Mitchie. Jets over Raiders. Tough spot here. Jets looked good last week. Saints over Kitties. Kitties are not cutting it with their back-up QB. Birds over Bucs. We are somehow undefeated in our division. Skins over Lions. No Stafford = under.  Jags over Titans. You'd think they could commit to the run, but Nick wants to throw. Ugh. Pats over Cowboys. Being at home and the better D will be the difference here. Seahawks over Eagles. The Green Bird Bowl. At least there are a few good games this week. Niners over Pack. Will the line go out partying on Saturday night? Will Arog run out of excuses? Ravens over Rams. Ravens are hot. Goff kinda sucks while LJackson is the MVP.

Ahh The Old Helmet As a Weapon Play... Alert from my phone saying chaos was ensuing after a Browns Defender spiked the opposing QB with his own helmet. How could you look away? I had to go home and see what happened. I had visions of the opening scene in "The Last Boyscout"... it was not like that.  It was kinda dumb. And the Browns find a way to lose even though they won. This dude out for the year now. This is week 11: Browns over Steelers. It is fun to have a futures bet this year. Saving me money. The Browns schedule: Creamy. Cowboys over Lions. Stafford NCNS last week ruined the ticket! If we see Driscoll again, Cowboys blowout. Bucs over Saints. If the Birds can do it... Kitties over Birds. This is the first time we have played outside all year.  Jags over Colts. Stewed for two weeks after the London debacle. Still no TY and Brisett is the big Q. Vikes over Donkeys. Vikes want to run. Has me thinking under. Jets over Skins. Might be a cold one. Under 37.5? Fish over Bills. Feels like just a few weeks ago Buffalo was at home laying 17. The Fish covered that and have covered every game since. They have also won two straight.Ravens over Texans. Over is the play here. Cards over Niners. Plus 13.5 is a bonus. Niners are out 6 offensive players. Two starting tackles and almost all their scoring options. Pats over Eagles. Brady is 28-3 ATS after a loss. Raiders over Bungles. Feed the Bell Cow. Rams over Bears. Rams line is decimated. I really like the under here. Chargers over Chefs in Mexico City. They will run the ball like the Titans did. And they practiced in altitude. Hopeyalikedit.

Flag Divisional Champs Chase's flag squad lost by a point in the second to last game in the playoffs. They played two games and played hard but fell just short in the latter. He still really enjoyed the season and had many scores and interceptions. Two more points and we would be in the Superbowl. This is week 10: Raiders over Chargers. Raiders are sneaky good. Shhhh… Chefs over Titans. Malhomie is back. Chefs win by two scores. Bills over Browns. This is the week we collect on the Browns season win total. Bucs over Cards. Murray with another backdoor cover. Over is a good pick. Giants over Jets. Might sleep here. Under? Saints over Birds. Crappy season. I rank us third to last in the NFL. Below the Fish and above the Jets and Bengals. Speaking of whom, Ravens over Bengals. Finley gets the rock for the Bungles and AJ Green wants zero part of it. I still say they cover DDs. Pack over Kitties. Pack was hungover LW at the Chargers. They won't be this week. Cam is out for the season? Lions over Bears. These teams are going in opposite directions. and I can't lay money with Big Mitchie throwing it to nobody on every play. Colts over Fish. Hoyer laying 10 points without TY? No way. Fish plus points. Rams over Steelers. How many times can the Defense bail out this offense that is now without Conner? Gimmie Rams by two scores. Cowboys over Vikes in the nightcap. No Theilen. Cowboys blowout? Under in the first half? One of the two. Niners over Seahawks. I will be taking points here because I think the Niners are overrated. I see it being a late FG winning this one. Hopeyalikedit.

The Heat is On It's on the streets. Have I become so much of a desert rat that I have to turn the heater on before even October ends? Children are complaining? Here's a sweater. Go run around a bit and you'll warm right up. This is week 9: Niners over Cards. Fairly predictable. Jags over Texans. In London. 630. Check yo team. Jags have a following there now? They certainly have the travel and time change going for them. Bills over Skins. Bills looked very beatable last week as the defense showed major holes. Skins cover 10.  Kitties over Titans. Bounce back spot. Eagles over Bears. Big Mitchie doesn't even recognize what he's doing out there. Was that me? Yeah buddy. Vikes over Chefs. Swiss cheese!!! Fish over Jets. This is the week. Steelers over Colts. They need it more. Raiders over Lions. Defense is bad. Over is the play. Bucs over Seahawks. Season on the brink. Take points. Take the over. Start 'em all. Browns over Broncos. It has to get better for Cleveland. Flacco's dead ass is benched. Pack over Chargers. Bolts tried hard to lose again last week. Whiz is gone and the Charger D is shotty. Pats over Ravens. Under is a strong play. Cowboys over G-Men. This line should be higher. Two TDs at least. Hopeyalikedit.