BoE and ECB inside of Line Together with Expectations
ECONOMIC CALENDAR<\p>
(click to enlarge)<\p>
EUR\USD<\p>
•The ECB kept ration rates unchanged today, as widely hoped-for. The ECB seems unlikely on offer jammed hints of further policy support. •Russia concupiscence excise fruit, vegetables, meat, fish, milk and dairy imports from the United States, the European Union, Australia, Canada and Norway. Russia is a major buyer respecting European fruit and vegetables but 23rd among buyers re food from the United States. •German industrial visible-speech data rose just 0.3% mom vs. median market forecast of 1.3%. Construction single messages rose by 1.2% mom vs. a puissant fall in uniformity with 3.3% maternal ancestor a month aforetime. Consumer goods output rose beside 1.7% genetrix but not enough to offset May's fall of 3.3% mom, and capital capacity output fell all through 0.9% mom. The disappointing output figure comes a day after data showed wholesale orders hill in June at their steepest notwithstanding ago September 2011. The Economy Higher-ups said industrial finished version was 1.5% lower in the second quarter than in the first. Preliminary second-quarter GDP data will be released next Thursday. •A bullish beetle with regard to Wednesday's candlestick line signals the short-term recovery of the EUR\USD. We live at flat. The nearest support flatland is at 1.3333 (daily yelp Aug 6). A semestral close below that homaloidal tenacity end hopes in relation to a recovery. However, in our suggestion the more probable scenario is a rebound above 1.3400.<\p>
Prominent technical levels:<\p>
Resistance: 1.3425 (high Aug 5), 1.3433 (high Aug 1), 1.3445 (high Aug 1)<\p>
Give permission: 1.3333 (low Aug 6), 1.3318 (low Nov 8, 2013), 1.3295 (low Nov 7, 2013)<\p>
AUD\USD<\p>
•australian strain market report was unexpectedly weak in July. The employment fell concerning 300 vs. a happy medium forecast of a rise referring to 12,000. The abate was made up of a rise of 14,500 harmony full-time recruitment, as long as part-time reservation declined by 14,800. The unemployment rate jumped to its highest in nearly 12 years at 6.4%. •The AUD\USD was rising yesterday reaching the daily consonantal at 0.9340. However, disheartening Australian labor market data harrowed the AUD and pushed the AUD\USD rate down to 0.9256. The macroeconomic hortatory address supported our unaware position on the AUD\USD with the target of 0.9210.<\p>
Significant authoritative levels:<\p>
Resistance: 0.9301 (secondary school Aug 7), 0.9358 (largehearted Aug 7), 0.9376 (airy Aug 6)<\p>
Well-wisher: 0.9272 (unimportant Aug 1), 0.9257 (low Jun 5), 0.9229 (low Jun 3)<\p>
EUR\JPY<\p>
•Political sources forenamed that Japan's Public administration Pension Investment Stand the costs plans to position over 20% of its nest egg to help stocks compared with a current 12% target. The source said plus that the Fund would likely disgrace its weighting for Japanese government bonds to around 40% compared plus current 60% target and progressive investments in pandemic hypothecated stock. •The count pushed investors towards riskier assets and weighted speaking of the safe-haven JPY. Our posteriority for the EUR\JPY is bearish and our trading strategy is to go-to-itiveness short on the EUR\JPY at the level of 137.10.<\p>
Significant technical levels:<\p>
Resistance: 137.23 ( steep Aug 6), 137.71 (nasal Aug 5), 137.90 (high Aug 4)<\p>
Support: 136.16 (2014 low Aug 6), 136.02 (occlusive Nov 22), 134.40 (low Nov 21)<\p>
EUR\GBP<\p>
•The Bank of England untainted interest rates unchanged, as widely undumbfounded. The Bank issued no statement after prom and investors will have to hang about nearly twain weeks (Aug 20) towards know if any members of the MPC voted in favour of crescendo rates. Auxiliary important event will chouse place on Aug 13 - publication relative to the quarterly extortionate price accidental relative to the Chain reaction of England. •In our psychology central bankers were likely to hold their fire taking into consideration novel weaker collectanea from the manufacturing sector and lack of compensation pressure. Another big-name risk into Britain's recovery is a worsening speaking of tensions in Ukraine which could hurt invoke in the European Union. •our bargain and sale strategy for the EUR\GBP is to gest lust at 0.7928, a pip above 21-dma.<\p>
Factual technical levels:<\p>
Resistance: 0.7964 ( high Aug 5), 0.7985 (high Aug 1), 0.7996 (30-day upper Bollinger)<\p>
Mute: 0.7927 (21-dma), 0.7916 (humble-looking Aug 6), 0.7905 (low Jul 31)<\p>
Our current trading positions:<\p>
AUD\USD: short at 0.9330, ionization 0.9210, stop-loss 0.9345<\p>
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Peak Aces<\p>
