#midterm 2022

And after hours/days of pouring over House numbers and listening to and reading election data experts with far more knowledge in the field than me, I think the likeliest outcome at this point is 219-R/216-D…which is remarkably good. Democrats are keeping their House midterm losses to single digits in a cycle when they should’ve been shellacked and against a historic backdrop of the sitting presidents party losing dozens of seats.

It’s a good sign for our democracy because it means there are actual consequences to running shitty, conspiracy-minded, sedition-curious nutjobs on the ballot across the vast majority of the country. It’s also somewhat easily correctable in 2024 and makes peeling away sensible Republicans more doable than it would’ve been had we last several more seats.

One thing is for sure: the future Majority Leader is about to have the worst, most impossible job in Washington: corralling a caucus of far-right zealots, Trumpists, and a few moderates with a two-seat majority. LOL.

Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs has referred six reports of possible voter intimidation to law enforcement in the past week, as well as an allegation of harassment of an election worker, her office said Monday. The cases were referred to the state attorney general’s office and the U.S. Justice Department for further investigation. Early voting got underway Oct. 12 in the battleground…

The 2016 U.S. election was a wake-up call about the dangers of political misinformation on social media. With two more election cycles rife with misinformation under their belts, social media companies have experience identifying and countering misinformation. However, the nature of the threat misinformation poses to society continues to shift in form and targets. The big lie about the 2020…

Arizona Republican gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake on Sunday repeatedly declined to say whether she would accept the results of the election if she loses. During an interview on CNN’s “State of the Union,” Lake dodged when asked multiple times whether she would accept the results of the election if she loses. Lake pivoted to attacking her Democratic opponent Katie Hobbs, the current secretary of…

There’s been a good deal of crying foul about what are being called anti-democratic new state laws that make it harder to vote. But it turns out such laws might have little impact on voter turnout and vote margins in an election. That’s according to a February 2022 analysis by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a newsletter that provides nonpartisan election analysis. The 2020 presidential election had the…