Times are changing. At the current growth rate, the Earthās population could reach up toĀ 9.6 billion people by 2050. Not only does exponential population growth demand more resources to meet it, it also means that more cars will be unleashed onto our already congested roads. In fact, the amount of cars hitting the pavement could reach up toĀ 2 to 4 billion cars from todayās count of 800 millionĀ by mid-century.
Every single person in this traffic jam helped make it.Ā
Hate Traffic? You just wait. Traffic isn't going to get any better - unless something changes drastically.
So how are we going to avoid our looming fate ofĀ Global Gridlock? The idea of the entire planet being stuck in traffic is one that none of us want to see happen. Like many of the World's bigger issues, there is no single solution. To really save our bacon, we need to combine a multitude of ideas and tools, on a variety of scales.
Many are looking to electric vehiclesĀ to pave the way to a greener future. Unfortunately, cleaner cars may not be the solution here because electric cars donāt take cars off the road, and will still contribute to gridlock.Ā
āFrankly, four billion clean cars on the road are still four billion cars, and a traffic jam with no emissions is still a traffic jam.ā
The bright side...
The millennials donāt seem too keen on buying carsĀ like their parents did, giving some hope to reducing cars on the road.Ā
There are alternatives. Technology is enabling us to connect with our neighbours and share rides. Carpooling will help cut down on the daily gridlock and dependancy on individually owned cars. There are various options for carpooling depending on your location or trip type. For long distance, once-in-a-while trips, tryĀ PogorideĀ to find rides in the Pacific North-West. For your daily commute, there are services such asĀ go2getherĀ orĀ carmaĀ that match you with commuters in your network, who are already heading your way.Ā
Carsharing services such asĀ car2go,Ā zipcarĀ andĀ modo car co-opĀ allow people to have access to a car just when they need one, rather than using their car for every single trip.Ā
Traffic is a nonlinear phenomena, meaning that by reducing traffic by even a small amount can haveĀ significant impactĀ (note that this also works in the opposite way). Something such asĀ congestion chargesĀ could be the answer.Ā
Car sales may slow naturally, as more of the worldās population move into cities. SomeĀ new urban mobility modelssuggest that car sales will drop by 30% by 2020.
We have to think big picture. Cars are not the only problem.Ā Infrastructure, technology and planning can have huge impact on both creating and avoiding congestion.Ā Imagine avoiding driving around the block a couple times to find a parking spot because your car has already reserved one for you. Or knowing when the best time to leave a conference is by considering the schedule of everyone at the event. There are countless ways that better systems can change the way cities see their traffic, we just have to start using them!
āWe are looking at the emergence of a car 2.0 -- a whole new market, a whole new business model.ā
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Watch the below video (from Bill Ford, grandson of you know) to understand the issues and potential solutions to the so-called global gridlock. Mobility gives us freedom and progress. On theĀ flip sideĀ also environmental issues and congestion. Electrical Vehicles will solve the CO2 emission issues, but how about congestion?
We need to move towards smart cars and a smart road network, as the current model won't scale much further. With 800m cars on the road now, growing to approx. 2~4bn in 2050 we need to avoid a global gridlock, as this will among others block supply of food and healthcare especially in cities (you know, the places where most people live). Real-time data can be used to optimize the current infrastructure. Hey, that sounds familiar to us!
Very insightful talk by Bill Ford, Executive Chairman of Ford Motor Company: He explain the global gridlock, it's massive impact and likely solutions...