#expected wins

Expected Wins V3 MLS, EPL, Bundesliga, LaLiga, WC 2014

If you’ve read these two previous articles, Expected Wins and Expected Wins 2, you know I look at how teams perform, on average, (win, lose, or draw) with respect to my primary data collection points for Possession with Purpose.

What will be added, in Version 3 (V3), will be a compare and contrast between all the leagues I evaluate in my Family of Indices.

Results of looking at the diagrams and…

Possession with Purpose – Revised Introduction

It’s time to offer up a revised and shortened version of my Possession with Purpose Analysis – included below is a redux  of an article recently published (originally) on @sportsrantsEURO 13 September, 2014.

My intent here is to:

Make others aware that my analyses on European Soccer will be expanding to the Sports Rants Europe blog site,

Provide an update that may help simplify this effort, and

I…

Separating winners from losers in Major League Soccer…

We are past the halfway point in Major League Soccer this year and if you recall from this previous article I promised I would revisit my Expected Wins analysis again at about this stage.

To continue to chart the progress of PWP, to include the data points behind the calculations, I am offering up some diagrams on what the data looks like after:

The 92 game mark of the MLS Regular Season (184…