#borgatafallopen

Read all the Sklansky, @TexDolly, and @TheTommyAngelo books you want... they're great - but don't ever forget Aesop's "Tortoise and the Hare" from elementary school.

Thoroughly disgusted w/ myself for not going with my read on the AA < flopped set hand and x/hero-folding flop, playing too small of a pot w/ AK / AA8 Jcc 6, and playing too big of a pot OOP pre-ante w/out "having it."

The structure was simply too good for me to play such huge pots (150BB+) with the AA < 33 / K93 Jr 5 and the bustout hand of 9c7c (sb 3b pre, c/rai flop) < 88 (c/o Open/4b) / Td8h4d 2d Ac.  

If I had $2,700 burning a hole in my pocket I'd re-enter.  

26% of the time I'd have 63K/30Kss and we'd all be pretty happy.

My 3b OOP was terrible because it was pre-ante and I didn't sack-up and 5b-aipf after he 4b-potted.  5b-pot after he 4b-pots might've worked, but unlikely.  At least in those situations I would've put the decision on him (before he had a set).

Best play on the bust-out hand was obv to fold pf to the original rs.

I'll play another big tournament like this again, but not today.

My AcKc (UTG) > ?? (UTG+1, same guy that flopped a set on my AA earlier) / AA8 Jcc 6 - I opened UTG pre, got a call from +1, btn, and BB.  cBet 1.4K->2,175, x/c his 2.5K->4,975 turn.

I had about 21K bhd after I x/c'd the turn.  I tanked hard, not because I was ever thinking about folding, but because I was trying to figure out if I wanted to let this pot get out of hand.  My perceived range seems to be all pocket pairs, some Ace-x hands, very small chance I turned a back-door Royal draw.  A8 boat and AJ boat are possible, but unlikely, JJ boat and 88 boat allowable.  If he knows I have one of those hands, what the hell would continue with if I would c/r the turn?

He'd continue w/ AQ, AT, maybe smaller aces, but unlikely, his own floated back-door royal draw, and of course some flopped/turned boats.

After I x/c the turn, I probably should've led out on the river.  Of course, I puke if he raises me.  I enjoyed my breakfast, was in no mood to throw it up (not until the bust-out hand where I c/rai and he beats me into the pot w/ a flopped a set... great read, Trav).

I know I could've played better, gotten less creative pre-ante.  I also could've binked an OESD.

This game, if nothing else, sure is frustrating.

Me, less than 24 hours after I posted on here (and twitter.com/OnAFoldDraw and facebook.com/OnAFoldDraw) that I was selling action.  Thank you all for your continued support and for coming along for the ride.  For the original post, navigate to http://onafolddraw.tumblr.com/post/34964781990/2012borgatafallopen.

With all this action out the door, the prices have not changed, but the availability has.

I try to keep the spreadsheets and facebook event pages updated.  If you don't feel like clicking through for all the prices and options, here's a few quickies:

35%: $564 for the Bounties @ 1.278 MU + $393 for the Stud and $100K Gtd @ 1.321 MU = $957 @ 1.296

30%: $487 Bounties + $343 Stud/$100K = $830 @ 1.311 MU

25%: $409 Bounties + $289 Stud/$100K = $698 @ 1.323 MU

20%: $329 Bounties + $237 Stud/$100K = $566 @ 1.341 MU

15%: $249 Bounties + $180 Stud/$100K = $429 @ 1.355 MU

12.5%: $209 Bounties + $157 Stud/$100K = $366 @ 1.388 MU

10%: $168 Bounties + $126 Stud/$100K = $294 @ 1.393 MU

7% Bounties for $126 + 6.666% Stud/$100K for $84 = $210 @ 1.45 MU

4.5% Bounties for $83 + 5% Stud/$100K for $64 = $147 @ 1.48 MU

3.333% Bounties for $63 + 3% Stud/$100K for $39 = $102 @ 1.51 MU

1.7% Bounties for $33 + 2% Stud/$100K for $27 = $60 @ 1.56 MU

1% Bounties for $20 + 1% Stud/$100K for $14 = $34 @ 1.6 MU

[tl;dr ? $713 for 20% @ 1.335 MU, volume determines MU]

I've got a room at the Borgata for about seven straight nights starting on Tuesday.  There's a slew of tournaments that I'm going to play and I'm willing to part with some of the action if you're willing to part with some of your hard-earned money.

Tues 6 Nov: Arrive and settle in.  Register for Day 1B of the opener.  Reg lines can be crazy, good to get it out of the way.  Gonna splash around in some $1/$2 NL and maybe $5/$10 NL if I feel alot froggy.  We'll see.

Weds 7 Nov: Day 1A of the opener.  I'm NOT playing the tournament on Day 1A and will only be firing one (1) $560 bullet at 1B.  The prize pool's already guaranteed to be huge ($500,000), I hope to not make it huge-er.

Thurs 8 Nov: Day 1B of the $500,000 Guaranteed $560 Buy-in NL tournament.  Likely 1,500+ entrants for the whole tournament, first place could very easily be over $150,000. I've already sold some action for this one, still a few options available.  Click here to see updated sales on the facebook event page and here for a link to the prices.

Fri 9 Nov: Day 2 of the Opener.  In a perfect world, I'm still in the opener.  If I'm not, there's also a $500 NL (w/ $100 Bounties) that day.  I'm happy to play for 100% of myself in this one, but if you want a piece of the action, it's available.  Click here to see updated sales on the facebook event page and here for a link to the prices.

Sat 10 Nov: $760 NL (w/ $200 Bounties).  I'm salivating as I type.  The mark-up is relatively low on this one and it's conceivable that I could free-roll it by knocking out four or more players.  I gave the option to pair this tournament with the bounty on the previous day if you want to have a shot at both tournaments.  Click here to see updated sales on the facebook event page and here for a link to the prices.

Sun 11 Nov: $450 Stud.  There is no guarantee on this tournament but it is on Veteran's Day.  Veterans like Stud, don't they?  I happen to be pretty good at this game.  I'm willing to sell up to about 75% of myself in this one at 1.2 MU for $405 - but if you want a smaller piece, there are other options available all the way down to $8 for 1%, etc.  Also worth noting that this tournament can be paired with the $100K Gtd NL on the next day.  Click here to see updated sales on the facebook event page and here for a link to the prices.

Mon 12 Nov: $100,000 Guaranteed ($400 Buy-in) NL.  The weekend is over, but people are still hanging around and trying to win tournaments.  First place could be well over $20K in this one, hard to guess.  Willing to sell up to 75% of myself at 1.2 MU for $360 - smaller pieces available as well, including $101 for 18% at 1.402, $80 for 14%, $19 for 3%, etc.  Click here to see updated sales on the facebook event page and here for a link to the prices.

If you've made it this far, thanks for your interest.  I update on twitter constantly and you're rarely left wondering, "Gee, how's Trav doing?"  Think of it as buying tickets to a show and enjoy the ride.

Prior to publication - I've sold a good chunk of the opener.  If you want a quick reference without clicking through links, see below.

60%: $650 @ 1.274 MU (a) Stud and $100K Gtd + $933 @ 1.234 MU (W) Bounties = $1,583 @ 1.25 MU

55%: $601 @ 1.285 MU (Z) Stud and $100K Gtd + $861 @ 1.242 MU (V) Bounties = $1,462 @ 1.26 MU

50% $552 @ 1.298 MU (Y) Stud and $100K Gtd + $789 @ 1.252 MU (U) Bounties = $1,341 @ 1.271 MU

45%: $499 @ 1.304 MU (X) Stud and $100K Gtd + $715 @ 1.261 MU (T) Bounties = $1,214 @ 1.279 MU

40%: $447 @ 1.314 MU (W) Stud and $100K Gtd + $640 @ 1.269 MU (S) Bounties = $1,087 @ 1.288 MU

35%: $393 @ 1.321 MU (V) Stud and $100K Gtd + $564 @ 1.278 MU (R) Bounties = $957 @ 1.3 MU

30%: $343 @ 1.345 MU (T) Stud and $100K Gtd + $487 @ 1.288 MU (Q) Bounties = $830 @ 1.311 MU

25%: $289 @ 1.36 MU (S) Stud and $100K Gtd + $409 @ 1.298 MU (P) Bounties = $698 @ 1.323 MU

20% (no opener): $237 @ 1.394 MU (Q) Stud and $100K Gtd + $329 @ 1.305 MU (O) Bounties = $566 @ 1.341 MU

20% (w/ Opener): $157 @ 1.401 MU (a) $500K Gtd + $237 @ 1.394 MU (Q) Stud and $100K Gtd + $329 @ 1.305 MU (O) Bounties = $713 @ 1.335

$118 for 15% $500K Gtd + $180 for 15% Stud and $100K Gtd + $249 for 15% Bounties = $547 @ 1.366 MU

$99 for 12.5% $500K Gtd + $157 for 12.5% Stud and $100K Gtd + $209 for 12.5% Bounties = $465 @ 1.393 MU

$80 for 10% $500K Gtd + $126 for 10% Stud and $100K Gtd + $168 for 10% Bounties = $374 @ 1.4 MU

$50 for 6% $500K Gtd + $84 for 6.666% Stud and $100K Gtd + $126 for 7% Bounties = $260 @ 1.456 MU

$42 for 5% $500K Gtd + $64 for 5% Stud and $100K Gtd + $83 for 4.5% Bounties = $189 @ 1.486 MU

$27 for 3% $500K Gtd + $39 for 3% Stud and $100K Gtd + $63 for 3.333% Bounties = $129 @ 1.53 MU

$19 for 2% $500K Gtd + $27 for 2% Stud and $100K Gtd + $33 for 1.7% Bounties = $79 @ 1.59 MU

$11 for 1% $500K Gtd + $14 for 1% Stud and $100K Gtd + $20 for 1% Bounties = $45 @ 1.69 MU

$8 for 0.625% $500K Gtd + $10 for 0.66% Stud and $100K Gtd + $17 for 0.809% Bounties = $35 @ 1.8 MU

$7 for 0.5% $500K Gtd + $5 for 0.325% Stud and $100K Gtd + $9 for 0.428% Bounties = $21 @ 1.9 MU

I added two tournaments to my schedule:

Fri 9 Nov, $500 NL (w/ $100 Bounties)

Sat 10 Nov, $760 NL (w/ $200 Bounties)