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Avganistan pokazuje zašto je rat protiv terorizma jedna velika laž i fijasko
Avganistan pokazuje zašto je rat protiv terorizma jedna velika laž i fijasko
Marc Vandepitte UKUS SOPSTVENOG LIJEKA Rat protiv terorizma počeo je prije dvadeset godina nakon napada 11. septembra. Pentagon je krenuo u rat protiv Al Kaide i njihovih pokrovitelja, talibana. Zaista čudan razvoj događaja, budući da su Al Kaidu sami stvorili. Niko drugi nego Hillary Clinton, tadašnja američka državna sekretarka, priznala je da se bore protiv terorista koje su sami stvorili i…
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What are we Fighting For?
By: Charles "Sam" Faddis
Karl Von Clausewitz, Prussian military strategist of the 19th century, described war in his seminal text "On War" as being the continuation of politics by other means. I am not a big fan of Clausewitz. He is stiff. He is repetitive. You can almost smell the Prussian accent in his writing. He reminds me way too much of the Hegel and Kant I was forced to read as an undergraduate.
He is also, often, exactly right.
Clausewitz's point regarding the goal of war is perhaps more clear in the following quote, also taken from "On War". "The political object is the goal, war is the means of reaching it, and the means can never be considered in isolation from their purposes."
We don't go to war out of anger, pride or on any other emotional basis. We don't go to war based on starry-eyed romantic notions. We go to war to achieve specific political objectives. What means we will use and how we conduct the war are then driven by those objectives.
We neglect this admonition at our own peril, because the alternative is to enter into a conflict with no clear idea of its purpose and, consequently, no clear idea of how or when to bring it to a close. We do not know what we intend to achieve. We have no idea how to define victory. Soon we have no goal other than to get ourselves out of the box in to which we have placed ourselves.
Witness Afghanistan.
We invaded Afghanistan in the Fall of 2001 with very clear, precise, narrow goals. We wanted to destroy the Al Qaida presence there, and we wanted to topple the Taliban regime that gave Al Qaida refuge. Those objectives we achieved in a matter of months utilizing a supremely effective combination of native allies, Special Operations and intelligence personnel and American airpower.
And then, having achieved that brilliant victory, we drifted, without any significant policy debate of which I am aware, into a totally different, completely open ended mission. Where before our presence on the ground had been minimal and our goals limited, we now poured in tens of thousands of conventional troops, added a huge phalanx of civilian contractors and took on the task of transforming one of the poorest and most primitive nations on Earth into a modern, secular, Western-style democratic state.
The results have been predictable.
And the events of the last several months have only served to highlight the absurdity of the direction we have taken.
Our troops, no doubt mentally crushed by the burden of fighting a seemingly endless conflict in a nation that seems to detest their presence, have been implicated in the desecration of Taliban corpses and the massacre of innocent civilians. Our Afghan allies have on numerous occasions turned on the American advisors assigned to help them and murdered them in cold blood. The border with Pakistan remains sealed, and all supplies for our forces in Afghanistan now come via a circuitous route across the Eurasian steppe at something like eight times the cost we used to pay to move supplies through Pakistan.
The President of Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai, who owes his life and his position to the courage and fortitude of American forces, demands that we remove our troops immediately from the Afghan countryside. He opposes our holding of Taliban prisoners. He wants all night raids by our Special Operations forces, the single most effective tool we have in killing the enemy and avoiding civilian casualties, ended.
We sent $7 billion in aid to Afghanistan in 2009 and 2010. Estimates are that another $3.2 billion was sent in 2011. Many billions of dollars in additional aid are sent by other donors. So dependent does Afghanistan remain on this aid that 97% of its gross domestic product comes from outside sources. Put simply, there is no Afghan economy to speak of without foreign aid money.
And, with each passing day, the body count of our dead soldiers and Marines grows higher.
The politicians of both the major parties agonize and pontificate. Commentators and journalists opine and talk endlessly about "quagmires", "end games" and "timetables for withdrawal". Through it all, the course remains the same. We know full well what we are doing is not working. We see no real light at the end of the tunnel nor indication that we have turned a corner and begun to move in a positive direction. Yet, we continue to muddle along, doing more of the same and hoping somehow miraculously that things will improve.
They will not. We have neglected Clausewitz and paid the price. It is time to begin anew. It is time to clearly and succinctly articulate our goals in Afghanistan and to let those goals drive our actions and determine the resources we commit to the conflict.
As noted above, our original purpose for going to Afghanistan was to crush Al Qaida in that nation and topple the Taliban. Having done so our goal now should be to prevent the return of the Taliban and deny Afghanistan to terrorist groups seeking a safe haven.
Period. Full stop.
We may all wish that Afghanistan were a secular, democratic nation, which enjoyed gender equality and a modern educational system. It is not. It will not be for a very long time, if ever. Transforming it into one at the point of a bayonet is not feasible and it is not essential to our national security. That is not our mission.
Our mission is to leave Afghanistan in such a state that Americans can sleep soundly in their beds at night. Nothing more. Nothing less. And, driven by such a clear definition of our goals, the means to that end become clear.
We should withdraw as quickly as humanly possible all conventional forces, which are not either involved in the direct defense of American installations or operating in support of ongoing Special Operations missions. It is not our job to police Afghanistan. That job should be turned over to the Afghans now, with whatever minimal support and advice they need from US personnel.
We should recognize that the Afghan forces, which are going to do this policing, are not going to look anything like the neat, efficient army and police forces the bureaucrats in Washington envision when they think about such things. They are going to be an amalgam of elements of the Afghan Army, Afghan National Police, village defense forces and the private armies of warlords and local tribal chieftains. It does not matter. We do not require perfection. We require only forces capable of preventing a return of the Taliban and of maintaining Afghanistan as a nation friendly to our interests.
We should abandon all of our grandiose plans for nation building. Afghanistan is not a modern nation. It will not be for a very long time, if ever. We need to accept that and stop trying to force the Afghan people to accept values and attitudes alien to them.
We should maintain an unrelenting focus on the hunting and elimination of Al Qaeda and Taliban high value targets hostile to our national security. We should hand that mission to SOCOM and the Intelligence Community and give them the resources they need to do the job. It will take years, time and space to do the job.
The Afghanistan that these steps will produce will not be modern or secular. It will be a nation wherein the central government retains only limited control in some areas. It will also be a country that will be the scene of considerable violence for many years to come.
It will not, however, be a breeding ground for terrorism nor a launching pad for attacks on American soil. However imperfect, it will not be a threat to the United States of America. Furthermore, supporting Afghanistan in this fashion will require a small fraction of the number of troops we have there now and will cost us, in relative terms, a pittance.
And, we will know exactly what we are fighting for.
Defining the Objective
By: Charles "Sam" Faddis
There is a lot of discussion ongoing in Washington about the war in Afghanistan and our next steps. There should be. We all know what happened the last time that we walked away from Afghanistan decided to let events there take their own course. The entire nation ended up under the control of a radical Islamic brotherhood, the Taliban, and Al Qaeda was given an ideal safehaven from which to launch attacks against the West. No matter what we do, we cannot allow Afghanistan to return to the state. That does not mean, however, that we automatically have to proceed down the path of nation-building that we are on. Preventing Afghanistan from becoming a base of operations for Al Qaeda and trying to transform Afghanistan into a modern, liberal democracy are two dramatically different things and accepting the necessity for the former does not of necessity require that we embrace the latter. We in America have a tendency to look at maps, trace the nice, clear outlines of international borders that we see there and attribute to the spaces outlined the same kinds of characteristics that we accept as givens here in America. Afghanistan appears on all our maps. It is colored a uniform color, and its boundaries are easy to distinguish. It follows, therefore, according to our assumptions that it is a single nation, with a central government, some degree of infrastructure, etc. The truth is, of course, much more complex and infinitely more challenging. Afghanistan is perhaps only arguably a single nation. It is a vast area inhabited by a wide range of peoples, many of whom hate and distrust each other. The government in Kabul exercises little or no control in many areas and it never has. Villagers in the countryside often exist much as they have for centuries, following local custom and Islamic law and paying very little attention to what any outsider wants. I read an article the other day about a Marine unit that had gone into a village and conducted a meeting with the village elders. Via an Afghan government translator, the commander of the Marine unit tried to convince the elders that his men were there to protect them and that they would respect their property and their traditions. The response from the village headman was telling. He responded to the Marine commander by saying that he believed him and that he had seen with his own eyes that the Marines were disciplined and respectful. Then he pointed to the Afghan translator, a representative of the Kabul government, and said that his problem was not with the Marines but with him. He made clear that his people had lived in that village for centuries and done quite well without any outside interference. That remained, said the headman, all they wanted, to be left alone. All of the promised intrusion of the Kabul government into their affairs was unwelcome. The message was clear. Go away. Leave us alone. We have no interest whatsoever in your "reforms", your "modernity" or your "democracy". Transforming Afghanistan into a modern, viable nation state is not a task that will take years. It is a task that will take generations. If our goal is to create a "Switzerland" in South Asia, we are doomed to failure. That does not mean we need to cut and run. It does mean we need to define an achievable goal and then tailor the level of our involvement accordingly.