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Morgan Stanley expects AUD/USD to 0.68 by year end, then 0.62 by end 2016
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Title textual content for subsequent report
Morgan Stanley Australian greenback forecast in a observe to clientele
US68¢ by the end of this calendar year
.sixty two by conclude 2016
MS reasoning cites:
They assume weaker financial info
Assume the RBA to cut down to one.75% (timing is in This autumn they say)
A reduce AUD not only from Australian developments, but also more powerful USD … “The important short-phrase motorists of the US greenback will be development and front-stop produce differentials, which we count on to turn into even clearer with our group forecasting a powerful retail revenue determine on Thursday, incorporating to momentum from payrolls, housing info and the ISM.”
On the RBA:
“there was some market place frustration with the current rhetoric from the RBA that in 1 breath backs hard for a lower currency but then backs absent from the easing bias that would have assisted obtain this end result”
“We … check out the recent RBA rhetoric and positioning as one that seeks higher flexibility joined to the overarching notion of knowledge dependancy”
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