#$nvr

EARNING UPDATE $NVR NVR, Inc. for quarter ending q_Sep18 – Revenue rose but Margins contracted

[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level0)]Please login to read the earning update on NVR [lwa][/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level0)]NVR, Inc. reported earnings (EPS) of 0.00 per share for the quarter ending q_Sep18. This is vis-vis 49.05 per share for the previous quarter ending q_Jun18, a decline of 100 %. Compared to last year same quarter (q_Sep17), earnings fell from…

EARNING UPDATE $NVR NVR, Inc. for quarter ending q_Sep18 – Revenue fell, Margins contracted

[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level0)]Please login to read the earning update on NVR [lwa][/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level0)]NVR, Inc. reported earnings (EPS) of 0.00 per share for the quarter ending q_Sep18. This is vis-vis 49.05 per share for the previous quarter ending q_Jun18, a decline of 100 %. Compared to last year same quarter (q_Sep17), earnings fell from…

#NVR Earning declared EPS = 48.28 vs estimate= 50.94 for Q3/18 #sym #spy #earnings #markets

Earning released for NVR: Actual EPS = 48.28 per share Estimate = 50.94 per share

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NVR report:

The mean EPS over the last 16 releases is 28.6 per share. The current EPS at 48.28 per share is above the average EPS of the last 16 quarterly earning releases.

NVR Stock Chart:

NVR Scores:

NVR Fundamental Score = Click…

EARNING UPDATE $NVR NVR, Inc. for quarter ending q_Jun18 – Revenue fell but Margins expanded

[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level0)]Please login to read the earning update on NVR [lwa][/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level0)]NVR, Inc. reported earnings (EPS) of 49.05 per share for the quarter ending q_Jun18. This is vis-vis 39.34 per share for the previous quarter ending q_Mar18, a growth of 24.7 %. Compared to last year same quarter (q_Jun17), earnings grew from…

EARNING UPDATE $NVR NVR, Inc. for quarter ending q_Sep17 – Revenue grew, Margins expanded

[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level0)]Please login to read the earning update on NVR [lwa][/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level0)]NVR, Inc. reported earnings (EPS) of 38.02 per share for the quarter ending q_Sep17. This is vis-vis 35.19 per share for the previous quarter ending q_Jun17, a growth of 8 %. Compared to last year same quarter (q_Sep16), earnings grew from 28.46…

YOUR WEEKLY EDITION OF THE Top 10 Long/Short Estimize Signal Scores Monday, April 10, 2017

The Estimize Signal has identified the following 20 stocks to have the highest likelihood of positive and negative drift around their earnings today. The Signal is calculated by consolidating several predictive factors within Estimize’s earnings estimates collected from 45,000 buy side, independent, and amateur analysts.

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At Estimize, we've always done extensive research on our crowdsourced earnings estimates. Every week, we'll be sharing some of our findings to help you effectively leverage Estimize's more accurate and representative earnings estimates. Please get in touch with us at [email protected] to discuss.

Top 10 Positive Signal Scores

Highlest likelihood of a positive pre/post earnings drift

1 NCR NCR Corp. Thu, Apr 20 63.97 pre 2 MAN ManpowerGroup Fri, Apr 21 63.59 pre 3 SPSC SPS Commerce, Inc. Thu, Apr 20 58.40 pre 4 DAN Dana Incorporated Thu, Apr 20 55.04 pre 5 NVR NVR Inc. Thu, Apr 20 53.65 pre 6 RPM RPM International Inc. Thu, Apr 6 50.31 post 7 CUDA Barracuda Networks, Inc. Mon, Apr 17 49.37 pre 8 TRN Trinity Industries Inc. Thu, Apr 20 46.62 pre 9 MDSO Medidata Solutions, Inc. Thu, Apr 20 39.30 pre 10 ADTN ADTRAN Inc. Tue, Apr 18 37.41 pre

Bottom 10 Negative Signal Scores

Highlest likelihood of a negative pre/post earnings drift

1 ACTG Acacia Research Corporation Thu, Apr 20 -95.41 pre 2 AZZ AZZ Incorporated Thu, Apr 20 -91.97 pre 3 NLSN Nielsen Holdings N.V. Wed, Apr 19 -87.20 pre 4 HXL Hexcel Corp. Wed, Apr 19 -85.23 pre 5 POOL Pool Corp. Thu, Apr 20 -81.40 pre 6 SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. Fri, Apr 21 -77.08 pre 7 JMBA Jamba, Inc. Fri, Apr 14 -73.59 pre 8 JAKK JAKKS Pacific, Inc. Thu, Apr 20 -72.05 pre 9 BRO Brown & Brown Inc. Mon, Apr 17 -71.12 pre 10 SSD Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. Thu, Apr 20 -67.75 pre

As one example of the Signal's predictive power, we tested it in isolation as a stock selection signal over the last 5 years and found it produced 23.1% returns and 1.75 sharpe. We used a dollar neutral portfolio consisting of the top and bottom decile of scores rebalanced daily at the open. Use the Signal in your own strategies and models to generate alpha and manage risk. Want to get set up with premium access? Email us »

Impala Asset Management returns an estimated -0.4% for June 2015 - the fully hedged version returns 0.94%

Impala Asset Management generated a -0.4% return on their publicly disclosed hedge fund portfolio for the month ending June 2015, underperforming the S&P500 by 41 basis points (bp). On a hedged basis, the portfolio would have returned 0.94% StockAlpha over the same period. Impala's StockAlpha reflects the return of the net return if each security in their portfolio was hedged with a sector ETF, such that the resulting portfolio was market, beta and sector neutral. StockAlpha in the Cons. Disc. sector contributed the most to StockAlpha during the month.

Positive Contributors to Impala's Returns

Impala’s position in Ryland Group Inc. (RYL) contributed the most to the performance of the manager’s long-portfolio during the month. Over the month of June 2015, Impala's 7.8% position in Ryland Group Inc. (RYL) increased in value by 8.8%, contributing 0.69% (7.8%*8.8%=0.69%)to the long portfolios overall return. Looking at Impala's portfolio through a fully hedged StockAlpha lens, the holding of Ryland Group Inc. (RYL) also provided the largest contribution to fully hedged returns. Ryland Group Inc. (RYL) returned 8.8% during the month compared to the Cons. Disc. sector, which returned 0.6%. As a result, after taking into account Ryland Group Inc. (RYL)'s beta relative to its sector, the position contributed 0.6% of StockAlpha to the Impala’s monthly performance.

Negative Contributors to Impala's Returns

Much of the drag on Impala’s long-portfolio during the month can be attributed to the holding of NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI). Over the month of June 2015, the manager's 2.2% position in NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) returned -14%, contributing -0.31% (2.2%*-14%=-0.31%)to the long portfolios overall return. Looking at Impala's portfolio through a fully hedged StockAlpha lens, the holding of NVR Inc (NVR) provided the most negative contribution to fully hedged returns. NVR Inc (NVR) returned -1.6% during the month compared to the Cons. Disc. sector, which returned 0.6%. As a result, the position contributed -0.3% of StockAlpha to the manager’s monthly performance.

Overlap with other hedge funds

Among Impala’s top 10 largest positions, Apple Inc (AAPL) is the name that is owned by most other hedge funds. 36.3% of hedge funds within Symmetric's universe had a position in Apple Inc (AAPL) as of March 31, 2015, making it a consensus name relative to other stocks. Impala initiated its position in Apple Inc (AAPL) 0.5 years ago. Other hedge funds that have significant ownership stakes in Apple Inc (AAPL) include Capstone Investment Advisors (27.9% position initiated 0.5 years ago). Overall, Impala's book is neither consensus or contrarian, with the average position held in the portfolio held by 10.5% of hedge funds.

July Forecast

Rising wages, a tighter labor market, the wealth effect from tremendous stock and bond market gains, Millennials turning mid-30’s, pent-up home-shoppers coming out after a terrible winter – these are all the ingredients for a ballistic housing market, not unlike the one I had guessed we would see this spring (see my February story at Fortune here).

Last week, we got data on new single-family home starts that was just incredible – a 22% gain over the prior year. This week, we heard this about homes under contract as of April (via Barclays):

Pending home sales rose 3.4% m/m in April, coming in a bit above our forecast (3.0%) and well above consensus expectations (0.9%) for only a modest rise. The strength in April pending sales was broad-based, with gains led by the Northeast (10.1%) and Midwest (5.0%). Sales activity in these regions was hard hit by adverse weather in Q1 and the strength in April pending sales suggests a boost to regional existing home sales in the coming months. Gains in the Midwest (5.0%) and South (2.3%) were more modest, though these regions did not recently experience declining sales. The April data leave total pending sales up 13.4% y/y and, on balance, are supportive of our expectation of a solid Q2 rebound in residential investment.

As you can see, we’re back above pre-crisis levels. Residential housing has indeed gone ballistic this spring:

Source:

Update: US pending home sales post solid advance in April Barclays – May 28th 2015