The Truth About the Trump Economy
I keep hearing that although Trump is a scoundrel or worse, at least heās presiding over a great economy.Ā
As White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow recently put it, āThe single biggest story this year is an economic boom that is durable and lasting.ā
Really? Look closely at the living standards of most Americans, and you get a very different picture.
Yes, the stock market has boomed since Trump became president. But itās looking increasingly wobbly as Trumpās trade wars take a toll.
Over 80 percent of the stock market is owned by the richest 10 percent of Americans anyway, so most Americans never got much out of Trumpās market boom to begin with. Ā
The trade wars are about to take a toll on ordinary workers. Trumpās steel tariffs have cost Ford $1 billion so far, for example, forcing the automaker to plan mass layoffs. Ā
What about economic growth? Data from the Commerce Department shows the economy at full speed, 4.2 percent growth for the second quarter.
But very little of that growth is trickling down to average Americans. Adjusted for inflation, hourly wages arenāt much higher now than they were forty years ago.
Trump slashed taxes on the wealthy and promised everyone else a $4,000 wage boost. But the boost never happened. Thatās a big reason why Republicans arenāt campaigning on their tax cut, which is just about their only legislative accomplishment.
Trump and congressional Republicans refuse to raise the minimum wage, stuck at $7.25 an hour. Trumpās Labor Department is also repealing a rule that increased the number of workers entitled to time-and-a-half for overtime.
Yes, unemployment is down to 3.7 percent. But jobs are less secure than ever. Contract workers ā who arenāt eligible for family or medical leave, unemployment insurance, the minimum wage, or workerās compensation ā are now doing one out of every five jobs in America.
Trumpās Labor Department has invited more companies to reclassify employees as contract workers. Its new rule undoes the California Supreme Courtās recent decision requiring that most workers be presumed employees unless proven otherwise. (Given Californiaās size, that decision had nationwide effect.)
Meanwhile, housing costs are skyrocketing, with Americans now paying a third or more of their paychecks in rent or mortgages.
Trumpās response? Drastic cuts in low-income housing. His Secretary of Housing and Urban Development also wants to triple the rent paid by poor households in subsidized housing. Ā
Healthcare costs continues to rise faster than inflation. Trumpās response? Undermine the Affordable Care Act. Over the past two years, some 4 million people have lost healthcare coverage, according to a survey by the Commonwealth Fund.
Pharmaceutical costs are also out of control. Trumpās response? Allow the biggest pharmacist, CVS, to merge with the one of the biggest health insurers, Aetna ā creating a behemoth with the power to raise prices even further.
The cost of college continues to soar. Trumpās response? Make it easier for for-profit colleges to defraud students. His Secretary of Education, Betsy DeVos, is eliminating regulations that had required for-profit colleges to prove they provide gainful employment to the students they enroll.
Commuting to and from work is becoming harder, as roads and bridges become more congested, and subways and trains older and less reliable. Trumpās response? Nothing. Although he promised to spend $1.5 trillion to repair Americaās crumbling infrastructure, his $1.5 trillion tax cut for big corporations and the wealthy used up the money. Ā
Climate change is undermining the standard of living of ordinary Americans, as more are hit with floods, mudslides, tornados, draughts, and wildfires. Even those who have so far avoided direct hits will be paying more for insurance ā or having a harder time getting it. People living on flood plains, or in trailers, or without home insurance, are paying the highest price. Ā
Trumpās response? Allow more carbon into the atmosphere and make climate change even worse.
Too often, discussions about āthe economyā focus on overall statistics about growth, the stock market, and unemployment.
But most Americans donāt live in that economy. They live in a personal economy that has more to do with wages, job security, commutes to and from work, and the costs of housing, healthcare, drugs, education, and home insurance.
These are the things that hit closest home. They comprise the typical Americanās standard of living.
Instead of an āeconomic boom,ā most Americans are experiencing declines in all these dimensions of their lives.
Trump isnāt solely responsible. Some of these trends predated his presidency.Ā But he hasnāt done anything to reverse them.Ā
If anything, heās made them far worse.
