January 1, 1916 - Looking Forward to 1916
Pictured - Victory on the horizon?
Flares, rockets, and artillery shells lit up New Year’s Eve on the Western Front as soldiers celebrated the end of 1915. But would the dawning new year give them any cause to celebrate?
1915 had seen an immense growth in the power of the state as the governments of the warring powers exerted more and more control over their citizens, with drafts and rations, in the hopes of winning a long and destructive war. 1916 would see these new resources employed on the battlefield in immense battles of attrition. It was to be the year of total war.
The Central Powers began 1916 as the dominant side, their ascendancy on the battlefield reflected by confidence at home, such as how the Hapsburg Empire treated its national minorities. In January 1916 the Austro-Hungarian government declared that German was the only official language in Bohemia. Viennese police used their truncheons to beat up pedestrians they heard speaking Czech. On the battlefront, Austria’s nemesis Serbia had finally been defeated. On the 8th of January the Central Powers invaded and defeated Montenegro, Serbia’s ally. German troops defended positions far into the French interior and in the heart of Poland, deep in the Russian Empire. The Turks, meanwhile, had won an astonishing victory at Gallipoli and had the British on the backfoot in Iraq.
Yet for all this, Germany and its allies had the sense that they were playing against the clock. “There can be no question of destroying the Russian war machine,” pessimistically warned Austrian General Conrad to Count Tisza on January 4, “England cannot be defeated; peace must be made in not too short a space, or we shall be fatally weakened, if not destroyed.” To that end, Germany was planning the masterstroke to defeat France: a spectacular battle at Verdun to “bleed France white”.
Britain and France were planning their own next move - a summer offensive on the Somme River. It would be Germany that would strike first at Verdun in late February, dragging France into a horrid battle of attrition that lasted until the end of the year, in which almost every single infantryman in the French Army would participate. The British attack on the Somme commenced in July to help the French. Both battles would be among the worst bloodbaths of world history. The Russians would make their own, surprisingly effective, contribution with the Brusilov Offensive in June.
However, 1916 would prove, unlike its predecessor, a decisive year. Though the battles lasted for months, they were to fatally weaken the German Army, if not break its back. For all their triumphs and successes in 1915, and despite even more in 1916, from the annexation of Serbia to a lightning blitz versus the Romanians, the Central Powers were playing against time, and in 1916, it started to run out.