TFI Daily News

Initial deal to end US-Iran war moves toward formal signing despite lingering questions (AP) An initial agreement between the United States and Iran to extend their shaky ceasefire inched toward a formal signing despite questions Monday over the fate of Tehran’s nuclear program and an offensive by Israel in Lebanon that could prolong the fighting and scuttle the deal. The agreement signed electronically Sunday is meant to provide a meaningful truce in a monthslong war that has killed thousands across the Middle East, including the top leaders of Iran’s theocracy, and raised the prices of fuel, food and other basic goods far beyond the region. But logistical and military challenges underscored the fragile nature of the deal, which was set for a ceremonial signing Friday in Geneva.

Higher prices for gas, groceries and flights will outlast the Iran war, experts say (AP) A tentative deal to end the Iran war makes it reasonable to ask how soon prices will drop for gasoline, groceries, airline tickets and other items that got more expensive during the conflict. Not so fast, experts say. Even after oil starts flowing again from the Middle East, it could take a while for consumers to see a difference at local fuel pumps, supermarkets and other places they shop, according to economists and industry analysts. Fighting over the Strait of Hormuz disrupted not only supplies of crude and refined fuel but also the supply chains for fertilizer, food and even footwear. Businesses expect higher costs to linger. “It is not clear, despite three months of war, that anything has been achieved that makes the American consumer better off,” Brett House, an economist who teaches at Columbia Business School, said. “In fact, by almost any measure, not just the American consumer, but the world, is worse off as a result of this attack.”

College sticker prices hit a new high at elite schools (Independent) A small group of American universities is crossing a threshold that once seemed absurd: $100,000 for a single year as an undergraduate. At least 16 institutions are now approaching or exceeding that figure when tuition, fees, housing and other miscellaneous costs are combined, according to a recent analysis by New York Magazine. The list—corroborated by data obtained by CNBC—is dominated by elite, high-demand schools, including the University of Chicago, Georgetown University and Wesleyan University. College costs have surged in the past 40 years but the leap to six-figure price tags—both a financial and psychological milestone—raises new questions about how colleges set prices, who ultimately pays and whether the higher education market is nearing a breaking point.

Cuba quantifies impact of US oil blockade on children’s health and daily life (AP) Some of Cuba’s sickest people are feeling the effects of the U.S. energy blockade, with surgeries delayed, kidney dialysis treatments disrupted and children with cancer facing a higher risk of death, according to a report published Monday by Cuban state-run media. The survival rate for children with cancer has fallen to 65% from 85% before the energy restrictions began in January, according to the report released by Cubadebate. It also said 100,000 children younger than 7 are no longer receiving the daily liter of milk previously provided by the state and that the country’s 16-vaccine immunization program for infants is “at risk.” Additionally, it said, another 100,000 Cubans are on waiting lists for surgery and the treatment schedules of nearly 3,000 patients requiring kidney dialysis have been disrupted. Regarding medication, 300 of the 395 essential medicines produced on the island are unavailable due to a lack of chemical components required to manufacture medications.

Surging Chinese exports threaten Europe’s economy, raising concern at G7 summit (AP) For eight years, the United States has waged economic war on China, slapping big taxes on Chinese products before they enter America. But the campaign hasn’t dented China’s industrial prowess. The world’s second biggest economy is exporting more products than ever. It’s just redirecting them away from the U.S. tariff wall and toward more open markets in Europe and elsewhere in Asia. The shift in Chinese trade risks creating a European sequel to the China Shock that wiped out hundreds of thousands of factory jobs in the American heartland in the 2000s and contributed to the political upheaval that put Donald Trump in the White House twice. Despite U.S. sanctions, China last year notched a record global trade surplus—an astonishing $1.2 trillion. China’s trade practices will be near the top of the agenda this week as leaders of the G7 rich democracies gather in Évian-les-Bains, France.

At G-7, allies plan for a world less reliant on the U.S. (Washington Post) At this week’s Group of Seven summit, President Donald Trump will find America’s closest allies in a new posture: increasingly willing to tell him no. After years of tariff threats, diplomatic whiplash and public confrontations, many world leaders have concluded that Trump is not an interruption to the international order but a feature of it—a reordering likely to endure regardless of who sits in the Oval Office. Rather than simply accommodating Trump, they are increasingly preparing for a future in which the U.S. is a less predictable partner and Europe is less inclined to follow America’s lead. Many of the leaders gathering here share some of America’s broader goals, but they are also increasingly willing to resist U.S. pressure. Yet even as European leaders prepare for a future less reliant on Washington, they remain eager to avoid an open rupture with Trump. “Historians will point to Greenland as a point when the transatlantic alliance began to break, when the divorce really started to happen,” said Max Bergmann, director of the Europe, Russia and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Ukraine Targets Moscow Oil Facility With Drones as G7 Leaders Meet (NYT) As the Group of 7 leaders gathered Tuesday for a summit focusing in part on Russia’s war in Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukrainian drones had targeted an oil refinery in Moscow, about 10 miles from the Kremlin. Moscow’s mayor, Sergei Sobyanin, said that the city had come under attack by dozens of drones, at least one of which struck the Moscow Oil Refinery. The Moscow Oil Refinery supplies more than a third of the city’s fuel demands, along with jet fuel and other petroleum products, according to industry publications. A day earlier, Russia bombarded the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, and other cities with a missiles and drones that killed at least 11 people and injured dozens more. Some of Ukraine’s most cherished cultural institutions, including the Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra, one of the holiest cathedrals in the Eastern Orthodox church, were damaged in the strikes.

6.7 magnitude earthquake shakes part of Indonesia, causing scattered damage (AP) A 6.7 magnitude earthquake shook part of central Indonesia’s Sulawesi island Tuesday, causing scattered damage and rattling residents of a city devastated by a quake and tsunami eight years ago. The strong shaking sent people fleeing into open areas in and around Palu, a city of about 400,000 people and the capital of Central Sulawesi province. Several hospitals evacuated patients, some with IV drips, outdoors as a safety measure. Images from the area showed heavily damaged structures with partially collapsed roofs, shattered walls and debris scattered across the streets. The National Disaster Management Agency said information on the damage, possible casualties and displaced people was still being gathered.

Mines in the Strait (Reuters) While the United States and Iran are reportedly approaching a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, it will realistically be some time before the number of ships that pass through the Strait daily—currently around 12 to 15 vessels per day—recovers back to the 120 to 140 vessels from before the war began. One reason is mines, which naval forces have placed at some locations in the Strait. An operation by conventional minesweepers and underwater drones to clear the Strait could take 40 to 50 days before the insurance, shipping and oil companies are satisfied that it’s sufficiently safe to sail. Given that a supertanker and its cargo of crude oil are worth about $300 million, war risk underwriters can understandably get skittish at even a whiff of mines.

Interim US-Iran peace deal sparks anger among Israelis, who lash out at Netanyahu (AP) Israelis from across the political spectrum reacted angrily Monday to the news of an initial deal between the U.S. and Iran, calling it a disaster for Israel and directing their fury at one man: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The Israeli leader said at a news conference Monday that “with an agreement, without an agreement,” he would continue fighting to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, which Tehran has long maintained it isn’t trying to do, saying its nuclear program is for civilian purposes. Critics say Netanyahu led President Donald Trump into the war with Iran while overpromising what it could achieve, and Trump now might be dragging Israel out of the conflict before it feels ready. They say the prime minister misjudged Trump’s appetite for a protracted conflict, was outflanked by Iran in negotiations and grew increasingly sidelined by the region’s other major players.

Can you believe your eyes? (NYT) Hany Farid, 60, is the world’s leading expert in spotting deepfake images and video on the internet. A professor, Farid has built a career out of his ability to differentiate visual reality from fakery. Every day he gets requests from governments, from journalists, from law enforcement and others hoping for his help in understanding what’s a real image and what’s a fake, whether a voice is a person’s or an A.I. clone’s. Farid’s done the research to show that most people cannot tell the difference between the real and the fake. And now he’s becoming one of them. He spends hours and hours on this work: watching videos, geolocating, seeking inconsistencies, doing math. It used to be that he was proud to discover the rare fake in a world of reality. Now it’s the opposite. And the deepfakes are slowly breaking him. “I don’t trust anything,” Farid said. “Every image I see, I’m drawing lines for shadows and doing geometry in my head, trying to figure out what I’m looking at. It’s over. Within a year or two, our whole visual system will be utterly useless.”

U.S. and Iran Reach Agreement to Reopen Strait and Begin Nuclear Talks (NYT) The United States and Iran declared on Sunday that they would cease hostilities for the next 60 days, the first major agreement between the two nations since the start of a war that has gripped the Middle East since late February. For now, however, they left unresolved the critical issue of whether and how Iran would agree to strict limits on its nuclear program. Leaders of the two nations proclaimed that they had reached the agreement after an intensive flurry of last-minute negotiations complicated by an Israeli airstrike earlier in the day on a Hezbollah stronghold near Beirut. The framework commits both governments to halting military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, and immediately reopening the Strait of Hormuz, allowing the free flow of oil and other products from the Middle East into global markets.

Israelis denounce Trump’s deal with Iran (Washington Post) A “catastrophe.” A “bad deal.” An agreement that “throws a lifeline to the murderous regime in Tehran.” Among Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s supporters and critics alike, in the press and on social media, the mood was clear as Israelis woke up Monday to news of a peace agreement between the United States and Iran: President Donald Trump’s deal is not one that many in Israel like. The question now is whether Trump’s deal is one that Netanyahu will stomach—or one he will seek to derail. Trump in brief expletive-punctuated interviews Sunday already accused the Israeli leader of jeopardizing the accord. In the first official Israeli comments after the announcement of the deal, Defense Minister Israel Katz said Israel won’t withdraw from land seized in Lebanon as the interim deal is pending. Katz said Israel plans to stay “indefinitely” in lands it holds in Lebanon, as well as Syria and the Gaza Strip. Over the past 2 1/2 years, Israel has taken control of areas in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria amounting to 1,000 square kilometers (386 square miles) of territory.

For His 80th Birthday, Trump Brought a Cage Match to the White House Lawn (NYT) President Trump’s 80th birthday Ultimate Fighting Championship stunt on the South Lawn of the White House on Sunday night was a mass-media spectacle unlike any in the history of the presidency. Mr. Trump sat ringside beside his wife, Melania Trump, as fighters whaled on one another inches away inside an eight-sided cage wrapped in cryptocurrency advertisements. All five of his children and nearly all his grandchildren sat around him. Thousands more were there on the lawn beneath a 600-ton steel-arch contraption called the Claw. The White House loomed dramatically over a fighting pit packed with billionaires, cabinet members and Republican lawmakers. It was all such an astonishing sight for so many reasons: The use of the trappings of the White House for violent cage fighting. The corporate sponsorships. Much of the White House was given over to this production. Fighters were filmed walking out through various rooms inside the residence and warming up, barefoot, in the Indian Treaty Room of the Old Executive Office Building across the way.

Most AAPI adults say the US is no longer a great country for immigrants, new poll finds (AP) Many Asian American and Pacific Islander adults have experienced or witnessed some degree of upheaval because of the Trump administration’s heightened immigration policies, a new AP-NORC/AAPI Data poll finds, while most say the U.S. is no longer the land of opportunity for immigrants. A new poll released Monday from AAPI Data and The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research shows about half of AAPI adults say they—or someone they know—have been detained or deported within the last year, started carrying proof of immigration status or U.S. citizenship, upended travel plans or significantly changed their routines because of immigration status.

San Andreas Fault stress hits 1,000-year high, raising quake risk (USA Today) Tectonic stress along Southern California’s San Andreas and San Jacinto fault systems has reached—and in some areas exceeded—the highest levels seen in the past 1,000 years, according to new research led by Earth scientists at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa. Researchers say the system is not showing signs of an imminent rupture, but is operating under unusually high stress in a long-term seismic cycle that could support large earthquakes, including multi-fault events. Lead author Liliane Burkhard, a research affiliate at the University of Hawaiʻi’s Institute of Geophysics and Planetology and scientist at the University of Bern, said the system is highly stressed after more than 160 years since the last major rupture.

Starmer says Britain will ban under-16s from using a range of social media apps (AP) Britain will ban under-16s from using a range of social media apps, Prime Minister Keir Starmer said Monday, calling it “a big moment for our country.” The move makes the U.K. part of growing global movement to tighten online safety for children. Australia, Canada, Brazil and Indonesia have introduced legislation or announced age-based restrictions or requirements for children’s access to social media. France, Spain, Denmark, Thailand and South Korea are among others studying or developing similar approaches.

Trump goes to the G7 summit (Politico) “Trump is poised to face a swirl of questions from allies about the status of the Iran deal and his day-after plan,” POLITICO’s Myah Myah writes. “Administration officials told reporters this weekend that as soon as it’s signed, the U.S. will shift its focus to demining the strait” (and will probably ask G7 countries for help). But Trump’s relations with G7 leaders have probably never been this bad. His relationship with Macron has always been tempestuous, and hit new lows after Trump mocked the French president over an apparent spat with his wife. Once-warm friendships with a trio of Europeans—British PM Keir Starmer, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Italian PM Giorgia Meloni—have all but disintegrated over their respective criticisms of the war. And don’t forget he just abruptly decided to leave last year’s G7 in Canada after a single day.

Deadlocked Wars: How Major Powers Misread the Regions They Attacked (NYT) President Trump and his Russian counterpart, Vladimir V. Putin, both resist the idea that ostensibly weaker powers fought them to a stalemate. Iran and Ukraine have pushed back robustly against this “might makes right” mentality, with top officials adopting an even more defiant tone in recent days. In an open letter to Mr. Putin this month, President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine derided Mr. Putin for clinging to power as he aged. “You did not expect full-scale resistance from Ukraine, and you did not foresee that things would go this far,” Mr. Zelensky wrote. After Iran unleashed a missile barrage against Israel last week in retaliation for attacks against Hezbollah in Lebanon, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the speaker of Parliament and Iran’s top negotiator, threatened more. “Until there is a sincere commitment to restoring trust, Iran’s response will not change,” he wrote on X. “Both conflicts have produced a similar outcome: a weaker power has trapped a stronger one in a costly confrontation,” Fiona Hill, who ran Russian and European affairs at the National Security Council during the first Trump administration, wrote in a policy paper for the Brookings Institution this week. “Like Putin, Trump did not have a plan for what would happen next.” The root of the issue is that both presidents sparked wars with limited understanding of the opposing side, Ms. Hill said.

Switzerland Rejects Measure to Cap Its Population at 10 Million (NYT) Swiss voters defeated a nationwide ballot initiative on Sunday to limit the population to 10 million people. The vote rejected what would have been one of the most drastic measures taken by a European country to stem the arrival of new immigrants. Final returns, which came in quickly after polls closed at noon local time, showed the measure failing, with about 45 percent in favor and 55 percent opposed. Federal officials announced on Sunday afternoon that the initiative had failed. The measure’s support was heaviest in rural states, and its opposition was strongest in cities and in border regions, including the French-speaking areas in the west.

Some Chinese youth turn to virtual parents (BBC Chinese) During mealtimes, Vincent Zhang, a tech worker in Shanghai, has a habit of whipping out his phone to check on his “virtual parents”: a middle-aged couple online, armed with an endless stream of warm words for their imaginary child. Many call the couple mum and dad, telling them about their lives and asking for birthday blessings. With nearly two million followers on Douyin—China’s version of TikTok—Pan Huqian and Zhang Xiuping are among a niche group of content creators called “virtual parents”. They have exploded in popularity, drawing young Chinese followers who feel increasingly squeezed between the pressure of succeeding and the expectations of their families. “My parents are never the ones who tell me not to drive myself too hard or that I am already good enough,” says 33-year-old Vincent. “But virtual parents will ask me whether I am happy today.”

A rare posthumous trial shows how slowly justice moves in Japan (CNN) When a Japanese court granted Hiromu Sakahara a retrial, there was no defendant in the dock celebrating the prospect of freedom. Instead, family members gathered around his grave to share news that he had longed to hear in life after a decades-long fight for justice. Sakahara died in 2011 while serving a life sentence for murdering a store manager in the rural town of Hino in 1984—based on a confession that he said was forced. A rare posthumous retrial is expected to begin soon, but the long delays in Sakahara’s case added momentum to calls for reform to speed up the excruciatingly long process people must go through to seek redress in Japan. Sakahara first filed for a retrial in 2001. Even after his death a decade later, his family kept pushing for a new hearing. Part of the problem in Japan is the lack of legal representation for those brought in for questioning over an alleged crime. Japan hasn’t made access to lawyers during interrogations an absolute right. Japan’s legal system has also been criticized for handing prosecutors too much power.

The economy in the occupied West Bank is being dismantled, report says (AP) The economy in the West Bank is teetering toward collapse as Israel maintains a web of restrictions that limit opportunities for Palestinians living under long-term military occupation, according to a new report from a leading conflict tracker. The International Crisis Group says that Israeli measures restricting movement, withholding revenue and taking land are not only crippling the Palestinian economy but also fueling deep instability. It says Israeli policies suggest a concerted effort to “advance Israel’s own declared goal of extending its control and preventing a Palestinian state from emerging.” The roughly 3.4 million Palestinians living in the West Bank today face roughly 30% unemployment and have seen their economy contract substantially since the start of the Israel-Hamas war.

Canada’s Carney says middle-power countries shouldn’t compete for favor with the US (AP) Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney continued his efforts to pivot away from the United States and align with Europe, meeting with the leader of Ireland on Saturday ahead of the upcoming G7 summit and saying middle power countries shouldn’t compete for favor with America. Carney said that Canada and the European Union have a combined population that is more than twice that of the United States, with a similarly sized economy and a collective defense budget that is twice that of China’s. He said smaller nations can multiply their strength by partnering with like-minded allies. “In a world of great power rivalry, middle powers have a choice—to compete for favor or to combine to create a third path with impact,” Carney said at Trinity College in Dublin. He made similar comments at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, which became a symbol of middle-power resistance in January, when he declared the global rules-based order over and condemned coercion by great powers on smaller countries.

Trump at 80: A President ‘Really Uncomfortable’ With Aging (NYT) He stays up late, phoning lawyers and lawmakers, while posting up to 150 times a night on Truth Social. His mornings involve calls with world leaders about the war in the Middle East, or talks with landscapers about replanting a bothersome tree. When he arrives in the Oval Office, his unstructured days unfold like a time-lapse video, with people zipping around him as he stays seated at the center of the frame. As President Trump turns 80 on Sunday, he is so intent on projecting an image of relentless energy that he has installed a massive, mixed martial arts octagon on the South Lawn to mark the occasion. After watching the fight, Mr. Trump will depart Washington in the middle of the night and cross an ocean for a diplomatic summit in France. It is a schedule that seems devised to ward off questions about age and stamina as he begins his ninth decade. But even for a president known for imposing his own reality on every situation, Mr. Trump is facing scrutiny over his age that has grown more intense with each passing year. A Reuters/Ipsos poll taken in February showed that nearly six in 10 Americans think Mr. Trump is growing more erratic. And the oldest president ever to be inaugurated and his advisers spend a lot of time hitting back at people who have drawn a different set of conclusions about his health based on what they believe they can plainly see.

Wages Are Falling. Wealth Is Surging. No Wonder Americans Are Unhappy. (NYT) Two events from the past week help crystallize this strange, contradictory moment for the U.S. economy. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the surge in energy prices had wiped out a year and a half of wage gains for the average American worker. On Friday, the public-markets debut of SpaceX made Elon Musk the world’s first trillionaire. That stark juxtaposition helps explain why many Americans, in survey after survey, say they no longer believe the U.S. economy is working for them. A few people are getting fabulously, unimaginably wealthy at the same time that entire generations of families worry they will never be able to afford to buy a house, raise children or enjoy a comfortable retirement. Inequality is hardly a new feature in America. But the explosion of wealth at the very top is without precedent in U.S. history. At the height of the Gilded Age at the end of the 19th century, the richest handful of Americans had a net worth equivalent to about 3 percent of the country’s annual economic output, according to data compiled by the French economists Gabriel Zucman and Emmanuel Saez. Today, the fortunes of the same 0.00001 percent—about 20 individuals—make up roughly four times as large a share, equivalent to 12 percent of annual output.

US strike against Tren de Aragua leader in Venezuela (AP) The U.S. military attack in Venezuela Friday that killed the leader of the Tren de Aragua gang reflects a strategic shift by U.S. President Donald Trump toward direct U.S. involvement in the war on drugs that began earlier this year, with a special focus this time on gaining access to Venezuela’s lucrative mining sector, analysts told The Associated Press. Trump announced Friday the death of gang leader Hector Rusthenford Guerrero in an airstrike on his compound in rural Venezuela. He has long accused Guerrero’s organization, also known as TDA, of terrorizing communities across the United States, where it has been linked to extortion rackets, drug trafficking and illegal immigration. The group was listed as a foreign terrorist organization by the State Department last year. Venezuela’s government said in a statement Friday that it worked with the U.S. to kill the gang leader, also known as El Niño Guerrero, and described the airstrike as part of a “joint operation” to fight organized crime.

Record number of young people in England fear long-term unemployment (Guardian) Young people in England are increasingly “losing faith in their futures” according to a report, as record numbers fear long-term unemployment. Analysing survey data, including from the Office for National Statistics, the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) said 16- to 21-year-olds were less confident about being successful than a decade ago. Younger people are also less convinced than their older counterparts that hard work will be rewarded, the IPPR said. Just one in four 16- to 29-year-olds agreed with the statement that “everyone has a fair chance to go as far as their talent and hard work will take them”. Policymakers have become increasingly concerned about the challenges facing young people, with the number of people aged 16 to 24 who are not in education, employment or training (Neets) recently exceeding 1 million for the first time in a decade.

Germany and Japan Are Rearming Again, 80 Years After World War II (NYT) In 1940, the imperial regimes of Germany and Japan joined what would be known as the Axis powers, bound by mutual opposition to the United States. They fought a world war, and they lost it, and their populations spent the next 85 years with shrunken militaries and a heavy reliance on their former enemy, America, for security. Now, both countries’ wariness of America has resurfaced, alongside heightened fears about a surging world power, China, and an aggressive Russia. Tokyo and Berlin are rushing to rebuild their militaries. And, once again, they are strengthening ties. Their cooperation is expected to gather momentum at the meeting of the leaders of the Group of 7 nations in Evian, France, this week. It already includes sharing know-how, technology and weapons, like drones and helicopters, critical to the countries’ respective efforts to rearm. It is hardly an Axis redux. This time, Japan and Germany are banding together from a defensive posture, with Berlin supporting Ukraine’s defense against Russia, and Tokyo wary of threats posed by China and North Korea. They are joining other like-minded “middle powers,” like fellow Group of 7 members Britain, Canada and France—their enemies in World War II. And they are casting themselves as champions of international law and institutions that serve as bulwarks against the bullying behaviors of the world’s most powerful countries.

Downtown Geneva boards up as drastic security tightens ahead of anti-G7 protests (AP) Scores of shops and businesses in downtown Geneva boarded up their storefronts with wooden panels ahead of planned anti-G7 protests on Sunday. French and Swiss authorities have imposed extensive security measures as U.S. President Donald Trump and other leaders attend a G7 summit of leading industrialized nations starting on Monday. There are concerns the gathering could trigger violent unrest. The June 15-17 summit of some of the world’s richest nations being held in the French town of Evian-les-Bains, on Lake Geneva, is meant to discuss the Middle East, Ukraine and global economic imbalances.

Ukraine’s drone commander wants to cut Crimea off from Russia (Reuters) Deep in an underground bunker, where walls of screens stream live data from across the battlefield, the commander of Ukraine’s drone forces is poring over terabytes of information to ​map out his next campaign: cutting Crimea off from Russia. Ukraine’s escalating drone strikes across Russian-occupied parts of the country have disrupted military logistics and fuel supplies, prompting authorities last month to introduce fuel rationing in ‌Crimea. Robert Brovdi, commander of Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces, said the campaign has reduced the traffic using the Novorossiya highway—a critical Russian military supply route through occupied southern Ukraine to Crimea—by more than two thirds over the past month. “We will isolate Crimea in the near future,” Brovdi told Reuters in his cramped cubicle inside the bunker.

With a Deal Seemingly Close, the U.S. Faces an Iran More Willing to Withstand Pressure (NYT) The United States and Israel went to war in Iran seeking regime change. Nearly four months later, there has been regime change, but not the kind they wanted. The Islamic Republic 3.0, as some call it, is now less a theocracy and more a military junta dominated by the powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps. Washington and Jerusalem also went to war to eradicate Iran’s nuclear program and end the threat it poses. So far, this conflict has only produced a wounded Iran more willing to take risks and more likely to persist in its goal of advancing its nuclear program. In the course of this war, Iran has gone from appearing weak and defenseless to a regime not only surviving, but also retaining important military and nuclear abilities. Iran’s extensive security apparatus seems firmly in control of all aspects of governing, society and foreign policy.

Lebanese army withdraws from southern village after Israeli troops advance nearby (AP) The Lebanese army on Saturday withdrew its troops from a base in a southern Lebanese village after Israeli troops advanced in an area nearby, a military official said. Israel’s military appears to be trying to make as many gains as possible in case a U.S.-Iran agreement is reached to end the war in the region, which is likely to include Lebanon. The departure from the army barracks in Kfar Tebnit came as the Israeli military issued an evacuation warning for about 20 locations, including the southern city of Nabatiyeh and nearby villages. Lebanon’s state-run National News Agency reported airstrikes on Saturday on different villages near Nabatiyeh. It added that Nabatiyeh was subjected to artillery shelling on Saturday.

A Dangerous Limbo Leaves Iran, and the World, Between Peace and War (NYT) In just the past five days, the United States and Iran traded missile strikes after the downing of an American helicopter; Israel bombarded Lebanon, drawing retaliation from Iran; and the Iran-backed Houthis joined the reprisal from Yemen. Then in a matter of hours on Thursday, President Trump called off another major attack on Iran and again held out the prospect of a peace accord, which Iran downplayed. In the two months since the U.S. and Iran nominally declared a cease-fire, the line between peace and war has been all but erased across the Middle East, with attacks and counterattacks alongside promises to end the hostilities that never quite materialize. It is less a cease-fire than a “lesser fire,” in the words of the United Nations secretary general, António Guterres. Even if the combatants manage to get a framework for a deal this time, this gray zone of “neither war nor peace” may persist for weeks or months, analysts and diplomats say. Such a stalemate would consign the Middle East to a purgatory of sporadic violence and constant anxiety. And it would force the rest of the world to confront a stark new economic reality. Long-term disruption of oil and gas shipments would ripple into global supply chains, causing food shortages and driving up prices at the fuel pump and in grocery stores.

Elon Musk Becomes World’s First Trillionaire on SpaceX’s First Day of Trading (NYT) SpaceX, Elon Musk’s rocket and artificial intelligence company, capped the biggest-ever initial public offering by rising 20 percent in its trading debut on Friday, turning the world’s richest man into the first trillionaire and setting the stage for fast-growing A.I. companies to reach the stock market in a once-in-a-lifetime bonanza. The pop in SpaceX’s share price also catapulted Mr. Musk, 54, to trillionaire status. The entrepreneur, who not only leads SpaceX but also runs the electric carmaker Tesla and other businesses, has long been the planet’s wealthiest person. But passing the trillionaire milestone is significant, further augmenting Mr. Musk’s fortune and influence. In recent weeks, SpaceX, which has contracts with NASA and other federal agencies, has also faced questions about its business, including its spending and how it can justify its valuation. In its I.P.O. prospectus, the company reported that it had lost more than $4.9 billion last year.

Tornadoes in Illinois and Indiana leave residents grappling with damage (AP) Residents in tornado-ravaged areas in Illinois and Indiana were grappling with the damage to their homes and neighborhoods on Friday, after the strong line of storms barreled through communities south of Chicago and left trails of destruction. Thursday’s storms ripped roofs off of buildings, flattened homes, brought down scores of trees and power lines and caused hundreds of thousands of power outages and major air traffic disruptions. Officials said there were no reports of deaths or life-threatening injuries, though there were several people treated for minor injuries.

Once beset by power outages, Puerto Ricans also hit with severe water shortages (AP) Thousands of Puerto Ricans are struggling with water shortages so severe that the governor of the U.S. territory has activated the National Guard and emergency responders are fielding calls every day. Officials have not publicly pinpointed the cause, with shortages largely affecting some areas in the island’s most populated cities, including the capital San Juan. Residents are being forced to buy potable water, spend money at laundromats and haul heavy buckets up several flights of stairs to wash dishes, flush toilets and take showers. The elderly and disabled struggle the most, with community leaders noting that some have been hospitalized as water shortages persist.

Pope Leo had to catch a ride from the king of Spain after plane’s engine failed (Washington Post) For Pope Leo XIV, it pays to have friends in high places—even earthly ones. Shortly after Leo closed his seven-day trip to Spain on Friday with an outdoor Mass in the Canary Islands, off the northwest coast of Africa, he arrived on board his chartered Iberia flight back to Rome. A few moments later, a dejected captain announced a system failure on board, and in no time, Spain’s King Filipe VI, who has been shadowing the first U.S.-born pontiff, boarded the plane and personally whisked Leo off as journalists in the back gaped. Soon, the Vatican put out a statement saying the king had offered Leo the services of his private Falcon jet for a flight to Rome—which Leo accepted.

Donald Trump’s son-in-law accidentally sparked an Albanian uprising (Politico) When Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner decided to invest in a luxury holiday development on Albania’s idyllic southern coast, he probably didn’t count on provoking a national uprising. But Albanians, it turns out, weren’t crazy about wealthy foreign investors concreting over their natural treasures to build hotels for wealthy foreign holidaymakers. The proposed 10,000-bed resort near a protected wildlife area that’s home to flamingos, turtles and one of Europe’s most pristine river deltas ignited perhaps the biggest popular demonstrations since the small Balkan country abandoned communism more than three decades ago. Within two weeks the “flamingo revolution,” as it’s become known, has grown from a narrow environmental protest into a nationwide campaign directed at Albania’s entire ruling class. Years of perceived government corruption, unchecked tourism, frustration over Albania’s economic development (it’s one of Europe’s poorest countries) and a general perception that the nation is being run for the wealthy few rather than the general population, have tipped many Albanians over the edge. Demonstrators are now calling for the resignation and even imprisonment of Prime Minister Edi Rama.

EU agrees to launch membership talks with Ukraine next week even as war with Russia drags on (AP) European Union nations agreed on Friday to open membership talks with Ukraine next week, officially launching the process for the war-torn country to eventually join the world’s biggest trading bloc. At a meeting in Brussels, ambassadors from the 27 EU nations decided to officially open negotiations with Ukraine as well as with Moldova, which Russia has also tried to drag back into its orbit, on Monday in Luxembourg. Ukraine sees EU membership as an important “security guarantee” for a stable future once war with Russia ends.

What Happens to an Economy When It’s Too Hot to Work? (Bloomberg) In the scorching heat of Kanpur, the center of India’s leather industry, workers move slowly and deliberately as temperatures hit 46C (115F). AKI Chief Executive Officer Asad K. Iraqi has his 100 workers drink oral rehydration salts solution twice a day, and he recently invested in additional cooling systems. But it’s not enough. Some workers are falling sick, while others are returning to their villages. “My productivity is down 40%,” Iraqi says, his brow glistening with sweat. “Workers can’t survive in this heat without proper hydration and cooling.” It’s a scene playing out across India as summers become increasingly unlivable. “The impact of heat is like death by a thousand cuts,” says Aditya Valiathan Pillai, a visiting fellow at the Sustainable Futures Collaborative think tank in New Delhi who researches climate adaptation, citing the hit to productivity. India is emerging as one of the clearest examples of how extreme heat can become a structural economic constraint, particularly for developing economies dependent on physical labor. Lost labor from rising heat and humidity could jeopardize 2.5% to 4.5% of India’s gross domestic product by 2030.

China and Myanmar detain U.S. citizens in separate incidents, sparking alarm (Washington Post) China on Friday said it had arrested a U.S. citizen who researched Myanmar politics and accused him of espionage. In a separate incident, on Thursday, authorities in Myanmar detained an American businessman who ran a security consultancy there, according to people who were briefed on the incident. Min Zin, who was arrested in China, and Adam Castillo, who was detained in Myanmar, are well known among diplomats, journalists and analysts interested in Myanmar’s political situation. Both also have been vocal commentators on China’s growing influence on Myanmar’s civil war, and they traveled periodically to Washington to share their views with policymakers and legislators. News of the detentions has spread panic among the community of people focused on Myanmar. Saw Zin Maung Soe, founder of the nonprofit CAN-Myanmar, said, “While we already know [the Chinese] don’t tolerate issues regarding Tibet, Uyghurs or Tiananmen Square, we now have to question whether ‘Myanmar’ has also become part of that list.”

Syria is an unexpected beneficiary of the Gulf war (Economist) These days the 860km-long road from Ramadi in Iraq to western Syria is lined with lorries heaving with oil. They rumble past ancient ruins and deserted villages before emptying their tanks at the Baniyas terminal on Syria’s Mediterranean coast. They then return to Iraq to fill up and make the journey again. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz means the oil giants of the Middle East are scrambling for new routes to get their product to global markets. Iraq, which is the world’s sixth-largest producer, has been searching for a way to shift its 4m barrels of oil a day. The current answer is Syria. Iraq’s state firm in charge of oil exports, SOMO, has given three firms the job of trucking 650,000 tonnes of oil per month out of the country. The Syrian route is shorter than those through Jordan or Turkey, and takes the oil straight to the Mediterranean. Syria provides police escorts for the thousand-odd lorries a day, receives a transit fee, and the remainder goes to the Syrian Petroleum Company, a new state-backed firm, whose subsidiaries manage the storage and pumping of oil onto tankers at Baniyas. With Hormuz blocked, Syria could become a key transit hub, making it a rare beneficiary of the Iran war.

El Niño is officially here, bringing domino weather effects across the planet (Washington Post) El Niño is here, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. A chain-reaction process in the atmosphere is underway and will influence global weather patterns in the months ahead. And this installment of El Niño looks to be particularly intense and could develop into a highly anticipated super El Niño. Unlike a storm that suddenly hits your town, El Niño’s influence on the global climate will gradually build in the months ahead. Drought is likely in southern Africa, Australia, India, the Indochina peninsula and Oceania. Southeast Asia, meanwhile, could see above-average rainfall and more flooding. And in the United States, a stronger, straighter west-to-east wintertime jet stream is expected over the southern part of the country. That will mean wetter conditions and more severe weather along the Gulf Coast, but drier and warmer conditions to the north. That could lead to a less intense winter across northern parts of the Lower 48.

World Bank Says Two-Thirds of Economies Face Hit From Iran War (Bloomberg) The decision by US President Donald Trump and Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to wage a surprise war on Iran, and the global energy crisis triggered by its retaliation, has damaged two-thirds of the world’s economies. This from the World Bank, which on Thursday cut its outlook for growth in part because of the war’s disruption of commodity flows and rising import costs. The global economy will expand 2.5% in 2026, it said, the slowest pace since the Covid-19 pandemic caused a global recession in 2020. “This is the biggest supply shock in more than 50 years,” said Chief Economist Indermit Gill. “If the conflict persists, the next thing that will be affected is food prices.” The bank said risks to its outlook are skewed to the downside. Global growth could fall to 1.3% this year if “energy supply disruptions prove more severe than assumed and are accompanied by substantial financial stress.”

Trump Isn’t Giving Up on His Slush Fund (The Atlantic) Despite insisting that a $1.776 billion “anti-weaponization” fund has been scrapped, the administration is quietly assuring allies that payout plans remain on track. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche recently asked Congress to take him at his word that President Trump’s project for rewarding those who were allegedly victimized by the Biden-era Justice Department had truly been abandoned. (Although Blanche refused requests from a representative to put that in writing.) Behind the scenes, Justice Department and other Trump-administration officials have quietly assured allies that plans for some form of payout remain on track. I spoke with eight people familiar with the so-called Anti-Weaponization Fund—including current and former Justice Department officials, current and former members of Congress, a defense attorney, and political operatives close to the administration. All said that Justice Department officials and people close to the White House have indicated that the payout idea has not actually been scrapped.

U.S. Plan Is Said to Pull a Third of Fighter Jets It Provides NATO for Europe (NYT) The United States plans to significantly reduce the aircraft and warships that it makes available for NATO operations in Europe, according to two senior European officials, accelerating America’s effort to scale down the protection it has offered to European allies for eight decades. The decision would limit NATO’s ability to launch long-range strikes and conduct surveillance. It was communicated to allies in early June in a written document, parts of which were reviewed by The New York Times. The European officials, who were briefed on the decision, spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak more freely about sensitive military plans. The Pentagon has not yet publicly revealed the timeline for the drawdown but American officials have indicated it will take effect very soon—far earlier than European counterparts had been preparing for.

Argentina’s inflation slows to 8-month low in a boost for President Milei (AP) Argentina’s inflation slowed for the second straight month in May, economic data released Thursday showed, providing some welcome news for President Javier Milei after almost a year of stubbornly persistent price increases. Consumer prices rose 2.1% last month compared with April, the government statistics agency INDEC reported—a rate hailed by Economy Minister Luis Caputo as the lowest monthly level in eight months. But annual inflation rose marginally to 33.2% this May. Rising prices are squeezing households and fueling public frustration with Milei’s government as it grapples with a series of corruption scandals and struggles to respond to a slump in economic activity across the labor-intensive sectors of retail and manufacturing.

In the U.K., a Violent Cycle: Hateful Attacks, Right-Wing Agitation and Riots (NYT) The cycle of violence and right-wing agitation in Britain has become all too frightening and frequent. It can start with a stabbing, horrific in nature, that causes fear and anger. Condemnation from political leaders and law enforcement swiftly follows. But when the attacker is an immigrant or a person of color, a malign, distorted narrative often explodes onto the internet. Right-wing politicians and commentators seize on it to foment outrage in support of their anti-immigrant agenda, aided by social media algorithms that feed on conflict and division. Within hours, the anger they stoke online has jumped to the real world, setting off protests that become angry riots. There are pleas for calm and promises of action by government and law enforcement. But soon afterward, the cycle begins again.

Pope’s visit highlights migrants’ plight (BBC) Pope Leo has arrived in Gran Canaria as part of a two-day tour of the Canary Islands. Recognition and solidarity is the theme of the Pope’s visit, a clear counterpoint to the portrayal of migration in Europe by others as a crisis or invasion. In the southern port of Arguineguín—often used by migrants—Pope Leo stressed the need for alternative “legal and safe pathways” above all. He called on the “conscience of Europe” not to “grow accustomed” to its seas becoming unmarked graves or to a world where “so many risk death to seek life.” Bakary Jaiju sees himself as one of the lucky ones. First, his boat with around 160 people on board managed to evade naval patrols. Days later, they were rescued off the tiny Spanish island of El Hierro. He then spent three months in a migrant camp in Tenerife until he joined a project helping him to learn Spanish and find a way to stay on the island legally. The driving force behind that is Padre Pepe, a chatty parish priest in jeans and checked shirt. The Good Samaritan Foundation now offers accommodation and all kinds of workshops to about 170 young men. “The labour market could absorb all these people, there is huge demand,” the priest insists.

Ukraine hits fuel supplies to Crimea, sparking a fuel crisis on the Russian-held peninsula (AP) Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries, depots and pipelines. Tanker trucks attacked and left ablaze along the land corridor from Russia to Crimea. Motorists waiting in long lines at gas stations. In a new blow to the Kremlin’s narrative that Moscow is winning the 4-year-old war in Ukraine, Kyiv’s forces have targeted supplies to Crimea, triggering the worst fuel crisis on the Black Sea peninsula since it was illegally annexed by Russia in 2014. The persistent attacks reflect the growing intensity and efficiency of Ukraine’s drone strikes and have caught Russia off guard and struggling for a response.

Whipsawed Between Fear and Relief, Iranians Hope for War’s End (NYT) For days, Iranians have gone to bed hearing the sounds of explosions or reports that their country and the United States were trading fire. And then they have awakened to news that the attacks had concluded and negotiations for a peace deal were still ongoing. On Thursday, the pendulum again swung wildly—within a few hours. First, President Trump threatened to hit Iran “VERY HARD” and take over Kharg Island, Iran’s oil export hub. Then he abruptly canceled attacks because, he said, progress had been made in peace negotiations. Between the president’s two statements, Tehran’s armed forces had threatened retaliation against energy infrastructure in the region if attacked. For ordinary Iranians, the constant vacillation between fear and relief, anxiety and hope, has been emotionally taxing. In phone interviews and text messages, some said that they just wanted the war to end, one way or another. “They go to war at night, they stop the war by morning, it’s all ridiculous,” said Vahid, a 37-year-old resident of Tehran. “Either fight or don’t fight,” he added. “We are fed up.”

Israel deports French journalist over coverage critical of its policies in Gaza and the West Bank (AP) Israeli authorities on Thursday deported prominent French journalist Alice Froussard after she was refused entry upon landing at the country’s main international airport the day before, her employer and the Foreign Press Association in Israel said. Several Israeli media outlets quoted the Ministry of Diaspora Affairs and Combating Antisemitism as saying it recommended Froussard be denied entry for coverage that was critical of Israeli actions in Gaza and the West Bank. In a post on X, Israel’s Minister for Diaspora Affairs and Combating Antisemitism, Amichai Chikli, celebrated her deportation. “I am pleased to announce that at this very moment, Alice Froussard, a French journalist who supports Hamas, and who claims that the October 7 massacre must be viewed ‘in context,’ is making her way from Ben Gurion Airport back to Paris,” he wrote. The Foreign Press Association, a nonprofit representing journalists who work for international outlets in Israel and the Palestinian territories, called the allegations against Froussard “outrageous.” “This is not the first case in which the Israeli government decides that the journalist coverage is ‘one-sided,’” the FPA said in a statement. Press freedom groups have condemned Israel for its attacks on journalists since the start of the Gaza war on Oct. 7, 2023. Since then, Israeli forces have killed 259 media workers and journalists, mostly in Gaza but also in conflicts in Iran, Lebanon and Yemen, according to the Committee to Protect Journalists, a nonprofit promoting press freedom worldwide.

First group of Nigerians returns home after anti-immigration protests in South Africa (AP) The first group of Nigerians returned home from South Africa on Thursday as part of repatriation ordered by the government following violent anti-immigration protests. A total of 262 passengers and three officials were on board the flight to Lagos, according to Nigeria’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The ministry earlier said over 1,000 Nigerians have registered for voluntary return. Authorities in South Africa said the returnees were found to be in the country illegally, contradicting Nigerian officials that they were fleeing xenophobic attacks. Nigeria is the latest African nation to organize such evacuation flights from South Africa. Since April, a series of anti-immigration protests have led to attacks against some foreigners. The protests highlight tensions between foreign workers and locals who claim foreigners are taking their jobs.

Trump calls off latest threats to strike Iran, citing a breakthrough in talks to end the war (AP) U.S. President Donald Trump said Thursday he had called off new military strikes on Iran, claiming a breakthrough in negotiations to end the war just hours after the American leader threatened to escalate the conflict by seizing control of Iran’s oil industry. Trump has said multiple times in recent weeks that the warring parties have been on the cusp of a deal without anything coming to fruition. A spokesperson for Iran’s Foreign Ministry said in a live phone call on state television that mediators were active and nothing had been finalized to end the conflict that began Feb. 28 when the U.S. and Israel jointly attacked Iran.

White House Again Shrugs Off High Prices Amid War With Iran (NYT) Prices jumped in May for the third straight month, leaving U.S. families and businesses to suffer the sting from the war with Iran. And for the third time, the White House largely shrugged off the news, insisting that the problem was temporary—and that President Trump’s agenda was working. “No, I love it, the numbers were great,” the president told reporters on Wednesday. “I love the inflation.” It was a familiar pattern, one that appeared to underscore the widening chasm between Mr. Trump and the majority of Americans who say they are frustrated with the direction of the economy.

$60M and 7 federal agencies required to stage Trump’s UFC fight at White House (AP) President Donald Trump’s planned UFC fight on the White House’s South Lawn has required a monumental effort from more than seven federal agencies, hundreds of staff working onsite daily and at least $60 million, according to a legal filing that offers a glimpse into the preparations. The event is part of the 250th anniversary of America’s founding, and is scheduled for the weekend with the main attraction—seven mixed martial arts matches—on Sunday.

Mexico City installed a chandelier in its metro for the World Cup. Then came the crush of memes (AP) The sound of construction roared over the most memed metro station in Mexico City as workers hammered at marble floors under a chandelier and rows of lamps reminiscent of a scene from “Harry Potter” or “Titanic,” racing to finish ahead of the FIFA World Cup opening ceremony Thursday. Mexicans milling through the busy Hidalgo metro station pointed and laughed, occasionally snapping pictures of the face-lift that has become the subject of a cascade of internet memes. The cosmetic makeover that authorities have attempted to give the capital as visitors arrive from around the globe also has become a symbol of criticisms that the government is prioritizing its superficial appearance for World Cup fans over fixing critical structural issues that have long plagued the city. “People make fun of it because it’s a failed aesthetic, it doesn’t make a lot of sense,” said Silvia Escamilla, 28, who was hustling to work among a crowd of Mexican commuters. “All these renovations are like putting makeup on the city, because the infrastructure they could actually invest in just isn’t there.”

Pentagon’s Hegseth warns Cuba that arms procurement could invite confrontation (Reuters) On Wednesday, U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth traveled to the U.S. naval base/prison/CIA black site on Guantanamo Bay in Cuba. There, he warned Cuba’s government against procuring weapons which could be used against the U.S., even as the Trump administration has drummed up consent for a future invasion of the island nation. “It would be unwise of the government of Cuba to try to procure or get access to the types of weapons that could reach this base or the American homeland,” Hegseth said. “They would be inviting the kind of confrontation not only do they not want but ​they could not stand. No country on Earth can match the capabilities of the United States of America.” The state of Cuba’s economy has become increasingly dire over the past few months, as Trump has maintained the U.S.’s economic sanctions on the island nation while also blocking it from importing fuel. The White House has threatened to slap steep tariffs on countries that sell oil or gas to Cuba, leading to endless power outages as the Cuban government struggles to keep the lights on.

Peru’s presidential runoff shows a razor-thin gap between candidates (AP) The gap between Peru’s two presidential candidates narrowed to less than 20,000 votes Tuesday with 96% of ballots counted after Sunday’s runoff contest. The winner will be the South American country’s ninth president in 10 years. Official figures showed nationalist congressman Roberto Sánchez with 50.055% of votes, while conservative politician Keiko Fujimori had 49.945%. The electoral body has counted more than 17.8 million votes.

Only 11% of Europeans view US as ally, survey shows (Reuters) Only 11% of Europeans across 15 countries view the United States as an ally, a historic low and down from 16% half a year ​ago and 22% in November 2024, according to a survey published ‌by the European Council on Foreign Relations on Wednesday. The findings, released ahead of G7 and NATO summits, highlight Europe’s waning confidence in Washington as a reliable security partner. Majorities in ​all surveyed countries expressed doubts that the U.S. would come to their ​defence in the event of an attack. Majorities in every country polled ​except Bulgaria ⁠thought U.S.-European relations would improve when U.S. President Donald Trump left office.

Europe shakes off innovation gloom (CSM) The handful of U.S. firms that dominate global tech and artificial intelligence has almost universal name recognition. And it’s quite widely known that they rely on semiconductors manufactured in East Asia, mainly Taiwan. But it’s safe to say that very, very few people realize that the world’s only maker of the complex lithography machines—used by Asian firms to fabricate the chips that power American tech advances—is headquartered in ... Europe. (The Netherlands, to be precise.) Not knowing this little factoid is about more than industry trivia. It points to long-standing, and not entirely merited, views of the continent as an economic has-been, held back by red tape, capital constraints, and innovation inertia. In fact, the European Union is making quiet, consistent progress in undoing both limiting perceptions and policies. “Europe is no musty backwater,” The Economist stated in April. “It has the talent, resources and incentive to lead. It should start to think, and act, like it.”

The War in Ukraine Has Now Gone On Longer Than World War I (NYT) The war in Ukraine has often been compared to World War I for its brutal infantry assaults and heavy casualties. Yet the idea that it could, by any measure, surpass a conflict so long and bloody that French soldiers hoped it would be “the last of the last” once seemed unthinkable. That is just what happened on Thursday. The war in Ukraine—which reached 1,569 days, or more than four years and three months—has now outlasted World War I. When President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia sent his troops into Ukraine in February 2022, he believed the country would fall within days. After Ukraine pushed the Russians back and the conflict settled into a war of attrition, even many of those fighting could not imagine it would last this long. But the war has raged on, and, with peace talks stalled, it shows no sign of ending soon. Polls suggest that about half of Ukrainians believe it will not end before next year, which would push it closer to another threshold: the duration of World War II, which lasted six years.

Washington Is Testing Singapore’s Patience (Foreign Policy) One of the United States’ most important strategic partners in Southeast Asia—Singapore—is beginning to lose faith in the Trump administration. U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs, coupled with the acute energy crisis caused by his war against Iran and U.S. government pressure to force Singapore into even closer alignment, have severely frustrated Singaporean leaders. As Singapore seeks a stable place in an increasingly disorderly international system, this could result in a more diversified Singaporean foreign policy, including a more prominent role for China. Alienating Singapore would be an unforced error—and perhaps a significant one. The city-state sits on a small island strategically located on the vital Strait of Malacca that connects the Indian and Pacific oceans, and it serves as a de facto security ally of the United States. Singapore hosts and maintains U.S. warships at its Changi Naval Base and participates in a range of other military agreements, making it a potentially critical node of support to U.S. military forces defending Taiwan or addressing any number of other future contingencies throughout the Indo-Pacific.

Philippine town seeks immediate airlift of food to ease hunger in quake-hit villages (AP) The mayor of a southern Philippine town that was devastated by a powerful earthquake pleaded Thursday for helicopters to transport food to stave off hunger in several landslide-isolated villages. The 7.8 magnitude offshore quake, one of the strongest to hit the Philippine archipelago in a half century, struck Monday off the southern province of Sarangani and has left at least 47 people dead and injured 688 with 31 still missing. More than 45,000 people remained displaced, about half in emergency shelters, after the quake damaged more than 12,600 houses in farming towns and cities. Many were still too traumatized to return home due to aftershocks, provincial officials said.

Amnesty accuses Israel’s government of ‘ethnic cleansing’ of Palestinians from the West Bank (AP) Amnesty International accused Israel on Wednesday of carrying out a campaign of “ethnic cleansing” of Palestinians from the occupied West Bank with the intention to annex the Palestinian territory. The accusation came in a new, 149-page report alleging that the forced displacement of West Bank Palestinians resulted from a concerted state policy, and not just the actions of violent settlers. While much of the displacement is driven by settlers who build outposts on Palestinian land, the report asserts that the process could not occur without the support of the government. U.N. data says that over 100 West Bank villages have been fully or partially emptied out between January 2023 and April 2026. At the same time, the United Nations has tracked more than 7,280 instances of individual Palestinian displacement because of demolition of homes and structures by Israeli forces, a figure that includes people who were displaced more than once.

US launches a second day of strikes on Iran and Iran fires back at the Gulf states and Jordan (AP) The United States launched a second round of airstrikes on Iran into Thursday morning after U.S. President Donald Trump warned that Tehran would “pay the price” for stalled negotiations, and Iran responded with strikes targeting Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan. The new U.S. assault across multiple Iranian cities came as efforts to negotiate an end the war again appeared stuck. The American attack appeared more intense and wider than the day before, but Iran released little information on the extent of the damage. Kuwait closed its airspace for several hours because of the Thursday morning attack, but did not elaborate on any damage. Jordan said it intercepted 20 Iranian missiles fired toward an area that is home to an air base hosting U.S. troops, though no one was hurt.

A Challenge in the U.S.-Iran Talks: Both Sides Demand Victory (NYT) For weeks, the parameters of a preliminary agreement to end the war between the United States and Iran have been clear to its negotiators. The hang-up? How to devise a deal so each side can claim a win. Washington and Tehran—both neither fully victorious nor completely defeated in the war—badly want a deal. But they also need something they can present as favorable to the hawks and hard-liners back home. Added to this fundamental dispute are the peculiarities of the two countries’ leaders. One of them is in hiding and slow to sign off on any proposal; the other is so unpredictable, his own envoys struggle to negotiate on his behalf. Unsuccessful efforts at devising this alchemy of wording have mired the two sides in a state of neither war nor peace. They have left the global economy in limbo, too, as both sides continue their blockades of the vital Strait of Hormuz.

Social Security at Risk for Cuts by 2032, Unless Congress Acts (NYT) The financial forecast for Social Security worsened this year, according to the annual financial report released on Tuesday by the program’s trustees. If Congress does not develop a plan to shore up the program, it will need to cut benefits for millions of Americans in just a little more than six years. Social Security’s deteriorating finances have long been thought of as a future problem—for another president, or another Congress, to resolve. But now, it is creeping ever closer because funds will run out before the end of the next president’s term. The Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund, which helps pay retiree and survivor benefits to more than 68 million beneficiaries, is now expected to run out of money at the end of 2032, one quarter earlier than projected last year. That means incoming revenue would be enough to pay only 78 percent of benefits, in other words, a reduction of 22 percent, according to the report.

Billionaires’ Billions Are Increasing Faster Than Ever (NYT) Fifteen years ago, the world’s billionaires collectively had $4.5 trillion. By 2024, their wealth had more than tripled to $14.2 trillion. Now, their combined wealth totals $20.1 trillion—an amount that is equivalent to nearly a fifth of the entire world’s total yearly output. The stunning figures—calculated by the French economist Gabriel Zucman, director of the International Tax Observatory, a research organization funded by the European Union—reveal more than a surprisingly rapid increase in the concentration of wealth at the tippy top. They also reflect a series of important global trends: the growing dominance of a few technology companies leading artificial intelligence development; the shrinking slice of the economic pie that goes to workers; and a deepening inequality that will be handed down to the next generation. These developments are particularly prominent in the United States, where roughly one-third of the world’s nearly 3,000 billionaires reside.

Two more Texas screwworm infections found in animals far apart, USDA says (ABC News) On Monday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) announced that it had confirmed two more cases of the New World screwworm infecting animals in Texas. Those confirmations bring the total number of screwworm cases in the U.S. up to four, after the worm was found in two calves living miles apart late last week. According to USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins, though, the U.S. cattle industry is “not at risk” from the larva. “This is not a virus, it’s not a disease, it’s just a little pest, a larva that lands in a calf’s wound, for example, and it can be treated,” she said. Meanwhile, the USDA is racing to set up a new facility for breeding and releasing sterile flies into the wild, which will curb the pest’s population in the U.S. by preventing future generations from being born—unfortunately, that operation will only reach full capacity in November 2027. The fly was originally eradicated from the U.S. in 1960s and was kept at bay thanks to eradication efforts across Central and South America, but Elon Musk’s DOGE cut U.S. funding for a screwworm monitoring and containment program last year, even as the parasite’s population was inching closer to the U.S.-Mexico border.

Violent anti-immigration protests erupt in Belfast after brutal stabbing attack (Washington Post) Masked men set houses, vehicles and a city bus ablaze in Belfast on Tuesday night, torching neighborhoods across the city after a graphic video of an alleged knife attack by a Sudanese asylum seeker went viral, igniting the latest anti-immigration violence to convulse the United Kingdom. Ignoring pleas for calm from politicians and clergy, rioters rampaged through heavily immigrant neighborhoods in Belfast, the capital of Northern Ireland, in some cases going door-to-door and causing some families to flee under police protection. Men in balaclavas and hoods shouted “foreigners out,” witnesses said. One family with children had to be escorted from a burning house, according to the BBC, and a family of Ukrainian refugees fled through their back door as the front door burned. The riots spread from Belfast to towns across Northern Ireland and reached into Scotland and England by nightfall.

Vote looms in Switzerland after foes of migration put proposal to cap population at 10 million (AP) Swiss voters will take up an unprecedented proposal to limit Switzerland’s population, part of a longtime push by right-wing leaders to cap the number of foreigners who migrate to the rich and economically vibrant Alpine country. A national vote on whether to cap Switzerland’s population at 10 million in coming decades culminates with in-person balloting on Sunday. Recent polling suggested that it could be a close contest. Supporters of the initiative dislike an influx of expatriates from the neighboring European Union, and say Swiss infrastructure, housing, social programs, natural resources and way of life have been strained under demographic growth.

Ukraine’s Neighbors Seek Shelter as More and More Drones Fly Overhead (NYT) The red alert came from a crisis control room buried under the Lithuanian capital. It sent the president, prime minister, mayor, school children and hundreds of thousands of other residents racing to underground shelters for cover from a fast approaching drone. Military radar showed the drone coming in from the east, where Russia and its close ally Belarus have long loomed as a menace to NATO’s eastern flank. But, according to Lithuanian officials, the drone that triggered the take-cover order last month in the capital, Vilnius began its journey in Ukraine, as did dozens of others that in recent weeks have entered the airspace or waters of Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, Finland and Romania. All are members of NATO and strong supporters of the Ukrainian military’s battle against the Kremlin. Ukraine has been sending swarms of drones to hit Russian ports, oil terminals and other facilities on the Baltic Sea. But some veer off course en route and end up menacing countries that have been among Ukraine’s staunchest allies. Repeated recent episodes of drones changing direction highlight how the devices are scrambling clear lines between friend and foe, intent and result.

Aftershocks complicate Philippine recovery from quake that killed 45 and displaced thousands (AP) Dozens of rescuers in hard hats scrambled out of a partially collapsed grocery in a southern Philippine city Wednesday as it was rattled by an aftershock from a powerful earthquake that left at least 45 people dead and 17 others missing in the region. A safety officer blew his whistle and others screamed to warn about 30 firefighters and coast guard personnel to dash to safety as concrete debris crashed down from the leaning three-story building in General Santos city in a frantic scene witnessed by an AP video journalist. The earthquake has been followed by more than 2,100 aftershocks including a few that ranged up to 6.4 magnitude, which is strong enough to cause more casualties and damage. More than 25,000 people remain displaced, many of them staying in 45 government-run emergency shelters and still too traumatized to return home, officials said.

Sea of tents in heart of Beirut lays bare Lebanon’s crisis (Financial Times) In a central Beirut parking lot, between waterfront nightclubs and restaurants popular with parliamentarians, about 1,000 people who fled Israeli bombings sleep in identical blue tents, differentiated only by numbers spray-painted in white. The tent grid looks like a refugee camp, even if neither its inhabitants nor the Lebanese government will call it one. It has become a symbol of the uprooting of Lebanon’s people during Israel’s war with Hizbollah, and of the struggle to shelter them indefinitely. Nearly 1mn, about a fifth of Lebanon’s population, remain displaced more than a month and a half after the ceasefire that nominally halted the conflict. For Lebanon’s leaders and its people, the vast displacement has begun to look less like a temporary emergency than something more permanent. Lebanon’s impoverished state can ill afford a drawn-out crisis. Lebanese minister Haneen Sayed said that while the country received $700mn in aid, including from Gulf countries and the UN, during the 2024 war between Israel and Hizbollah, the total this time was less than $250mn. Shipments of donated supplies were also a quarter of what they were during the last war.

Israel is tightening its grip on east Jerusalem with evictions and demolitions (AP) Fakhri Abu Diab fought for decades to save his home. But when Israeli authorities arrived with bulldozers two years ago, he was powerless to stop them. He and his wife now live among shards of memory: a bicycle where his bedroom stood; the garden where he planted tomatoes as a boy; a portrait of his late mother painted on a wall, based on a photograph lost in the demolition. Their mobile home, set up amid the rubble, is also marked for removal. For decades, Israel has worked to expand the Jewish presence in annexed east Jerusalem—the heart of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and home to major Jewish, Christian and Muslim sites. Settlers have exploited discriminatory policies and archaeological claims to evict Palestinians far from the region’s war zones. Activists say those efforts have gone into overdrive in recent years, as Israel is no longer constrained by U.S. pressure and attention has shifted to Gaza, Lebanon and Iran. Over 260 homes and other structures were demolished in 2025, a 70% increase from three years earlier.

The Era of Me-First Energy (NYT) The monthslong closure of the Strait of Hormuz is reinforcing an expensive geopolitical lesson about how risky it can be to rely on imported energy. From South America to Southeast Asia, governments and private companies are being forced to look inward and take steps to harness what they can domestically, even when doing so raises upfront costs. Call it the era of me-first energy. Guyana, a fast-growing South American oil producer that ran short of fuel this spring, is discussing building its first refinery. Indonesia is accelerating plans to harness more power from the sun. Many other Asian countries have turned to coal in order to plug their energy gaps, at least for now. And in Europe, Belgium is trying to nationalize nuclear energy. Individuals are also taking matters into their own hands, buying electric vehicles to avoid rising fuel costs or installing rooftop solar panels to lower electricity bills. In the Philippines, imports of electric cars and solar equipment from China recently hit records. Countries and businesses can do only so much on their own. Still, each gallon of gasoline or kilowatt-hour of electricity available locally offers that much more of a buffer in the next war or shipping disruption.

Trump Wants to Call the Shots. But in Iran, He Keeps Hitting His Limits. (NYT) President Trump has defined his career in politics with displays of dominance and control. But in the Middle East, he faces a rolling crisis that keeps thwarting those impulses. On Sunday, Mr. Trump lashed out at Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, telling The Financial Times that the Israeli leader “won’t have any choice” but to accept a U.S.-negotiated deal with Iran. “I call all the shots,” he said. But early Monday, Mr. Trump was still trying to rein in Mr. Netanyahu, writing on social media just after 5:30 a.m.: “Israel and Iran must immediately stop ‘shooting.’” One hundred days after starting the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran on Feb. 28, Mr. Trump is grappling with his own version of the sort of Middle East military quagmire that beset his predecessors—and that he promised to avoid. “Trump launched a war of choice overestimating America’s military capacity and underestimating Iran’s,” said Aaron David Miller, a former State Department official who is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “That is a box that Trump cannot get out of right now.”

Trump says US 'must' respond after confirming Iran shot down Apache helicopter (WSJ/AP) President Trump on Tuesday accused Iran of shooting down a U.S. Apache helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz and said the U.S. must respond to the attack. The downing of the helicopter late Monday set off a race to find two American crew members before Iranian forces could close in on them. They eventually were rescued by a drone boat in a first-of-its-kind operation at sea, the military said. The unmanned surface vessel, a Saronic Corsair, located the crew in the waters off the coast of Oman and brought them to shore. Then early Wednesday, the United States launched airstrikes against Iran after blaming Tehran for the crash of the helicopter, prompting new attacks from Iran and further widening the retaliatory strikes that threaten to derail talks to end the war. Iran launched attacks on sites in Bahrain and Kuwait, which both sounded alerts and fired air defenses in response. Jordan also reported shooting down five missiles that Iran shot at an air base hosting U.S. forces.

Fewer Americans say democracy is central to country’s identity, poll finds (AP) As the U.S. prepares for an extravagant celebration of its founding principles, fewer Americans see their country as exceptional, a new poll finds. The survey from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research highlights many Americans’ feeling of unease over the future of its representative government—particularly among young people. Only about one-quarter of Americans say the U.S. stands above all other countries in the world, the new poll found, while 44% say it’s one of the greatest countries in the world, along with some others. About 3 in 10 say there are better countries than the U.S., an increase from 19% in an AP-NORC poll conducted in June 2016. Agreement about other aspects of the country’s underlying character appears to be eroding, the survey found. Americans are less likely to see a democratically elected government as “extremely” or “very” important to the United States’ identity as a nation than they were just a few years ago.

US carriers spent $6.5B on fuel in April; global profit forecast is cut nearly in half (AP) U.S. airlines spent more than $6 billion on jet fuel in April, up 78% from a year earlier despite using slightly less fuel, government data released Monday showed. Meanwhile, the airline industry’s top global trade group warned that soaring energy costs could nearly halve profits in 2026. In an effort to contain costs, airlines around the world have raised airfares and fees, cut other perks and canceled flights or trimmed schedules.

Judge Throws Out Policy Imposing $100,000 Fees for Skilled Worker Visas (NYT) A Trump administration initiative to impose $100,000 fees on employers seeking visas for skilled foreign workers amounts to an unlawful tax on those companies and must be voided “in its entirety,” a federal judge ruled on Monday. The decision by Judge Leo T. Sorokin of the Federal District Court for the District of Massachusetts nullified one of a series of tactics the Trump administration has used to restrict legal immigration, even in fields in which foreign skilled labor helped address severe shortages.

Forecasters warn of flooding risk as 2 storms form off southern Mexico’s Pacific coast (AP) Tropical Storms Boris and Cristina formed off of southern Mexico’s Pacific coast on Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center. According to the hurricane center, the center of Boris should reach the coast of Guerrero, Mexico, with little change in strength forecast until landfall. Tropical Storm Cristina formed about 100 miles west-southwest of the coast of Managua, Nicaragua. The government of Honduras has issued a tropical storm warning for Puerto Sandino to the Guatemala/El Salvador border.

Protesters, police clash in Bolivia after president signs law enabling a harsher crackdown (AP) Protesters in Bolivia demanding the resignation of conservative President Rodrigo Paz hurled firecrackers, stones and sticks at police who responded with tear gas on Monday, leading to dozens of arrests as road blockades continue to paralyze the Andean nation. The renewed clashes in the central city of Cochabamba erupted after President Paz signed a measure that could pave the way for a hardline government crackdown on the demonstrations that have roiled Bolivia over the past five weeks, disrupting transportation and causing shortages of food, fuel and medical supplies. Protesters have set up 90 blockades on key routes nationwide, effectively isolating major cities.

The European Union has a Taiwan problem (Bloomberg) The EU is worried about signs that Trump is looking to ingratiate himself with Chinese President Xi Jinping as a means of warming up US-China relations. In doing so, the thinking goes, he may be giving Beijing a greenlight for further incursions and provocations tied to the island democracy. Put that together with increasing Chinese aggressiveness in the region and you’ve potentially got a recipe for trouble. In a worst-case scenario of a US-China war over Taiwan, research from Bloomberg Economics shows the EU economy would suffer a hit equivalent to about $2 trillion over the first year. Germany’s economy alone would contract by about 14%, roughly twice as much as the US or China. Those conclusions underline one of the main lessons from Trump’s attack on Iran: the US may call the shots in global affairs, but Europe often pays the bigger price.

20,000 people displaced by the Philippine earthquake that killed at least 37 (AP) Rescuers searched ruined buildings in the southern Philippines on Tuesday to ensure no one was still trapped a day after one of the strongest earthquakes to hit the country in a half-century killed at least 37 people and displaced more than 20,000. The earthquake centered off Mindanao, the second most populous Philippine island, injured nearly 500 people. Hundreds of aftershocks have continued to jolt the area.

Lebanon says Israel has bombed it nearly 3,500 times during ceasefire  (Reuters) Israel has carried out nearly 3,500 air strikes on Lebanon ​and hundreds of controlled explosions since the U.S. announced a ceasefire ‌for the country on April 16, Lebanon's defence minister, Michel Menassa, said on Monday. During a cabinet meeting, Menassa ​said that from April 17 to June 7, Israel had carried out 3,491 air ​strikes, 407 controlled demolitions and six "razing" operations, or demolitions—which have left some entire villages in the southernmost strip of Lebanon entirely flattened. The statistics were later published on X by ​the office of Lebanon's Prime Minister Nawaf Salam. Salam said the latest escalation between Iran and Israel had ‌caused additional ⁠waves of displacement, straining Lebanon's ability to host fleeing families.

Israelis push Netanyahu to keep fighting in Lebanon (Washington Post) Rani Ben Dov, one of the few farmers still left in this northern border town, was exhausted. He was tired of seeking shelter from incoming Hezbollah fire, but even now the last thing he wanted was for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to pull the plug on the military offensive in Lebanon, just a mile away. “We need to let the generals do what they need to do and eliminate Hezbollah,” Ben Dov said, as the sound of shelling punctured the hot summer air. “We can’t just leave.” The sentiment is pervasive. In war-weary border villages, on prime time talk shows, within the political opposition and among Netanyahu’s supporters, Israelis are pushing their prime minister to fight—and stay—in Lebanon. For weeks, Iran has demanded an end to hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, the Shiite militia it supports in Lebanon, as a condition of a comprehensive peace deal with President Donald Trump. Trump has voiced frustration about Netanyahu “constantly fighting” in Lebanon, but Israeli military and political analysts say Netanyahu almost certainly will keep forces in Lebanon for several more months, if not years.

UN inquiry finds Israeli forces shield settlers during attacks on Palestinians (Reuters) Israeli authorities are directly involved in settler attacks that have killed, injured and ​displaced Palestinians in the occupied West Bank, while Israeli security forces provide protection to settlers, a U.N. inquiry said on Tuesday. The report by the Commission ‌of Inquiry on the Occupied Palestinian Territory found that Israeli authorities have enabled settler attacks through financial and military support, in a climate of impunity fostered by judicial and law-enforcement bodies. It said attacks on Palestinian villages and agricultural land have surged since 2023, rising by 130%, including incidents involving groups of masked assailants. Israeli security forces have routinely accompanied settlers and acted as a shield for the violence, ​the report said.

Trump Says He Never Promised No New Wars (NYT) President Trump, who campaigned on a central promise to keep the United States out of overseas wars, denied in an interview aired on Sunday that he’d ever made the pledge. “I didn’t guarantee no war,” Mr. Trump said in a lengthy interview with Kristen Welker, the host of NBC’s “Meet the Press,” taped during his trip to Wisconsin on Friday. “Why would I have built the strongest military in the world?” Speaking about the U.S.-Israeli war in Iran, he continued: “So when you say I promised, I didn’t promise anything. I don’t like these endless wars. This is not an endless war. We’ve been doing this for three months.” He did promise. As a candidate in 2024, Mr. Trump repeatedly pledged not to involve the United States in war, including on the night he won the election. “They said, ‘He will start a war,’” Mr. Trump said during his victory speech. “I’m not going to start a war. I’m going to stop wars.”

US troops, families adjust to new normal of Iran war (Reuters) Fourteen weeks after President Donald Trump ordered an attack on Iran, the U.S. military is adjusting to an unusual state of conflict that is not full-scale war, but also far from peace. On ships and bases in the Middle East, U.S. troops—some recovering from injuries—operate amid exchanges of fire with Iran every few days as the Navy blockades Iran’s ports. At home, ‌the Pentagon is scrambling to bolster production of depleted munitions as families of service members cope with the stress of extended deployments. Counterattacks from Iran continue against U.S. allies in the region, such as Bahrain and Kuwait, ‌which Iran targeted in a ballistic missile attack on Friday. The threat ​requires U.S. troops to maintain an acute state of readiness. “To maintain this constant state of ‘Level 10’ alert vigilance, to be ready to go at the drop of a hat, is a very stressful and difficult operational mission,” said one U.S. official, speaking on condition of anonymity.

Strongest earthquake in nearly 150 years hits off Cuba, shakes Mexico, Florida (Reuters) A historically strong earthquake struck off Cuba's northwest coast on Monday, shaking parts of Cuba, Mexico and ‌Florida that are typically not prone to quakes. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) measured ‌the quake at a magnitude 6.1 at a shallow depth of 26 km (16 miles) and its epicenter 104 km ​west-northwest of Mantua, Cuba, about two to four hours by car from the capital Havana. Authorities have not yet reported any major damage or casualties, but the quake spiked concern in Cuba, where decades of economic ​crisis have ​left buildings in severe disrepair.

Cuba’s iconic antique cars sit idle as US energy blockade deepens fuel crisis (AP) A worsening fuel crisis across Cuba is testing the island’s famed “almendrones,” the vintage American cars that serve as vital shared taxis and embody the island’s ingenuity and endurance. These days, many of the iconic gas-guzzling antique cars sit idle, casualties of fuel shortages that have gripped Cuba since January and that Cuban officials blame on a U.S. energy blockade. Outside his modest concrete-block home on a dirt road in Las Minas, a town of about 2,000 people on the outskirts of Havana, Diriel Valdez is restoring a 1951 Chevrolet Deluxe. The burgundy body is intact and the original engine still works. Finding fuel for it, however, is another matter. Cuba is experiencing one of its most severe energy crises in years. The population, already battered by decades of economic crises and shortages, is now navigating daily blackouts that can last up to 20 hours in some parts of the island.

Votes being counted in runoff election to choose Peru’s ninth leader in 10 years (AP) The winner of Peru’s presidential runoff election was not yet known hours after polls closed Sunday as electoral authorities slowly tallied votes cast for the ninth head of state in 10 years. Figures released by electoral authorities showed conservative politician Keiko Fujimori with a modest lead over nationalist congressman Roberto Sánchez with 58% of ballots tallied in a contest overshadowed by people’s concerns about surging crime. The outcome, expected to be tight, may not be known for days. Fujimori, daughter of a disgraced former president, and Sánchez, an ally of an imprisoned ex-president, were on the runoff’s ballot after beating 33 other candidates in the vote in April, but neither earned even 20% of support.

As Ukraine fights off Russia’s invasion, some regions see a rise in premature births (AP) When Marharyta Nekhoroshyva first saw her newborn son, she was gripped by fear. Born after just 26 weeks of pregnancy, he weighed only 940 grams (2 pounds) and wore diapers no larger than the palm of an adult hand. “The doctors told me that if he survived the first three days, everything would be OK,” she said, tears filling her eyes. “I don’t believe in God, but I was praying.” Now 9 months old, Mark is energetic and lively, but he has chronic breathing problems and requires frequent hospital stays. Nekhoroshyva must navigate her son’s illness while living under the constant threat of attack in the Ukrainian city of Zaporizhzhia, where hospitals board up their windows because blast waves from Russian strikes routinely shatter glass. She is doing it alone while her husband fights in the war. A rising number of babies are being born prematurely—before 37 weeks of pregnancy—in Ukraine, particularly in regions near the front lines, where some areas have seen rates nearly double since the conflict started with Russia’s invasion in 2022.

The World’s Most Surprising Economic Success Story Is … North Korea? (WSJ) North Korea is the world’s most unlikely growth story. Its economy is flourishing in ways not seen in years, aided by arms sales and troop deployments to Russia, supplies and financing from China, and the ability to flout international sanctions to import more energy, components and materials. The Kim regime slammed its borders shut during the Covid-19 pandemic. It has since reopened to only a select few outsiders, including Russian and Western travelers and diplomats. Those visitors describe a North Korea unrecognizable from the past, especially its capital, Pyongyang, where Kim and the country’s elite live.

7.8 quake and tsunami warnings in southern Philippines (AP) An offshore magnitude 7.8 earthquake rocked the southern Philippines Monday, killing at least 19 people, injuring more than 200 others mostly in damaged buildings and sending a 1-meter (3-foot) tsunami into nearby coasts. A few buildings collapsed and key infrastructure sustained quake damage in the city of General Santos, and tsunami damage was reported in at least one coastal village. Smaller waves were measured in Indonesia and Palau and as far away as southern Japan.

What Visual Evidence Tells Us About Israel’s Use of White Phosphorus in Lebanon (NYT) The Israeli military has deployed white phosphorus, an incendiary substance that can be extremely harmful, over populated areas in Lebanon in its battle against Hezbollah, according to experts, aid groups and visual evidence collected by The New York Times. Distinctive smoke trails from this type of munition were seen as recently as May 30 in Nabatieh, a city of roughly 40,000, in social media footage verified by The Times, which was filmed as Israeli forces captured Beaufort Castle, a landmark in the area. Other verified footage showed that white phosphorus had also been used in the vicinity of the coastal city of Tyre. Once exposed to air, white phosphorus spontaneously ignites and is exceptionally difficult to extinguish. Often deployed by militaries to create fires and smoke screens during combat, white phosphorus is not illegal in itself, but deploying it deliberately against civilians or in an area populated by civilians violates the international laws of war.

An airstrike trapped a journalist. She died as rescuers waited for permission to save her. (Washington Post) A team of reporters reconstructed the final hours of Amal Khalil, a Lebanese journalist who was killed by the Israeli military on April 22. “The first strike hit a car driving in front of her, the second destroyed her car as she hid nearby, and the third collapsed the building where she had taken shelter with another journalist,” they write. While Khalil was still alive, the Israeli military did not give the green light for rescuers to reach her; by the time they got approval, she was dead. The Committee to Protect Journalists has called her death a murder, defined as a targeted killing “in direct reprisal for the journalist’s work.”

War Report (Politico) President Donald Trump today (Monday) tried to keep a lid on an outburst of Israel-Iran hostilities that threatened to derail the Middle East war’s fragile ceasefire. Early this morning, the president posted on Truth Social that both countries “must immediately stop,” and then hopefully declared that everyone wanted to move quickly toward a ceasefire and a more durable peace deal. Trump combined those messages with a direct call to Benjamin Netanyahu, in which he asked the Israeli PM to stand down from any further attacks on Iran. Ultimately, Israel and Iran announced that they’d suspend their barrages. But both countries threatened to resume intense attacks if the other’s aggression continued. The immediate trigger for the latest hostilities was Israel’s ongoing fight with Hezbollah in Lebanon, which prompted Iran to rain down ballistic missiles on Israel. Jerusalem and Tehran then launched waves of retaliatory strikes against each other.

After Months of War, Iranians Sink Into Disillusionment and Despair (NYT) When Israel and the United States attacked Iran in late February, some Iranian opponents of the Islamic Republic hoped that it would bring an end to decades of theocratic rule they saw as oppressive. Now, after devastating strikes and amid a teetering cease-fire, those hopes have been snuffed out. Feelings of disillusionment and despair have taken their place, driven by a reported death toll of 1,700 civilians, vast destruction and an economic implosion that has made daily life a struggle. A cease-fire has provided some relief from bombs, but an economic war has sent the prices of basic goods skyrocketing. The crippling of critical industries and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz—a key trading route for Iran’s most precious export, oil—have tipped the already troubled economy into free fall. “I’m angry. I feel alone,” Kimia, a 25-year-old designer, said in an interview from Tehran. “We don’t matter to the world at all; we’re only seen as tools for war and negotiation, while we are human beings.”

The Nigerian army frees 360 abducted people in northeastern Borno state (AP) The Nigerian army said Sunday it freed 360 people abducted by Boko Haram in southern Borno, in the northeastern part of the country. The operation, according to the army’s statement, was conducted in the Mandara mountains which form a part of the militant group’s stronghold. Nigeria faces a complex security crisis, especially in the north where a more than decade-long insurgency and the activities of armed groups that carry out kidnappings for ransom and illegal mining have heightened the country’s security challenges.