Back again!
It’s been a volatile stretch lately, but I’m back at the terminal with two high-conviction setups. Here is the first:
1. META — 750c 04/15/26
Strategy Note: If you prefer a more conservative delta, you can certainly scale down to a lower strike. However, keep in mind that the capital outlay increases significantly as you move further ITM ; those premiums aren't cheap.
Technical Thesis: The primary objective is a retest of the previous ATH We are currently observing a consolidation plateau at these levels; a clean breach of this resistance zone suggests a strong continuation toward price discovery. Let’s see how the volume responds.
2. VRSK - 220c 09/18/26
Our next play focuses on Verisk Analytics. My current entry sits around the 8.5$.
The Thesis: We’ve seen a significant drawdown since the July '25 peak, which I view as a healthy mean reversion rather than a structural shift. The price has retraced directly into a primary green consolidation cluster.
Outlook: This zone has historically acted as a high-liquidity floor. We are positioning here to capture the reversal as the stock finds its footing within this support band and begins its next leg up.
Intraday Dynamics (4H): On the 4-hour timeframe, we’ve observed a definitive rejection from the bearish FVG , resulting in a retracement toward the Golden Pocket. This move highlights a healthy mitigation of recent imbalances.
Entry Strategy: Before committing to a full-size position, I am looking for a successful backtest of the $173–$175 support cluster. I need to see clear evidence of buy-side liquidity stepping in at this level to confirm the floor.
The Long Game: The overarching strategy is to utilize this entry as a springboard. Once price action navigates back toward the weekly FVG near $220, the plan is to roll these contracts into a 2027 expiry. This allows us to lock in delta gains while maintaining exposure to the broader bullish narrative.
