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Stock Market Outlook: July 5th = Uptrend Disclosure: The author holds no material positions in the securities mentioned. See Editorial Policy & Disclosures for details. No-Advice Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend. Bitcoin, Healthcare, and Large Cap Growth outperformed;…

Stock Market Outlook: June 28th = Uptrend Disclosure: The author holds no material positions in the securities mentioned. See Editorial Policy & Disclosures for details. No-Advice Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, but mixed technicals and ongoing sector rotation make…

Stock Market Outlook: June 21st = Uptrend The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, as financial markets get ready for the summer trading season. Emerging market equities, Technology, and Momentum outperformed; Oil, Energy, and High Dividends underperformed.  Geopolitical headlines and a hawkish Fed were key drivers for last week’s asset price volatility. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX )…

Stock Market Outlook: June 14th = Uptrend The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, as U.S. markets enter a shortened trading week. Bitcoin, Materials, Momentum outperformed; Oil, Energy, and Large Cap Growth underperformed.  Turnaround Tuesday was in full effect, as markets reacted to de-escalating tensions in West Asia. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX ) rose 0.6% last week.  The index…

Stock Market Outlook: June 7th = Uptrend Despite Friday’s sell-off, the stock market outlook remains in an uptrend. Oil, Energy, and Low Beta outperformed; Bitcoin, Technology, and High Beta underperformed.  Capital flowed out of the AI-trade on Friday, but employment, inflation and earnings growth continue to support asset prices. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX ) fell 2.6% last week.  The…

Stock Market Outlook: May 31st = Uptrend The stock market outlook shows an uptrend in place, with stocks at all time highs to close out the month of May. Emerging Market Equities, Technology, and High Beta outperformed; Oil, Energy, and Low Beta underperformed.  Social media diplomacy continues to wag the markets, but tech earnings and new IPO rules are giving the market something else to…

Stock Market Outlook: May 24th = Uptrend The stock market outlook shows an uptrend in place, with U.S. markets closed on Monday. Developed Market Equities, Utilities, and an odd mix of styles outperformed; Oil and Communications underperformed.  Surging bond yields and geopolitics continue to exert their influence over asset prices as we head into June. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX ) rose…

Stock Market Outlook: May 17th = Uptrend The stock market outlook shows an uptrend in place after the index reached another all time high. Oil, Energy, and Large Cap Growth outperformed; Emerging Markets, Consumer Discretionary, and Small/MidCap value underperformed.  Inflation data was much higher than expected, pushing interest rates above long-term levels and pressuring other assets. TREND…

Stock Market Outlook: May 10th = Uptrend The stock market outlook shows an uptrend in place with the indexes reaching new all time highs. Emerging Market, Technology, and Momentum outperformed; Oil, Energy, Low Beta underperformed.  Employment data was better than expected, as investors now await the latest CPI/PPI inflation datasets. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX ) rose 2.3% last week,…

Stock Market Outlook: May 3rd = Uptrend The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend to start the first full week of May. Oil, Energy, and Large Cap Value outperformed; Gold, Industrials, and Defensives underperformed.  Mag 7 earnings came through for the market again, and investors now turn their attention to this week’s employment data. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX ) rose 0.9% last week,…

Stock Market Outlook: April 26th = Uptrend The stock market outlook continues to show an uptrend with equities consolidating near all time highs. Oil, Technology, and Momentum outperformed; Gold, Healthcare, High Dividend, and Defensives underperformed.  Earnings reports have exceeded expectations so far, and this week’s line-up could have an outsized impact. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX )…

Stock Market Outlook: April 19th = Uptrend The stock market outlook returned to an uptrend on Monday, while in the process of a historic move to new all time highs. Bitcoin, Emerging Markets, Technology and High Beta names led assets higher, while Oil, Energy, and Low Beta underperformed.  CTAs reversed their recent short positioning, pushing equity prices higher as West Asia headlines took down…

Stock Market Outlook: April 12th = Downtrend The stock market outlook continues with a downtrend until a second indicator confirms the new rally. Bitcoin, Technology and Momentum plays led assets higher, while Oil, Energy, and High Dividends underperformed.  Markets welcomed cease-fire headlines and volatility retreated across the board, while investors await the start of earnings season this…

Stock Market Outlook: April 5th = Downtrend The stock market outlook continues in a downtrend, but the bulls did picked themselves up a bit last week. Oil, Industrials, Communications, and Momentum led assets higher, while Energy and Bitcoin underperformed.  Volatility crept into employment data, as we wait for the next round of inflation data and geopolitical headlines to hit the wires. TREND…

Stock Market Outlook: March 29th = Downtrend The stock market outlook continues in a downtrend, with elevated volatility. Oil and Energy continue to outperform, and were joined by small cap value this week.  Bitcoin, Communications, and Large Cap Growth underperformed.  Mixed survey data and a downbeat consumer didn’t do anything to combat uncertainty caused by the conflict in West Asia. TREND…

Stock Market Outlook: March 23rd = Downtrend The stock market outlook continues in a downtrend and price fell below long-term technical indicators. Oil and Energy outperformed again, while Gold, Utilities, and Low Volatility underperformed.  The FOMC held rates steady, while investors were busy repricing risk across asset classes. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX ) dropped xxx% last week,…

Stock Market Outlook: March 15th = Downtrend The stock market outlook enters week 6 of the current downtrend, as volatility continues to rise. Oil, Energy and Momentum outperformed; Gold, Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and High Dividends underperformed.  Inflation data was mixed ahead of this week’s FOMC decision. TREND ANALYSIS The S&P500 ( $SPX ) dropped 1.6% last week: ~3.5% below the…