Untitled

How about a program which display seemingly chaotic letters/numbers/symbols on the screen then it would first divide the screen into Tertris-like packed shapes of size from 4-6 and thin magic snakes of length 7 to 12 that each evolve according to some randomly generated 2d and 1d cellular automata rules and after the period such as 60 steps for exactly 60 second that would always evolve into the current time either in HHMMSS or HHMM or MMSS format?

We may thought the human race are advanced and sphosicated enough so war is a matter of the past. It would only exists in history books or in movies or in online games; then we are painfully aware the same kind of primordial drive still run in a so-called civilized citizens' blood. Took for instance how ISIL recruit its fighters? It is targetting the lonely and those who live feeling empty of the blood and glory, and most importantly unlimited access to young girls who could be your sex slave to play with as long as you live. So the drive of bloodthirsty violence and unlimited access to sex partner is still very appealing to young generation. Thus a modern civilization like Russia who first send a cosmonaut to space suddenly have many citizens found the trip to Ukraine is very appealing when he can take as much as he can, and rape as many young girls as he could without breaking the law. That is exactly the same for the popo in HKSAR do to countless females they can grip from the street. Human nature doesn't change while our culture and technology progress rapidly. Putin of Russia also exploit the Russia poor and transport the problem of poverty to Ukraine and sugarcoating that as patrotic just like the Mongolians. At least Mongolians are a bit honest about their motive for conquest without coating that in terms of nationalism and patriotism.

From a psychological perspective, when a Middle age person felt he reached his ceiling of development, when he has no hopes for breakthrough in the future then he would try to find glory in his past. That is he really is living in the past but not the present and never daring to take any part in the future, thus when he is facing the crisis of non-existence due to cancer he is rushing to build his legacy as a new Slavic leader greater than Peter the Great or the Queen Catherine. War and annexation are deemed as the fastest path to glory, except he is no like the Alexander the Great who lead the war in the battlefield. He would protary himself as althetic with no fear with bears nearby, but then he fear for losing his luxurious life when his jacket along cost almost a month's salary of Russian. He implied he is fighting the proxy of NATO but he is not really engaging the NATO troops directly. That is indeed gangster tactic with low budget to project an image of a strongman. He doesn't seems to realize that the most prosperous country doesn't need a strongman nor dictator, it is usually those countries in the brink of collasp that need a strongarm dictator. UK voters vote Willison Churchill out right after winning the second world war. The industrial heads of EU Germany and French both elected a leftard leader. It is often in Africa contient with turmoils of civil wars then strongmen came to place. Probably what Putin fear the most is being obsolete by the history, he want to be remember as a "great leader", Mao is also a great leader that forever left his mark or scar in the collective minds of Chinese race when Cultural Revolution kill millions. Is that really the legacy Putin want everyone remember him? Is that Putin want the whole world remember Russia as the bully which bully the same Slavic race which found Russia? So the best one can do is by brutalized one's own brothers and sisters?

As a not so complete comparison between the oil rich Middle East, Russia then United states one see completely divergent paths of development. Most of the money earned by US capitals are not streaming from oil and fossil fuels, US oils are there just to stablize the oil price within USA while the majority of money in Middle East are made by exporting oil and fossil fuel and Russia economic are shrinking long before invasion of Ukraine. In a way the Western world kept the Middle East in Middle Age and buying off its future with exception of Iran and Iraq while Putin has no way to boost its economics after the US boycott due to invasion of Geogria during Beijing held Olympics in 2008. One core reason is when Putin made billions from the oil industry of Russia there is no strong incentive to boost the diverisfy the economic, as other oligrachies either force out of the Russia Putin see any capitalist making vast amount of money from emerging industry as his potential threat and challenge his political hegemony so he eliminate and sabotage them in the early stage. Although he quite Soviet Communist Party for quite a while, but he hold true to the stragety of: Poverty, State sanctioned arbitrary violence and Ignorance. The same proporganda machine that aid Donald Trump to be US president also kept him in power, there is a lot check and balance via the Fourth Estate, thus Russia became a histroical relic when the only glory is by bullying its negihbors.

Most of the conquest of USA is done via technological innovation and consumerism but not through bullets and gun powder, so Thomas Edison invent light bulb and popularize electricity to start the industrial revolution that vastly increase the productivity of the land with rich natural resources and free market. Then with the invention of electrical circuit that start the era of electronic as well as laying the foundation for the market of home electrical appliance. US is not necessary the leader in this area but then the invention of computer and CPU coupled with the may of machine powered by electricity so the company can make product at amazing rate and standard quality and selling them at a cheap price to make a larger margin of profit than those handcrafted thus Car industry is booming in one era until Japanese car manufacturer came along. As manual labor is replaced by machine that I heard of whole factory manufacturing hanger managed by only one blue collar labor, the human thought process of designing and testdrive the product is increasing take place inside a machine(CAD). Computers, microprocessors, ICs then Internet vastly increase the efficiency of collobrating over the vast continent of North America. One thing that most people may ignore is despite the historical wound of races USA is rated as almost the world's most stable country. That is the backdrop against which the massive amount of fabric optic could be laid in the North America continent so the division of power in 50 states and the system of Congress and Parliament largely keep the peace of the country. Internet gave rise to email then net commerce of eBay and Amonza then the search engine gaint Google, IBM then Facebook of Meta then Microsoft and Apple which the vast empty cyberspace provide countless opportunities to make money that has been the driver of US economic. Of course, now we have A.I. and supercomputer and Microsoft's biggest rival Linux which is mostly supported by US capital. It seems to me that when machine took over the work place and a minimum wages keep the standard of living of average American then they can do research on the libraries all over US. Amonza start off by selling books and accesories and is now worth 1 trillion. How much barrel of oil and fossil fuel needs to be sold to make the same amount of money?

I guess some shameless Pro-Putin Russian politicians would compare the formation of Commonwealth of Independent Nation as with the British Commonwealth when both are appeared to be joined volutunarily while British colony has fallen one by one by bloody revolution against British colonialism such as India and Pakastian, Australia, Canada, Cyprus, Egypt, Ireland, Palestine and the noticably exception of USA that is the only formal colony which is the only one not a part of the British Commonwealth. A shameless Russian politician or historian would claim that USSR breakdown without any bloodshed and now most of them are part of Commonwealth of Independent States, but would they also claim that is under the pressure of capitalist bloc that the Communism Bloc is breaking apart and admitted that Russia lead not the victory of Communism bloc. While there is some hostilities between Singapore and Malaysia as both are ex-British colony and physical confrontation between Pakastan and India there was never an official war such as the one between CCP China and Vietnam which are both officially part of Communism Bloc, then border conflict between Russia and CCP China, then the ongoing conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia as well as the brutual suppression of the Muslim in Chechnya by Moscow right after the dissolution of USSR. It is telling of how cohesive is this USSR and how much legimitacy in the eyes of those who rebel against Russia. The mostly likely cause that the Commonwealth of Independent States stick together is not the honor as part of USSR but cheap oil and fossil fuels from Russia as well as the need to politically stablize the country as the baggage of rampant corruption as an ex-Communist. The rulers feared that people under their rule with the help of iron fist of Moscow would rebel against them and putting them on trial in a bloody revolution when there is no longer any military support from Russia thus leaning on Russia for political support while promising reform and changes, that is how Commonwealth of Independent States came to be but any part for the love of legacy of being part of USSR. For the most Anti-Communist countries are all in Eastern Russia and that is telling of how they see the ex-Soviet identity. When the Queen of United Kingdom died there is mourning all over former British colony such as Hong Kong and Australia.... etc, suppose Putin is died in the frontline in the war against Ukraine who would mourn over his death but not celebrate the death of a warmonger? That is very unlikely to happen when he would not visit any frontline anyway.

The significance of the flag I display in the last post is not just the number of countries stand behind Ukraine's back while Russia has only a number of its ex-colonies behind its back, it is also that Ukraine choose to side with Hong Kong people instead of HKSAR by displaying a dark flag. That is telling of CCP China is not winning any flavor from Ukraine government or Ukrainians. It also see HKSAR as it would stand along with CCP China against Ukraine and Pro-Russia invasion although not explicitly state so. The so-called One Country Two System doesn't prevent the officials falling in line with the central government. HKSAR are thus not seeing as legitimate representative of Hong Kong people when the people here are overwhelming against the invasion of Ukraine. It also could be seen that HKSAR are on the weaker side as compared to the strength and resiliency of the Hong Kong people.

Let me deviate a little from serious international affairs and issues to the lighter topic of World Cup. Soccer united the world in a way pacifying to all of us not because it forcefully equalize us but because it admit our difference and let the difference play out in an orderly manner respecting rules mutually apply to competing partners to determine winner and loser in a fair and just way. Instead of fighting in a battle field to eliminate each other but both play a physical competitive game of soccer which the rules of competition are what both sides are agreed upon, and the rules of defining the winner as the side which kick the ball into the goal more than the other team is visible fair to all the players and the audiences. There would not be any dispute of whether the ball is inside the goal or not. And everyone could count which side score more than other. So the hostilities between nations such as between Iran and USA could be played out in a fair way that would preclude each other from killing each other in the battlefield, a let out of vented angry would thus reduce some tension between two countries. It is in such a way that contribute to a more peaceful world.

So Pakastan’s prime minister almost paid his price for its country countinous interference of its neighbor’s politics to the point of overthrown the original government of Afganstan, Taliban own its tribute for the Pakastan generals which put a blind eyes toward its activities there. It became the blindspot of American’s global anti-terrorist activities and eventually changing the history of the world, a sort of regime change unforeseen or at least not planned by USA. Pakastan has almost became the defaco leader of the region and rivarling with the region superpower of CCP China as well as India, and has the prices and risks associated with it. Least ISIL succeeded in its attempt then the chaos would create a political vaccum for terrorist groups and Muslim militants to expand their influence as well as an example to recruit more followers. That may disrupt the plan for both USA and CCP China when later is deemed a country hostile to Muslim faith and a closer target for insurgent activities. Taliban is the first Black Swan and what would be next?

Pakastan president almost get assisinate by the political rivalry of Taliban that's ISIL which is the best strategy of how ISIL could kill two birds by one stone : Destablize two countries via one successful assisination attempt. That is the logical and rational choice as a terrorist organizations struggle to survive after its fall in Iraqi: The most cost effective way. Given USA’s Joe Biden administration eventually recognize the Taliban which is a banned terrorist organization as the formal government of Afganstan that has approximately 100 millions people controlling the Silk road, ISIL is dreaming of the same and so did other smaller and low profile Muslim militant organizations. It is the success story of Taliban which drive those insurgent organization in a very poor country, and Pakastian‘s economy is also suffering greatly after the Pandemic. It maybe part of the side effects of global lockdown due to the global pandemic when terrorist organizations thrive on the despair and fear of the death in these region. Is that part of the plan of DS or not?

So when Iran media suddenly lean on the side of supporting Taiwan independence when CCP China recognize the authority of Saudi arabia over three island which its sovereignity is in contrast with Iran it just showcase how fragile is the so-called Axis of Evil aa declared by Gerorge Bush Jr. and how one regional conflict interact with another. Iran shown amazing flexibility in the sensitive subject of Taiwan independence despite extreme displeasure of the almighty CCP China. It is not necessary that evil country is fully support another evilful country in all issues, it is not in the nature of Iran diplomatic gambit that it must be Anti-America in all issue. I had state before of the fundamental difference between Iran, Russia and CCP China when the first is ruled by theocracy and last two is a secular state. Iran went to war with Iraqi over sectarian issues and as part of power struggle between two most modern countries in the Middle East, but Russia wage war with Ukraine not over religion issue but most likely related to NATO; and CCP China may wage war to Taiwan over the dominance of Chinese race. It is those fundamental difference of these countries so Iran may not always hold the official line of CCP China over the independence of Taiwan, and the concept of an Axis of Evil held little explanation power over its diplomatic decision. There is no inherent evil nature to drive Iran to support everything CCP China did. For one big divisive issue is the treatment over Xianga Muslims in Northernwest of CCP China, what CCP China to suppress Muslim there is sure to irritate all Muslims in Middle East from Saudi arabia to Iran and Iraqi then it followed that it would be very unlikely that Axis of Evil would united as a military ally like the Axis Nations in WWII, the difference of ideology, religion, economics are far too great to be ignored. So Iran would probably never risk one single soliders to support the military action of CCP China over Taiwan, and selling of drones to Russia in the invasion of Ukrarine is in terms of military exports but not in anyway represented that Iran support that invasion for ideological reason. In the same vein CCP China will certainly stay out from the military conflict between Iran and Saudi arabia over Yemen when the sectarian conflicts between fractions of Muslim made no sense to an atheistic China nor it is in line of the national interests of CCP China. There is no we are altogether in this in these three nations.

Retrospectively speaking, Iranian revolution which overthrow the Pahlavi dynasty under Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, and replace an empire with an Islamic republic under the rule of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini mixing elements of theocracy and democracy is a contradiction within itself thus it very much sounds like a failed experiment in Muslism modernization to me, especially concerning the democracization of Muslism. The civil liberties that often came as part of democratization doesn't sit well with the conservative Muslism within the ruling party. And originally the ideological divide that is supposedly to be expressed and contrasted along the party line is more often taking the form of sectarian conflict. While ideology struggle is at least resolvable via discussion and open debate, there is no way to resolve sectarian conflicts when it involved the Will of God which transcend the human knowledge and reasoning. Moreover, the ruling party lead by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini often use religion and morality as a pretext to remove the competiting politicians from running against its candidates, thus protecting the interests of ruling elite. The problem is worsen when media is not completely free to openly criticize the ruling politicians for the fear of harsh punishment made in name of religion. Previously its the economic proserity has allow some modern amenity which the population can enjoy to get distracted, but the ecconmic downturn that is partially due to global pandemic and partially due to US sanctions has turned the people’s attention inward to many social issues of Iran and one of them is social inequality especially those between ruling party and those not related. In response to that Iran has intensify its military campaign in Yemen and risk escalation and possibly directly military conflict between Saudi arabia which is now an ally of Israel, but I don't think that would do any good to the internal turmoils in the soils of Iran. And a total war against Saudi arabia or/and Isreal in the midst of civil conflict could lead to the dissolution of this theocractic state.