North Carolina Bill Recognizes CFTC's âFederal Regulatory Authorityâ Over Prediction Markets
The state's budget law leaves oversight of Kalshi and Polymarket to the CFTC and taxes them at 6%, far below what other states are pursuing.
†North Carolina has enacted a law recognizing the CFTC's federal regulatory authority over prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
†The state will impose a 6% tax on net trading fee revenue from these platforms, a significantly lighter touch than other states and sports betting operators.
†This move is an outlier in the ongoing legal battles across states regarding the classification and regulation of prediction markets, with the dispute potentially heading to the Supreme Court.
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Kalshi Plans Expansion Into Gold, Currency, and Energy Perpetual Futures Markets
Kalshi pursues regulatory approval for perpetual futures in gold, foreign exchange, and energy markets, expanding beyond crypto to compete with legacy exchanges. The post Kalshi Plans Expansion Into Gold, Currency, and Energy Perpetual Futures Markets appeared first on Blockonomi...
†Kalshi is seeking regulatory approval to expand its perpetual futures offerings beyond cryptocurrencies to include gold, foreign exchange, and energy markets.
†This strategic move aims to compete with traditional exchanges by providing regulated access to these asset classes, with gold being a primary focus.
†The expansion faces regulatory scrutiny from the CFTC and potential legal challenges from established players like CME Group, highlighting increased competition in the derivatives market.
Kalshi targets gold perpetuals as Robinhood rivalry heats up
Kalshi is seeking approval for gold, forex, and energy perpetual futures, setting up a direct challenge to Robinhood's derivatives expansion.
†Kalshi is seeking regulatory approval to launch perpetual futures contracts for gold, forex, and energy, intensifying competition with Robinhood's derivatives expansion.
†The move leverages Kalshi's experience with crypto perpetual futures and aims to capture demand for traditional asset exposure, with gold being a priority.
†This expansion into regulated derivatives for traditional assets places Kalshi in direct competition with Robinhood's growing offerings across various asset classes.
CNN and CNBC are pushing Kalshi on viewers but not telling them the whole story.
Aaron Rupar and Judd Legum at Public Notice:
In December 2025, CNN and CNBC struck landmark deals with Kalshi, a leading prediction market. Since then, both networks have promoted Kalshi to viewers extensively, frequently vouching for its accuracy. The existence of a financial relationship between the networks and Kalshi, however, is disclosed to viewers inconsistently.
Since December CNBC has published 58 articles that do little more than advertise the existence of a Kalshi market related to a news event. The headlines include âTraders predict Michael Jackson hits top Spotify after biopic,â âKalshi traders donât see Hormuz traffic normal until July,â and âTraders say Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt will advance to runoff in high-profile LA mayoral race.â (Pratt did not advance.)
Since April, CNBC has employed a dedicated reporter to produce these articles. CNBC also maintains a page on its website featuring Kalshi prediction markets selected by CNBC editors, along with its web coverage.
Some of CNBCâs reporting about Kalshi includes the disclosure, âCNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.â This means CNBC is paid every time it can convert a viewer to a Kalshi user. As an investor, the network also benefits if Kalshiâs overall valuation increases. CNBC is also paid directly by Kalshi for using its data, according to The Wrap.
In at least 22 cases, however, CNBC has written about Kalshi and not disclosed its financial conflict. In recent weeks CNBC has more frequently failed to include its Kalshi disclosure, including two pieces on June 10, one each on June 11, June 15, June 16, and June 23, three pieces on June 26, and one each on July 1, and July 2.
On air, where CNBC promotes Kalshi nearly every day, disclosure is also spotty.
On June 26, during a Squawk Box interview with California Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton, host Andrew Ross Sorkin brought up the fact that Kalshi gives Hilton a 9.5% chance of winning the election. Producers then cut to a Kalshi graphic depicting those odds while a Kalshi QR code was displayed on the screen. The hosts never acknowledged CNBCâs financial relationship with Kalshi during the segment.
Similarly, during a news rundown on June 23, CNBC correspondent Contessa Brewer claimed that âprediction markets are hot, hot, hotâ and mentioned that in recent days Kalshi and Polymarket âhandled billions of dollars in trading volumeâ without disclosing CNBCâs business relationship with Kalshi.
CNBCâs Fast Money and Squawk Box each recently hosted Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour for extended soft-focus interviews. On June 24, for example, Squawk Box host Joe Kernen gave Mansour an open mic to portray Kalshi as a âpro-regulation companyâ that has kept its hands clean as âour competitorsâ have been mired in insider trading scandals.
[...]
CNN aired at least 115 segments promoting Kalshi
Since December, CNN has featured Kalshi in a segment called âThe Oddsâ at least 115 times. In these segments, Harry Enten, CNNâs chief data analyst, frequently suggests that Kalshi predictions are more accurate than other sources. While polling relies on volunteers, Enten repeatedly reminds CNN viewers that prediction markets are driven by people who âput their money where their mouth is.â
On January 7, Enten highlighted that, in six days, the odds on Kalshi that the United States would buy part of Greenland by the end of Trumpâs first term increased from 12% to 36%. Enten said this was proof that âthe people putting their money where their mouth isâ are âabsolutely taking this seriously.â
Great piece in Public Notice about Kalshiâs influencing of news content on CNBC and CNN.
See Also:
Popular Information (Judd Legum): UPDATE: Kalshi, CNBC, and CNN respond
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Spotify demands Kalshi remove its logo after streaming market scandal
Spotify has asked Kalshi and Polymarket to remove its logo after fake Spotify streams affected a prediction market settlement and drew scrutiny.
†Spotify has requested Kalshi and Polymarket remove its logo due to a scandal involving manipulated streaming data affecting a prediction market.
†Over 500,000 fake streams reportedly influenced a Kalshi market tied to a specific song, leading to regulatory scrutiny from the CFTC.
†The incident highlights concerns about market manipulation and regulatory oversight in prediction markets, especially when linked to real-world events.
Prediction markets surge to nearly 5% of crypto spot exchange volume
†Prediction markets have seen a significant surge in volume, now representing nearly 5% of crypto spot exchange volume, up from 1% six months prior.
†Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are leading this growth, with Binance also expanding its offerings, driven by interest in sports, politics, and crypto-related events.
†Despite impressive aggregate volume, investors must be cautious of thin liquidity in individual contracts, which poses execution risks for larger positions.
Spotify removes streams of No. 1 song after suspicious Kalshi bets
Spotify has removed streams of a song that shot to the top of the charts on Wednesday after it discovered that suspicious bets related to the music track had been placed on the prediction market Kalshi.Â
The song âEarringsâ by musician Malcolm Todd soared 70% overnight Sunday, earning it the top spot on Spotifyâs U.S. streaming chart, the Financial Times first reported.Â
Spotify on WednesdayâŠ