🔻 Rejected near 1.3480 → downside started

📉 Broke 1.3320 & trendline support (1.3290) Below 1.3300 + 100 & 200 SMA

💥 After three straight weeks of gains, EUR/USD is stalling below the 1.0900 mark, as USD strength returns and rate cut hopes fade. Is this the end of the rally—or just a pause?

🔎 Weekly Outlook (July 20–26, 2025)

📊 Last week, EUR/USD edged higher but struggled to break above the critical 1.0900 resistance, signaling weakening bullish momentum.

🔺 The USD gained traction on stronger U.S. retail sales and industrial output—cooling expectations of a Fed rate cut.

🇪🇺 Meanwhile, the ECB is expected to ease policy in Q4, which continues to weigh on the euro.

Technical Levels to Watch:

- Major Resistance: 1.0900 – 1.0935

- Immediate Support: 1.0800 – 1.0775

- A break below 1.0800 could trigger further downside toward 1.0700.

🎯 The takeaway:

- Swing Traders: Consider short positions around 1.0900 with a stop above 1.0950 and target at 1.0800.

- Day Traders: Watch for breakout opportunities during the Eurozone PMI (July 23) and U.S. GDP release (July 25).

- Avoid chasing highs unless price confirms a strong breakout.

📬 What’s your take?

Is the EUR/USD rally over—or just taking a breather?

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Major currency pairs are consolidating ahead of a heavy macro calendar dominated by the delayed U.S. labor market report for November. EUR/USD is holding near 1.1730, while GBP/USD remains under pressure ahead of UK employment data and the Bank of England’s policy meeting.

The Japanese yen continues to strengthen as markets assess the likelihood of a BoJ rate hike later this month. In contrast, gold is extending its bullish momentum, testing the 4,340 level amid global monetary easing and strong central bank purchases.

Gold has reached $2642, poised for further upside.

Uptrend Targets:

$2650-55 (initial resistance)

$2662 (next resistance)

Downtrend Support:

$2630-28 (initial support)

$2620 (key support)

Buying Opportunity:

Buy on dips towards $2630-28

Hold for $2655-62

Trading Strategy:

Long positions above $2642

Stop-loss below $2620

Risk Management:

Set stop-loss orders according to market volatility.

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