good luck out there!! š

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good luck out there!! š

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So I've been replaying Pokemon White 2 on a whim and got nerd sniped by this random trainer line.
Immediately my first thought was "what is Alomamola's catch rate, anyway?". I took it a step further and used a catch rate calculator to get the proper odds, which turned out to be 17%.
Note that this is the worst case scenario - or for a catch failing, the best case. Full health, no chance of critical capture, etc. And still, there's a 95% chance of catching it within 16 balls. So what's the chance of taking 100? That means 99 attempts with 0 successes, so we can break out the good old binomial distribution.
n = 99 attempts (since the 100th was a success). k = 0 successes. p = 0.1752 as derived above. (n choose 0) and p^0 both simplify to "times 1", so it's just 0.8248^99. And that's... 5.23... x 10 ^ -9. Less than 1 in a billion chance.
This fisherman has some of the worst luck imaginable. If you tried to replicate the feat, to throw 99 balls in a row at Alomomola and have none of them catch, you'd on average find over 23000 shinies before you managed it. I really have to wonder if GF had any idea what they were implying when they wrote this line.
maidkick. almost certainly lethal when it connects, but on the bright side you do get an opportunity to see her panties
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maybe, in that life, we could have been friends

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My string of fucked up luck apparently continues.. š my upstairs neighbors apartment flooded and as u can see it came through my ceiling and went right on my fridge and fucking fried it. So now I gotta wait til Monday for them to give me another one. I stocked up on food with the extra u guys gave me yesterday which I know have to throw away now. A fridge full of food is going to waste .Everything was taken care of yesterday i put extra on the bills , I washed clothes and brought groceries .I only have 10 bucks left. Omg bro wtf why is this shit happening to me. The pantry by me will be open on Monday until then I was wondering if someone could possibly help me with 40 bucks so I can buy outside food for the next two days . I'm so fucking sorry to be asking for the 3rd damn day . I feel sick about this . Omg. I was so happy that finally I could breathe but now I gotta deal with this bullshit. I should've brought more can food instead of meat and other shit that has to be refrigerated. I know y'all tired of me begging but I dead don't have anyone to help me. I hate begging but I just need to eat 2 days then I'll go the pantry and food bank on Monday when they bring me a new fridge. I'm sorry u guys . How much more bad luck can happen to me
Cash app:daniellegrant64
Just $40 so that I can get food to eat cause I gotta throw this food out . I'm gonna cook 1 pack and eat to tonight but by tomorrow it's all gonna be spoiled š I think my ex put a curse on me .
Ok it's over she can't order from there anymore š¤·šæāāļø. I guess we can find something at the deli for her if they still are making food I don't know what time they stop . and the supermarket closed at 8
I called down to the deli and asked if they have any vegan food they said yes and they stop making food at 10pm
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Lucky 13, Friday the 13th, and others vintage thirteens.
Oscar today at nürnburgring