The connected car: The future is now.
The future of automobiles was on full display at the 2015 CES (Consumer Electronic Show) show last week in Las Vegas and will get further coverage this week as the 2015 Detroit Auto show kicks off. From autonomous cars, to increased connectivity and next-gen infotainment options, it is evident that cars are fast becoming the largest mobile devices for consumers. As auto OEM’s seek to differentiate their products and consumers demand more entertainment and safety features in their vehicles, we expect significant growth for these features in the future and anticipate part suppliers—who address this bourgeoning trend—to benefit.Â
We believe that consumers are ready to pay more for automobiles with increased connectivity. According to a recent study by McKinsey, the inclusion of smart devices—which allow connectivity among vehicles—is expected to increase 30% per annum over the next 5 years. Against a backdrop of growing global light vehicle sales, which IHS is forecasting to increase 22% from 85.5 mln units to 104.5 mln units by 2021, we think many of the major OEM auto electronics suppliers, including Continental (CON-DE, Not Rated), Harman (HAR-US, Buy Rated), and Visteon (VC-US, Buy Rated), will benefit.Â
1 year performance (from 1/8/14-1/8/15) of auto suppliers with notable electronics market share versus the S&P 500. Â
The future of electronics auto suppliers looks strong as well especially due to the safety application that can be derived from these devices. The recent government efforts to decrease road accidents along with safety still being a top priority amongst consumers, the auto suppliers will have support from both the public and private sectors in the coming years leading to continued growth and rising stock prices of the companies in the sector. The graph below shows the reduction in Intersection Movement Assist (IMA) and Left Turn Assist (LTA) accidents—the most common type of road accidents—with the use of driving aid technology. IMA accidents occur at cross-path intersections where two road users travel paths and collide. LTA accidents, on the other hand, occur when a car taking a left-handed turn collides with an oncoming vehicle traveling straight through an intersection.